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Since these threads are increasingly just... me, I'll do much shorter versions of scouting reports on everyone relevant up here. Starting with lottery type guys:
THE TOP THREE:
AJ Dybantsa: Freak scoring wing, elite tools. If you're drafting guys based on a combo of size/strength/athleticism/skill, he's the clear winner. Was basically unstoppable this year when he locked in. Didn't really try on D, but the tools are there. Easy All-Star upside, high floor as a High PPG Wing.
Darryn Peterson: Easily highest upside guard in the class. Elite shot making, elite catch-and-shoot this season. Terrific athlete, good size. Very good aggressive defender. Problem was... he had a weird year! Was he actually hurt? How bad was it? Seems he checked out of being a teammate early, which would explain the lack of passing (which was quite good in HS IIRC) and the forced shots... but that's not ideal if you're considering a guy at #1 overall! Hardest thing ever is to figure out if someone was just fucking around because it's college and is actually going to be super elite... or if that's just Who They Are. Time will tell!
Cam Boozer: The best player in college basketball last year, one of the great freshman seasons in the history of the sport. Great strength, great feel, elite IQ. Insane polish as a scorer and rebounder. Really good handles and passing for his size. Good defender due to IQ, though that's the biggest concern next level. Can't be a small ball 5 due to lack of size/explosiveness there, but not a true switch guy in the NBA. Really need to have a system in place around him due to defense. (I think he'd *kill* in Memphis in a front court with Coward and Edey, personally.) But imo the highest floor player in the class, multi-year All-Star upside.
REST OF THE POTENTIAL LOTTO:
Caleb Wilson: Probably belongs on his own tier after the top one due to upside. If it hits, he's an absolute All-Star monster. Elite athlete. High motor on offense, fights hard. Strong on the glass. Not a skill guy right now, but easy to see the potential. Same on defense, where he... wasn't very good this year despite the stocks because he was a big time ball watcher. Right now, can't shoot, not a great dribbler, so I'm not especially high on him coming in and being more than Hustle Transition Weapon/Lob Threat type guy as a freshman... but if he can learn to shoot, if the dribbling/passing improves, if the tools result in strong defense, there's an All-Star here. Would be stunned if he doesn't go fourth.
Darius Acuff: Elite on offense, piss poor on defense. Great scorer, shooter, handler, passer, has everything you need on that end... except size. We just saw Brunson destroy the NBA, so maybe that's not the end of the world... but it has to work really well in order to work at all, because the defense was a catastrophe this year. Saw someone bring this up and it bears repeating: Trae Young was notably better on offense than Acuff in college, and about the same defender, and people aren't exactly clamoring to have Trae Young on their team right now. Needs to prove the size won't stop the offense from being elite next level. The pitch is "next Brunson, next Maxey, etc." I'd take him ~top 6 and hope for such an outcome... but there's a floor here, as with all small guards.
Kingston Flemings: Oddly might be more in on Flemings than Acuff as a small guard, for a couple reasons. Very explosive athlete. High IQ, high motor. Very good passer, especially out of ball screens. I like the defense a lot, even though the strength wasn't there this year (and obviously needs to develop). Jumper's a little ugly, but it falls-- might change next level, but suffice it to say, you're not drafting Flemings if you're looking for a #1 scorer type. You draft him if you want a facilitator, high IQ player, good defender, all-around terrific team guy. All-Star upside obviously lower than someone like Acuff's... but if I'm a team looking to win, I like the odds in the top ~6, and if he falls out of that, he's a steal imo.
Keaton Wagler: Stud. Surprise one-and-done, because the feel and the scoring/passing were simply incredible. Good size for a combo-type point guard, though more of a crafty player than athlete. Very skinny, not strong. Defense probably a problem. Saw a Halliburton comp I think is pretty reasonable-- that's the upside. Wouldn't let him go lower than 7th.
Yaxel Lendeborg: One of the better role player/starter types in the draft. Isn't bad at anything, really. Good athlete, good (not great) shooter, good passer. Catch-and-shoot 3 threat, which is key for his size. Great measurable, great defense. Real switchability. Not a guy I'd want playing on-ball next level, but every winning team needs great offball pieces. Older, experienced at winning now. A team looking for instant playoff-ready minutes would do well to draft him.
Brayden Burries: Two-way guard. Three-level scorer, good off dribble or off catch. Strong defender. No elite size or great athleticism here, just a two-way guard who can ball. A scorer, not a passer, so if teams want him running point to leverage the size concerns, I'd... be worried based on AAU and last season. Not selfish or anything, just... not a PG imo. Maybe the size/athleticism pose problems as a scoring 2 guard, but he merits a top 10ish pick in this class. Very real starter potential.
Aday Mara: Reeeeeally like Mara as a drop-coverage weapon. Truly elite shot blocking, knows how to use the size and hands and timing. Uses his height beautifully on offense too, great finishing, very efficient on the O-glass. Elite passing for a center too, which at his size is kinda wild-- might immediately be one of the best passing centers in the league? Not an athlete, not a guy who proved he could play, like, 25 MPG even in college, much less in the faster paced NBA, so could be some issues if you draft him to be an every-down starter type right out of the gate... but I'd be tantalized by the intersection of size, skill, and rim protection. I'd draft him top 10.
Mikel Brown Jr: I get the vision. Very real shooting threat, infinite range, and he's a very good passer. However, I... don't love the decision making, both in terms of turnovers and shot selection. This was also true of his game in HS, from what I understand. He'll win you games, he'll cost you games. We saw that this year at Louisville. (And the defense is definitely bad.) Think he's gonna go top 10, and maybe that works out quite well-- it will if the consistency in his offense improves-- but I don't know, feels to me like a guy I'd rather swing on at the end of the lottery than a guy I'd want in this range. High ceiling, low floor.
Morez Johnson: You draft a guy like Morez for his defensive versatility, his nose on the glass, and his high motor. These are things you can't really teach. One of the best switchable athletes in the draft, I'd imagine. His offense is raw-- though he made a decent percent of 3s and FTs this year, and if that continues, he could end up a steal. Not sold on him playing any small ball 5 (would defer to the Michigan fans here on their feeling there), but just feels like a winning rotational player.
Hannes Steinbach: Great size, great strength, great rebounder. Very good touch and footwork inside. Decent athlete, not a stiff-- not a negative defender. Like Morez, showed some potential to shoot some 3s with time. Not really a 5 on defense, though, which makes you wonder how he fits into a defensive scheme, because I.... definitely don't think he's guarding 4s. Might just be in no man's land on that end? Still, definitely a lottery guy imo, because if he ends up a decent defender at the 5 (or he starts sticking more 3s), that's a really really good pick.
Nate Ament: ... boy oh boy, this one's tough. On one hand, the upside's unreal. Insane wing size/length, moves like a guard, really good positional passing, decent positional handles. Was a terrific shooter in HS. The defensive potential is there with the size/fluidity. On the other hand... he frequently sucked this year. Asked to carry high usage, but was wildly inefficient. Also just so, so skinny-- if you're gonna live up to the "Next KD" type hype, the handles and pull-up shot both have to be a lot better than they were this year. Also isn't gonna finish inside or stop guys defensively right away, because, again, skinny. I'm really tempted to say "just draft him top ~10-12 and force feed him creatine," because guys with his tools and skills (between his HS play and college) just don't come along. Could become a very high level starter, has the highest upside of... maybe anyone outside the top 5? Could also just flat out not play. Range of outcomes varies from, like, Brandon Ingram to Patrick Baldwin Jr. Genuinely no idea what happens... but I'd take him lotto for the tools. More Christmas movies coming in 2025...
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