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Not their winning percentage specifically.
As of 2008, with 30 NBA teams, 16 qualify for the playoffs and the remaining 14 teams are entered in the draft lottery. These 14 teams are ranked in reverse order of their regular season record and are assigned the following number of chances
250 combinations, 25.0% chance of receiving the #1 pick 199 combinations, 19.9% chance 156 combinations, 15.6% chance 119 combinations, 11.9% chance 88 combinations, 8.8% chance 63 combinations, 6.3% chance 43 combinations, 4.3% chance 28 combinations, 2.8% chance 17 combinations, 1.7% chance 11 combinations, 1.1% chance 8 combinations, 0.8% chance 7 combinations, 0.7% chance 6 combinations, 0.6% chance 5 combinations, 0.5% chance
Aka, if you have the second worst record by one game you have the same chance as if you have the second worst record by 5 games.
Like was said, some teams are bunched up but they could have a massive difference in where they draft based on one game difference. I say even this out a bit.
edit: Maybe I've worded this confusingly. I'm saying attach lotto weight specifically to number of wins, not a set order in the standings.
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