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We're at the summer break. Spa gave us a wild quali, a controversial sprint, and a variable weather race at Spa with tons of midfield movement but the usual suspects out front. So, business as usual?
As we're heading to a month long break, and the beginning of the typical silly season, what do we know (or think we know) about each team?
Red Bull - They really may run the table and win every freaking race. Baring mechanical failure (which has gone down quite a bit in recent years) or a freak track incident, there doesn't seem to be a team or driver to challenge Red Bull or Max. Hell, his own teammate can't challenge him, so we won't even get the 2016 Lewis/Nico battle of the best. Every week it's Max, then everybody else. I hate it, but I gotta respect it. Red Bull figured out the new rules, and Adrian Newey built Max a F1 exo suit. They may well go down as the best team and fastest car in F1 history. So be it. Max will be the champ 3 years straight, with no competition for 2 years, and that isn't his fault.
Checo is in a weird spot. On the one hand, he's doing exactly what he's supposed to do - help ensure RB wins the Constructors Championship. He never had a chance to challenge for the Drivers Championship. Ever. There was never going to be a car setup or organizational mandate for him to think about challenging Max. That, and Max is just faster than he is right now, full stop. The signing of Danny Ric brought all the rumormongering of Perez losing his seat, and Checo's bad quali form and Danny's promotion back to AT just fueled the fire. I don't see that happening though. You can argue if Perez id better than Ricciardo all you want, neither of them is beating Max, and until any other team takes a certified step up, you don't need anybody on Max's level. So a driver swap doesn't make sense right now. That said, RB has historically been short with their driver expectations, be it with the main team or their sister team. So it could happen. Whatever.
Mercedes - As bad as they have been the last two years they remain the model of consistency. Or, they keep lucking out and punching above their weight. Depends on how you look at it or if you're a fan/hater, really. While they (and everyone else, really) are still clearly behind RB, Mercedes keeps plugging away, making small improvements race by race and manage to maximize their points haul whether they win or not. Every race there's talk of McLaren, Ferrari, Aston Martin making that jump to the next level and being the contender to the RB throne (as far back as that contender may be). Meanwhile, Mercedes has managed to be in second place with a 51 point cushion over AM. Honestly, their place in the championship can be as much their development on the diva W14 as the other teams tripping over their own feet any given weekend. Realistically it may not be until 2025 when they can legit challenge RB (if then), but until then they look to keep pushing ahead. Can they sort out their car? If any team can, my money is on Mercedes. That made the DAS setup because they were bored (and that kind of hubris probably bit them in the ass, honestly). The concern is by the time they figure it out, it may be too late, and what they know now won't help after 2026.
Their driver lineup is fine. Lewis is still Lewis, so he's going to get the most out of the car as he can. I mostly ignore the scuttlebutt about his contract, but I can't see him leaving Mercedes at this point. I CAN see him leaving F1 when (if) he gets to 8, because there wouldn't be anything left to prove, and he's got a number of other interests off the track to keep him busy. It will be sad when he hoes, because he's still only 1 of 1 (which is insane). Russell looks to be a consistent driver Mercedes can rely on for a few years once Lewis goes. There hasn't been too much inter-team issues like the Rosberg days because, well, who wants to fight for second? It will be interesting to see what happens if they field a more competitive car though.
Ferrari - I mean.... they are par for the course. They have a fast car (depending on the weekend). They have fast drivers (that are prone to seemingly rookie mistakes some weeks). They have legacy (though the last decade has been trending downhill). They just can't put it all together for a full race weekend. You'd think Ferruccio and Henry's family came together to put an everlasting hex on the team. Even with changes in team management, their race strategy may as well be pulled out of a hat.
That makes the driver fight between Leclerc and Sainz a constant quagmire. It's very difficult to say who's the #1 driver because every week they are undone by an on track incident, a crappy strategy call, or inter driver bickering and a reluctance on the pit wall to make a call or just let the drivers fuss amongst themselves. My gut says Leclerc may be the faster of the two, but neither of them have been consistent enough to say for sure given the reasons above. Is Ferrari doomed to be a bridesmaid every year? Probably. I have no clue what will turn this team around. One thing is for sure: it wasn't all Binatto's fault
More teams to follow... <-- Dave Thomas knows what's up... __________________________
Jay: Look here homie, any nigga can get a hit record. This here is about respect. Game: Like Gladys Knight. Jay: Aretha Franklin. Game: Word, I like her too. Jay: Nigga...
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