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I think one of the best sign that we may have seen the peak of Trump’s power is this headline today:
https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/18/media/disney-abc-fcc-trump-lawsuit-the-view-retaliatory
Disney settled with Trump in December 2024 and paid $15 million for the most bullshit lawsuit ever. Paramount settled in July 2025 and paid roughly the same amount.
Now, heading into the 2026 midterms, Disney is going on offense and suing the Trump administration over what it says is retaliatory treatment.
To me, the significance of the lawsuit is that some very rich and powerful people who once seemed terrified of Trump’s retaliation are becoming less afraid of him.
There are now polls showing Democrats with a real shot at winning both the House AND the Senate. That’s crazy. If that happens, Democrats would be in a position to haul people from the Trump administration before Congress and force them to testify.
And Trump’s people have to know their history. Scooter Libby, J. Steven Griles and David Safavian were all convicted during the end of the Bush years. That’s part of why the Todd Blanche appointment was so important to them.
None of this means Trump disappears. I still think he’ll remain beloved by roughly a third of the country (which, despite inflation, Iran and everything else, still polls at that level). That number may even improve with time. Like I said before, I don’t think he goes to jail. I fully expect his name to end up on buildings, parks and institutions.
And I know things will get worse before they get better. As Trump feels his power slipping, I expect him to push even harder to hold onto it and do even more outlandish things.
But I think he’ll be doing that from an increasingly weakened position. Even Republicans are pushing back on him more. Ultimately, I don't he will be able to hold onto power indefinitely.
I’d feel very differently if his name were going to be on the ballot in 2028.
I’d also feel differently if he didn’t increasingly look and sound like a wet turd on a rainy day.
I, of course, could be wrong, but I wanted to put a stake in the ground and make a call before we go into the Midterms, one we can check back on.
Make your call.
| Poll result (12 votes) | | He won't leave Office | (0 votes) | Vote | | It will require taking up arms to remove him from office | (6 votes) | Vote | | He will be calling the shots behind the scene. Ivanka 2028 | (0 votes) | Vote | | He will be a nuisance, but far less of a concern than now | (1 votes) | Vote | | He will be neutered and fighting lawsuits until he dies | (3 votes) | Vote | | I have no idea | (2 votes) | Vote |
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