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Lobby General Discussion topic #13402535

Subject: "US Coronavirus death toll is projected 410,000 in the next four months" Previous topic | Next topic
handle
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16834 posts
Fri Sep-04-20 09:43 AM

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"US Coronavirus death toll is projected 410,000 in the next four months"


          

https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/04/health/us-coronavirus-friday/index.html

"If a herd immunity strategy is pursued, meaning no further government intervention is taken from now to Jan 1st, the death toll could increase to 620,000," according to IHME's briefing.
The death rate could reach an unprecedented 3,000 a day by December, due in part to "declining vigilance of the public," the IHME expects. For now, the model points to declining mask use in some regions from peak usage in early August.

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Gone: My Discogs collection for The Roots:
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Topic Outline
Subject Author Message Date ID
Wear a fucking mask!
Sep 04th 2020
Wear a fucking mask!
Sep 04th 2020
1
and imhe *underestimated* their 3 previous death tolls.
Sep 04th 2020
2
Initial projections were made based on not closing down
Sep 04th 2020
3
a friend at the CDC told me in early February
Sep 07th 2020
4

rdhull
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31997 posts
Fri Sep-04-20 10:14 AM

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"Wear a fucking mask!"


  

          

  

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rdhull
Charter member
31997 posts
Fri Sep-04-20 10:14 AM

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1. "Wear a fucking mask!"
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
11039 posts
Fri Sep-04-20 10:36 AM

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2. "and imhe *underestimated* their 3 previous death tolls."
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

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Heinz
Member since Dec 26th 2003
20114 posts
Fri Sep-04-20 11:36 AM

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3. "Initial projections were made based on not closing down "
In response to Reply # 2


  

          

Thats how projections work. Those numbers shouldnt happen if you shutdown. They are based on how you guys were set up at that moment of debating whether you should shutdown. Shutting down worked and new projections were made. Shit increased still. Then you decided it has been long enough and wanted to open up, so new projections based on opening up were made in May. Those projections were 135k deaths by August. You guys are at 187k deaths in September. 😏 I never understand how people can’t figure out how the projections work LOL


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kayru99
Member since Jan 26th 2004
15781 posts
Mon Sep-07-20 11:37 AM

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4. "a friend at the CDC told me in early February"
In response to Reply # 0


          

to expect about a million dead by Feb 2021.

It's looking like she's right

  

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