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Subject: "Symbolism aside, what did Biden gain from picking Harris?" Previous topic | Next topic
CIPHA
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1010 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 11:38 AM

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"Symbolism aside, what did Biden gain from picking Harris?"


          

Now that we've all celebrated the pick, and rightfully so...

What has Biden gained strategically? Is there a state he is more likely to win? Is there a demographic, perhaps Indian (south Asian) voters, that are more likely to turn towards Biden? Is she the person that will inspire the black (mostly black male) voters to turn out who didn't turn out in 2016?

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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Topic Outline
Subject Author Message Date ID
She was a district attorney of one the biggest, richest states in the US
Aug 12th 2020
1
Except her track record as a DA in California.
Aug 12th 2020
58
she was the safest pick and did the least harm imo.
Aug 12th 2020
2
its hilarious how this guy is held up as some kind of intellectual
Aug 12th 2020
9
the whole conservative intellectual sphere is goofy as hell.
Aug 12th 2020
12
his movies are kind of amazing
Aug 12th 2020
21
Ben straight up said hip hop isn't music
Aug 12th 2020
29
      dude looks like the god of incel island
Aug 12th 2020
37
Well... conservative Christians take what they can get
Aug 12th 2020
28
^ pretty much
Aug 12th 2020
15
Not sure.. a lot of Black women are happy tho
Aug 12th 2020
3
black women drive the get out the vote operation in a lot of areas
Aug 12th 2020
10
      I’m not mad at it.
Aug 12th 2020
27
She's camera-ready and tough. Biden's decline makes him
Aug 12th 2020
4
For me, it's not really what does he gain but what does trump have to lo...
Aug 12th 2020
5
I think she appeals to centrist Dems more than some other choices
Aug 12th 2020
6
Obviously Cali was already a lock whether he picked her or not.
Aug 12th 2020
7
That part!
Aug 12th 2020
17
I'm not trying to be an antagonist, I promise
Aug 12th 2020
34
A side piece
Aug 12th 2020
8
you're clearly intimidated by powerful Black women...
Aug 12th 2020
13
This is called projection
Aug 12th 2020
52
R U MAD or NAH?
Aug 12th 2020
18
Im indifferent
Aug 12th 2020
53
Just like she was to Willie Brown.
Aug 12th 2020
59
      Willie Brown had her first
Aug 12th 2020
61
      the fuck is wrong with yall
Aug 13th 2020
71
I think it's a safe choice for Biden, though I don't know if that's a go...
Aug 12th 2020
11
trump got black support on par with repub presidents not facing obama.
Aug 12th 2020
23
Good breakdown... n/m
Aug 12th 2020
25
largely agree - but Black voter turnout in swing states must be solved
Aug 12th 2020
48
i don't think this is of any conern
Aug 12th 2020
38
Dude I know remotely posted this up:
Aug 12th 2020
57
Acceptable pick for moderates and progressives alike.
Aug 12th 2020
14
one of the things im noticing with the right wing media complex
Aug 12th 2020
31
A hard to hit target
Aug 12th 2020
16
^ well said
Aug 12th 2020
19
she's perfect...
Aug 12th 2020
20
Gonna steal this and claim it as my own lol aka great points!!
Aug 12th 2020
22
nice.
Aug 12th 2020
24
every fake ass political strategist on this Board need to read this
Aug 12th 2020
26
I asked what did he gain. This response is what he didn't lose.
Aug 12th 2020
30
      not losing voters is gaining voters.
Aug 12th 2020
33
      I.....don't know if I agree with this.
Aug 12th 2020
35
      we dont know what bidens base looks like yet.
Aug 12th 2020
45
      Well, there were two points in my posts that addressed your question
Aug 12th 2020
49
           RE: Well, there were two points in my posts that addressed your question
Aug 12th 2020
54
      Isn’t that maintaining voters?
Aug 12th 2020
41
           but you already had money.
Aug 12th 2020
47
      boy bye. asked and answered. you reachin
Aug 12th 2020
40
           ^^ what passes for discourse here in 2020
Aug 12th 2020
46
                meanwhile you didn't even engage w/reply 16. you fake as fuck
Aug 12th 2020
51
                     Nevermind, not gonna bam up the post
Aug 12th 2020
55
                          it was DIRECTLY in response to your post
Aug 13th 2020
82
                               How about fuck you and your emotional horseshit
Aug 13th 2020
85
                                    LOL aw boo, the truth hurts, don't it?
Aug 13th 2020
90
                                         I'll speak to you on your level. Girl, bye.
Aug 13th 2020
91
                                              :)~
Aug 13th 2020
93
they’ll come for her sass...
Aug 12th 2020
32
This is why I was inwardly freaking out last night
Aug 12th 2020
36
Conservatives don’t know what to do.
Aug 12th 2020
43
This one is actually fact.
Aug 12th 2020
60
      While it’s factually correct what’s the chess move with that one?
Aug 12th 2020
65
           Just sowing dissension amongst black, likely dem voters
Aug 13th 2020
70
fam do a twitter search for 'adrenochrome'.
Aug 12th 2020
44
nah they know. problem is they think these folks can be reasoned with
Aug 12th 2020
50
oh i know all about the cabal. none of it...is on earth.
Aug 12th 2020
64
I don't know how you do it.
Aug 13th 2020
69
      man, I WISH fox news was still considered extreme
Aug 13th 2020
88
      i used to listen to a fair amount of right wing talk radio
Aug 13th 2020
94
Fucking well said
Aug 12th 2020
39
damn...well put
Aug 12th 2020
42
I agree on these points. However, I just want to say this:
Aug 12th 2020
56
people already doing that in this post
Aug 12th 2020
62
was about to half jokingly say birthirism will make a comeback
Aug 12th 2020
63
Felt nm
Aug 13th 2020
67
so black women will be motivated to Obama numbers, &
Aug 13th 2020
66
RE: so black women will be motivated to Obama numbers, &
Aug 13th 2020
68
you say that like it's a bad thing...
Aug 13th 2020
73
      perhaps you read everything I say like its a bad thing.
Aug 13th 2020
78
           not necessarily. our previous interactions made me think more of you tho
Aug 13th 2020
79
                Understood. Luckily, my self-worth is unaffected.
Aug 13th 2020
81
                     weird reply but good for you lol
Aug 13th 2020
89
A Prosecutor
Aug 13th 2020
72
Agreed
Aug 13th 2020
75
      and to your point in the post below
Aug 13th 2020
76
I think she invigorates the campaign with discipline and energy
Aug 13th 2020
74
9/10 dems approve of harris. more popular than joe in some key groups.
Aug 13th 2020
77
Here's what concerns me from that article:
Aug 13th 2020
80
      who would have gained more votes for biden
Aug 13th 2020
83
           well, to me its moreso a question of where than how many, right?
Aug 13th 2020
84
                is there proof that a VP being from a state actually results in more vot...
Aug 13th 2020
86
                     I think much more so historically than recently
Aug 13th 2020
87
Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania
Aug 13th 2020
92

flipnile
Member since Nov 05th 2003
13572 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 11:45 AM

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1. "She was a district attorney of one the biggest, richest states in the US"
In response to Reply # 0


          

Also one of the most influential. She actually has connections that span demographic groups, including high-level cops and state troopers, and probably beyond. She might be able to swing some of the cops to her side. Probably has major connections in Hollywood.

She's also somewhat of a fresh face like Obama was, since most people outside of CA just learned of her a year or two ago. She doesn't have baggage like Clinton did.

  

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Shaun Tha Don
Member since Nov 19th 2005
18289 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 04:17 PM

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58. "Except her track record as a DA in California. "
In response to Reply # 1


          


>She doesn't have baggage like Clinton did.

Rest In Peace, Bad News Brown

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
16347 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 12:01 PM

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2. "she was the safest pick and did the least harm imo."
In response to Reply # 0
Wed Aug-12-20 12:02 PM by Reeq

          

even with her flaws.

just look at how the gop is stumbling over themselves to attack her. shes a pro corporation socialist cop who wants to defund the police and expand government while getting rid of healthcare.

you got people like dinesh dsouza exposing the fact that she has a slavemaster ancestor in an effort to differentiate her from the history/experience of...black americans lol.
https://twitter.com/DineshDSouza/status/1293530588486537219

  

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Mynoriti
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:19 PM

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9. "its hilarious how this guy is held up as some kind of intellectual"
In response to Reply # 2
Wed Aug-12-20 12:19 PM by Mynoriti

  

          

i don't know if you've seen any of his movies, they're the goofiest things i've ever seen.

>you got people like dinesh dsouza exposing the fact that she
>has a slavemaster ancestor in an effort to differentiate her
>from the history/experience of...black americans lol.
>https://twitter.com/DineshDSouza/status/1293530588486537219

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
16347 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 12:26 PM

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12. "the whole conservative intellectual sphere is goofy as hell."
In response to Reply # 9


          

dinesh, ben shapiro, etc.

and nah i never watched a full movie of his but ive seen plenty of clips.

theres a reason these folks have to completely delegitimize science, facts, history, media, education, and reality itself just to get their base to believe in them.

  

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Mynoriti
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:50 PM

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21. "his movies are kind of amazing"
In response to Reply # 12


  

          

i watched the Obama one and the Hillary one. The Hillary joint has dramatizations of him in prison. His fellow prisoners are watching political debates on TV and passionately cheering for Hillary. Its the weirdest shit lol.

But mostly they are straw man exercises. He lays out (what he wants perceived as) the liberal argument then tears it down, but to me the movies were worth seeing just for the weird quirks and dramatizations and images of him staring off into space awkwardly.

I'd probably like them more if i didn't know there were people who take them seriously.

Shapiro even being a thing is weird to me. People think he's smart because he drops countless historical references and talks fast.

>dinesh, ben shapiro, etc.
>
>and nah i never watched a full movie of his but ive seen
>plenty of clips.
>
>theres a reason these folks have to completely delegitimize
>science, facts, history, media, education, and reality itself
>just to get their base to believe in them.

  

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Cold Truth
Member since Jan 28th 2004
44838 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 01:28 PM

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29. "Ben straight up said hip hop isn't music"
In response to Reply # 12


  

          

It's ultimately no different from the same take any number of smug, bigoted white men, but he really tried to intellectualize that shit.

Now he's talking about how people need to cater to LGBTQ to "get into the halls of power", and likens it to Black people trying to pass as white, back when white people ran shit.

It's mind blowing stuff.

  

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Mynoriti
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Wed Aug-12-20 02:04 PM

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37. "dude looks like the god of incel island"
In response to Reply # 29


  

          

dude's such a smug twerp in every respect, and how he's a thing is weird, but he's carved out a niche in the "i'm so not trump guy so i only defend him 90% of the time, now lets talk about the left" market.

  

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Cold Truth
Member since Jan 28th 2004
44838 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 01:26 PM

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28. "Well... conservative Christians take what they can get"
In response to Reply # 9


  

          

The list of guys like him that they trot out as Big Guns is pretty bad.

If nothing else, they're great examples of how smart people can still have astonishingly bad epistemology.

  

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mista k5
Member since Feb 01st 2006
16414 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 12:30 PM

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15. "^ pretty much"
In response to Reply # 2


  

          

  

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legsdiamond
Member since May 05th 2011
79586 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 12:03 PM

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3. "Not sure.. a lot of Black women are happy tho"
In response to Reply # 0


          

so it will make them pull the lever a bit harder

Still seeing a lot of criticism about her past from woke men tho..

****************
TBH the fact that you're even a mod here fits squarely within Jag's narrative of OK-sanctioned aggression, bullying, and toxicity. *shrug*

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
16347 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 12:21 PM

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10. "black women drive the get out the vote operation in a lot of areas"
In response to Reply # 3


          

black voters matter, tn black voter project, etc.

so that enthusiasm also has big ramifications past them just voting.

there was a big upset in a tn senate race where a black woman beat a multimillion funded opponent while spending only $5k on her campaign...using mostly the grassroots gotv activity of black women volunteers based around memphis.

so dems benefit overall when black women are energized by the candidate(s).

  

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legsdiamond
Member since May 05th 2011
79586 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 01:16 PM

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27. "I’m not mad at it. "
In response to Reply # 10
Wed Aug-12-20 01:17 PM by legsdiamond

          

Woke dudes need to fall in line tho

****************
TBH the fact that you're even a mod here fits squarely within Jag's narrative of OK-sanctioned aggression, bullying, and toxicity. *shrug*

  

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Teknontheou
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:07 PM

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4. "She's camera-ready and tough. Biden's decline makes him "
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

vulnerable in direct encounters with Trump. Kamala can help him tremendously with that. She'll probably largely ignore Pence and just go after Trump, which will help Biden alot.

  

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select_from_where
Member since Jan 03rd 2011
4342 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 12:08 PM

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5. "For me, it's not really what does he gain but what does trump have to lo..."
In response to Reply # 0
Wed Aug-12-20 12:13 PM by select_from_where

  

          

Typically, when VP picks are made they don't make much waves, in terms of votes.

But in a pandemic, politically, she creates some problems for Trumps campaign

-Because she is a relatively new face, they really don't have a true, nationally recognized, scandal to pin her to, it makes effective attack ads difficult to create. She is not perfect by any means, but GOP will have to go deep into the conspiracy chamber to find something that will stick.

-her DNA as a lawyer, it blunts this law and order platform the orange man keeps pandering to, She comes from the justice side of things with actual experience.

-Her reputation as a debater (which I feel is being overplayed at this point) is solid, she can hold her own


-TURNOUT, she is a solid ask by the party to get voters to actually TURN OUT in November, At this point, this is a turnout game vs the voter suppression game. Black women have held up this party for decades, its a serious overture to them. Whether they receive it like that only time will tell.

Finally, we have to take the context. ALL of this is taking place in a race where polling shows trump is losing, we don't know by how much, but its not like their campaign does not have other problems to deal with. All of this pressure to blunt loud and steady rebuke of his administration should create some funding/staffing/messaging problems for them and reinforce what got Biden to this lead in the first place, Trump mismanagement/ putting his foot in his mouth.

  

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Marbles
Member since Oct 19th 2004
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:09 PM

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6. "I think she appeals to centrist Dems more than some other choices"
In response to Reply # 0


  

          


Specifically, Sanders & Warren. These 2 want to tear down the system and revamp it. Harris' mindframe is more of a "tweak it and fix it from the inside to make it work better."

I've been wondering if playing closer to the center is an attempt to attract that group of "undecided/independent voters" from 2016, who disliked both Trump & Clinton but voted for Trump.

  

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lightworks
Member since Feb 17th 2006
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:16 PM

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7. "Obviously Cali was already a lock whether he picked her or not. "
In response to Reply # 0


          

With this pick he showed is with listening to what the country needs at this moment in time and in history which is huge.

He also will energize folks of color and young folks, something that just wouldn't have happened in the same way if he had went with Whitmer or Warren.

  

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Bambino Grande
Member since Mar 14th 2019
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:40 PM

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17. "That part!"
In response to Reply # 7


          

>With this pick he showed is with listening to what the
>country needs at this moment in time and in history which is
>huge.
>
>He also will energize folks of color and young folks,
>something that just wouldn't have happened in the same way if
>he had went with Whitmer or Warren.

  

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CIPHA
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Wed Aug-12-20 01:46 PM

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34. "I'm not trying to be an antagonist, I promise"
In response to Reply # 7


          

But what evidence, actual or anecdotal, do we have that she will energize young and black voters? It didn't happen in the primaries.

Where do we find an upswell of support that wasn't already there?

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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Musa
Member since Mar 08th 2006
15789 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 12:17 PM

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8. "A side piece"
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

...

<----

Soundcloud.com/aquil84

(HIP HOP)
http://aquil.bandcamp.com

  

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Damali
Member since Sep 12th 2002
35865 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 12:27 PM

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13. "you're clearly intimidated by powerful Black women..."
In response to Reply # 8


          

....and its hilarious to watch!!

Keep going so I can keep laughing

cuz all your snark ain't stopping shit. She will be VP, and the one of the most power women in the world and there's nothing you can do about it

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL

man i'm loving this shit today!



d

  

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Musa
Member since Mar 08th 2006
15789 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 03:00 PM

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52. "This is called projection"
In response to Reply # 13


  

          

.

<----

Soundcloud.com/aquil84

(HIP HOP)
http://aquil.bandcamp.com

  

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ThaTruth
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:41 PM

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18. " R U MAD or NAH?"
In response to Reply # 8


          

  

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Musa
Member since Mar 08th 2006
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Wed Aug-12-20 03:01 PM

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53. "Im indifferent"
In response to Reply # 18


  

          

.

<----

Soundcloud.com/aquil84

(HIP HOP)
http://aquil.bandcamp.com

  

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Shaun Tha Don
Member since Nov 19th 2005
18289 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 04:19 PM

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59. "Just like she was to Willie Brown. "
In response to Reply # 8


          

Rest In Peace, Bad News Brown

  

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Musa
Member since Mar 08th 2006
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Wed Aug-12-20 06:15 PM

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61. "Willie Brown had her first"
In response to Reply # 59


  

          

...

<----

Soundcloud.com/aquil84

(HIP HOP)
http://aquil.bandcamp.com

  

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CherNic
Member since Aug 18th 2005
37156 posts
Thu Aug-13-20 08:43 AM

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71. "the fuck is wrong with yall"
In response to Reply # 59


  

          

  

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Vex_id
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:23 PM

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11. "I think it's a safe choice for Biden, though I don't know if that's a go..."
In response to Reply # 0


          

There's no regional utility with the pick (California was already going Biden and this leaves a Senate seat vacant). I also don't see how this pick expands the tent for likely voters - given that Harris does not have a strong reputation with leftists (namely Warren & Sanders supporters), many of whom already felt burned by the past two primaries. As we're seeing - Harris is getting attacked by both the left and the right (though most of the attacks are baseless and many just flat out incorrect, it still is playing with a large enough swath of the American electorate to make a dent).

I do think this helps in harnessing the suburban swing voter and white women - whom she seems to do very well with as a center-leaning Dem who - at least symbolically - represents a historic shift in the VP seat dynamic. Most Dems really champion that (and rightfully so). Biden already had the Black vote on lock - so the fact that Harris didn't perform well with Black voters in the primary likely won't be an impediment - but given that Trump is doing better with Black voters than virtually all Republican presidential nominees before him (welcome to 2020) - the Black turnout cannot experience the same kind of mild turnout that it had in 2016 (compared to 2008 and 2012).

Overall, Harris was a safe pick - but I hope it does enough to bring in disaffected voters who are not happy with the same old same old from the party.

-->

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:55 PM

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23. "trump got black support on par with repub presidents not facing obama."
In response to Reply # 11


          

he got about as much as bush in 2000 and less than bush in 2004.

in fact...he didnt 'gain' black support (like its usually characterized). its just that black dem turnout fell from obama to clinton so trumps black support was an increased percentage of overall share.

in general...and its largely lost in a lot of the narration about the 2016 election...trump really didnt perform anything special compared to other recent republican candidates. he actually won less percentage of voters than romney and less total votes than romney in wisconsin.

the final result was really about how much clinton underperformed with key constituencies of the dem base and consistent historical slide of non college educated white voters to the republican party thats been going on for a while now.

  

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Marbles
Member since Oct 19th 2004
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:59 PM

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25. "Good breakdown... n/m"
In response to Reply # 23


  

          

  

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Vex_id
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Wed Aug-12-20 02:38 PM

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48. "largely agree - but Black voter turnout in swing states must be solved"
In response to Reply # 23


          

in 2016 - there was considerable dropoff in Black turnout in Florida, Texas, Ohio, Michigan & Wisconsin. In some cases the dropoff was in the double digits. Granted, Clinton has historic unfavorables (which is why she performed so poorly at the polls with key Democratic demos) - but Trump has experienced higher than expected approval ratings and polling from Black voters in recent years. Will Kamala help with that? Hope so - but Biden's favorability ratings overall are pretty high (unlike Clinton) so that should help quite a bit as well.

-->

  

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Mynoriti
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38. "i don't think this is of any conern"
In response to Reply # 11


  

          

> and this leaves a Senate seat vacant).

Newsom picks her replacement, and Cali hasn't elected Repub senator in 30 years.

  

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T Reynolds
Member since Apr 16th 2007
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Wed Aug-12-20 04:07 PM

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57. "Dude I know remotely posted this up:"
In response to Reply # 11


  

          

Number one let me say I think the pick was a strategic one and I don't dislike Kamala despite my long list of issues with the criminal justice system as a whole.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH3l0oSzeIQ

I do not watch these people regularly btw,

For me the opinion in this video reflects a particular demographic, that is still going to vote Biden but is hyper-critical of Kamala for whatever reason. The dude who posted in particular is pro-law enforcement, anti-antifa, but is scandalized that DAs and AGs attempt to win cases and put people in jail. That's what they do, and that's what the system is for. I find the combination of attitudes mind-boggling, but these are the same people that might go Dem but hate Hillary for possibly hidden sexist reasons, or because she represents legacy power within the Dem party.

Anyway Kamala's record can be used to nullify the "Law & Order" tack Trump is taking, but also alienates more leftist voters. I also wonder if white women will take issue with a black woman achieving an office they have not yet gotten into themselves? Karens can be petty, and Trump is already digging at the psychological wounds with 'suburban women'.




  

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bigkarma
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:28 PM

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14. "Acceptable pick for moderates and progressives alike."
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

And while I'm sure the GOP is going to dig shit up, Kamala doesn't carry the obvious baggage, of Susan Rice or Liz. I'm sure FOX had Benghazi and Pocahontas commentary on deck.

Gretchen Whitmer would have created a backlash with the woke crowd, who demanded a woman of color. Stacey and Keisha didn't have enough national level experience, and Karen Bass and Tammy Duckworth didn't have the name recognition.

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
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Wed Aug-12-20 01:35 PM

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31. "one of the things im noticing with the right wing media complex"
In response to Reply # 14


          

is that they really struggle to come up with effective attacks for people they havent already been consistently attacking for years.

its why in congressional races...repubs always try to tie their opponents to pelosi and hillary clinton (still). there was a memorable moment in a house race in virginia where abby spanberger had to 'remind' her opponent that she wasnt nancy pelosi. she was abby spanberger.

but its a formula thats almost comical at this point. but i guess its at least somewhat effective with their base.

the problem is...they havent really been laying that groundwork with biden and kamala. and it shows.

one interesting fact that highlights this...a conservative book publisher known for putting out titles that serve as catnip for the repub base...they had 13 books about obama in 2012...12 books about clinton in 2016...and only 1 book about biden in 2020.
https://twitter.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1280876034720702464

  

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auragin_boi
Member since Aug 01st 2003
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:38 PM

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16. "A hard to hit target"
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

Kamala is a bit of an enigma to conservatives. They can't attack her past decisions without their own coming into question as she's towed the line of law and order.

Trump and his daughter donated to her campaign so they can't say they didn't think she was a good politician or didn't have a great platform.

She's married to a white guy so they can't call her racist.

She's mixed so they can't call her too militant.

She's smart and educated in law so they can't say she won't understand policy.

She's attractive so he can't dog her looks.

She's major scandal free so he can't "Bengazi or missing emails" her to death.

She's young enough that you can't question her facilities but old enough to have real world experience.

She's well connected, respected and even has some Hollywood wave (wasn't she in one of Dave Chappelle's most recent comedy specials?).

She's image friendly to centrist white suburban moms (where Biden hurts most).

But still a sista so Black people won't flee his campaign. Hell, MORE Black women might vote now and they outnumber Black men who can vote and that's how Obama won his first term...Black women showed up in droves:

https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/2009/04/30/dissecting-the-2008-electorate-most-diverse-in-us-history/

"Much of the surge in black voter participation in 2008 was driven by increased participation among black women and younger voters. The voter turnout rate among eligible black female voters increased 5.1 percentage points, from 63.7% in 2004 to 68.8% in 2008. Overall, among all racial, ethnic and gender groups, black women had the highest voter turnout rate in November’s election—a first."

She has a rep as a moderate centrist but has voted progressive.

Can debate better than either of the 4 men still standing.

Cons have been reduced to 'nasty how she treated Biden', hypocritical blabber 'bad choice'...but you donated to her campaign, racial non-sense 'not black enough, family owned slaves'...

I mean, it's early but it's going to be hard for them to meaningfully trash her in a way that makes votes turn away. I think waiting until August to announce the VP pick was great strategy (and I'm sure she knew earlier so they could prep all summer) as it disallowed the Trump team to 'Hilary' her with months of slander and bad press. Now they have 11 weeks to doxx her and make her look out of her element in a few debates/interviews. All while dealing with the fall out of a pandemic and demolished economy.

First wave of kids/teachers/parents start dying from corona in September in the places that are going back to school and Kamala/Biden have all they need to destroy Trump/Pence in debates.

...the worst thing a conservative can say about Kamala that might actually move the needle negatively is...

If Biden dies or becomes medically unfit for office (highly likely before he turns 81), Kamala Harris, a half Black/half Indian woman becomes the President of the United States.

THAT might scare off a few lighter shade voters...a Black woman (how they'll characterize it) running the country.

____________

  

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mista k5
Member since Feb 01st 2006
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:42 PM

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19. "^ well said"
In response to Reply # 16


  

          

  

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ThaTruth
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20. "she's perfect..."
In response to Reply # 16


          

>Kamala is a bit of an enigma to conservatives. They can't
>attack her past decisions without their own coming into
>question as she's towed the line of law and order.
>
>Trump and his daughter donated to her campaign so they can't
>say they didn't think she was a good politician or didn't have
>a great platform.
>
>She's married to a white guy so they can't call her racist.
>
>She's mixed so they can't call her too militant.
>
>She's smart and educated in law so they can't say she won't
>understand policy.
>
>She's attractive so he can't dog her looks.
>
>She's major scandal free so he can't "Bengazi or missing
>emails" her to death.
>
>She's young enough that you can't question her facilities but
>old enough to have real world experience.
>
>She's well connected, respected and even has some Hollywood
>wave (wasn't she in one of Dave Chappelle's most recent comedy
>specials?).
>
>She's image friendly to centrist white suburban moms (where
>Biden hurts most).
>
>But still a sista so Black people won't flee his campaign.
>Hell, MORE Black women might vote now and they outnumber Black
>men who can vote and that's how Obama won his first
>term...Black women showed up in droves:
>
>https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/2009/04/30/dissecting-the-2008-electorate-most-diverse-in-us-history/
>
>"Much of the surge in black voter participation in 2008 was
>driven by increased participation among black women and
>younger voters. The voter turnout rate among eligible black
>female voters increased 5.1 percentage points, from 63.7% in
>2004 to 68.8% in 2008. Overall, among all racial, ethnic and
>gender groups, black women had the highest voter turnout rate
>in November’s election—a first."
>
>She has a rep as a moderate centrist but has voted
>progressive.
>
>Can debate better than either of the 4 men still standing.
>
>Cons have been reduced to 'nasty how she treated Biden',
>hypocritical blabber 'bad choice'...but you donated to her
>campaign, racial non-sense 'not black enough, family owned
>slaves'...
>
>I mean, it's early but it's going to be hard for them to
>meaningfully trash her in a way that makes votes turn away. I
>think waiting until August to announce the VP pick was great
>strategy (and I'm sure she knew earlier so they could prep all
>summer) as it disallowed the Trump team to 'Hilary' her with
>months of slander and bad press. Now they have 11 weeks to
>doxx her and make her look out of her element in a few
>debates/interviews. All while dealing with the fall out of a
>pandemic and demolished economy.
>
>First wave of kids/teachers/parents start dying from corona in
>September in the places that are going back to school and
>Kamala/Biden have all they need to destroy Trump/Pence in
>debates.
>
>...the worst thing a conservative can say about Kamala that
>might actually move the needle negatively is...
>
>If Biden dies or becomes medically unfit for office (highly
>likely before he turns 81), Kamala Harris, a half Black/half
>Indian woman becomes the President of the United States.
>
>THAT might scare off a few lighter shade voters...a Black
>woman (how they'll characterize it) running the country.
>
>

  

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lightworks
Member since Feb 17th 2006
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:54 PM

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22. "Gonna steal this and claim it as my own lol aka great points!!"
In response to Reply # 16


          

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
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Wed Aug-12-20 12:56 PM

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24. "nice."
In response to Reply # 16


          

  

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Damali
Member since Sep 12th 2002
35865 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 01:10 PM

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26. "every fake ass political strategist on this Board need to read this"
In response to Reply # 16


          

CIPHA, please don't ever ask that dumb question again, either.

d

  

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CIPHA
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Wed Aug-12-20 01:29 PM

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30. "I asked what did he gain. This response is what he didn't lose."
In response to Reply # 26


          

If it was a dumb question, it wouldn't be so difficult to answer.

The closest reply to a tangible answer that I've seen here is that her addition will mobilize the black women who do GOTV efforts, and therefore lead to an uptick in votes.

But nobody has said he'll gain a stronghold in a state that he didn't already have or a voting bloc that wasn't already soundly in his pocket.

Not losing votes is not the same thing as gaining votes.

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
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Wed Aug-12-20 01:41 PM

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33. "not losing voters is gaining voters."
In response to Reply # 30


          

right now he is at 0. anything that adds to that is a gain.

  

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CIPHA
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35. "I.....don't know if I agree with this."
In response to Reply # 33


          

I'm certainly a big fan of maintaining your base, but I don't know if that can be compared to growing your base or building an enthusiasm amongst groups which were ambivalent.

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
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45. "we dont know what bidens base looks like yet."
In response to Reply # 35


          

all we have are projections/estimations.

  

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auragin_boi
Member since Aug 01st 2003
20939 posts
Wed Aug-12-20 02:48 PM

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49. "Well, there were two points in my posts that addressed your question"
In response to Reply # 35


  

          

>I'm certainly a big fan of maintaining your base, but I don't
>know if that can be compared to growing your base or building
>an enthusiasm amongst groups which were ambivalent

with a 3rd implied.

1) More black women will vote. They will be energized by the fact that if Biden can't finish his term, a black woman sits on top. Also, the historical precedent of first black woman VP nomination/potential president. That 5% increase in turnout mattered.

2) Centrist Suburban White Moms don't really go for Biden. With Kamala on the ticket, he'll snag an increase be it slight or significant, it'll help.

3) The implied part...someone who doesn't hurt the campaign given polls say Biden is ahead. That's a W. And in essence, she strengthens the campaign by being competent, savvy, smart and able to make white men sweat in a confrontation. That's gold for guys who have bullied their way through politics for 3.5 yrs.

Sorry if these weren't clear from my post.

____________

  

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CIPHA
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Wed Aug-12-20 03:17 PM

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54. "RE: Well, there were two points in my posts that addressed your question"
In response to Reply # 49


          


>1) More black women will vote. They will be energized by the
>fact that if Biden can't finish his term, a black woman sits
>on top. Also, the historical precedent of first black woman
>VP nomination/potential president. That 5% increase in
>turnout mattered.

That's solid. Going from 64% to 70% among black women I think can be a significant gain depending on how those votes are distributed in the electoral college.


>2) Centrist Suburban White Moms don't really go for Biden.
>With Kamala on the ticket, he'll snag an increase be it slight
>or significant, it'll help.

...I'm not sure about this one but I'll keep an eye out for it. I'm not sure why this demo would break for Kamala when they didn't break for Hillary. But perhaps they'll go moreso for Biden with her rather than without her, but I'm not sure that Harris herself would be unique in this regard. Perhaps any woman would get that same result.

>3) The implied part...someone who doesn't hurt the campaign
>given polls say Biden is ahead. That's a W. And in essence,
>she strengthens the campaign by being competent, savvy, smart
>and able to make white men sweat in a confrontation. That's
>gold for guys who have bullied their way through politics for
>3.5 yrs.

Again, I'm not asking about maintenance of the status quo but tangible gains. That doesn't mean I disagree with you.

>

>Sorry if these weren't clear from my post.

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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legsdiamond
Member since May 05th 2011
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Wed Aug-12-20 02:23 PM

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41. "Isn’t that maintaining voters? "
In response to Reply # 33


          

I’ve never gained money by not losing it.



****************
TBH the fact that you're even a mod here fits squarely within Jag's narrative of OK-sanctioned aggression, bullying, and toxicity. *shrug*

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
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Wed Aug-12-20 02:29 PM

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47. "but you already had money."
In response to Reply # 41


          

how many votes has biden already gotten?

  

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Damali
Member since Sep 12th 2002
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40. "boy bye. asked and answered. you reachin"
In response to Reply # 30


          

d

  

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CIPHA
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46. "^^ what passes for discourse here in 2020"
In response to Reply # 40


          

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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Damali
Member since Sep 12th 2002
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Wed Aug-12-20 02:53 PM

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51. "meanwhile you didn't even engage w/reply 16. you fake as fuck"
In response to Reply # 46


          

an entire intelligent response was delivered to you and you couldnt dispute it directly, so now you sub-whining about the lack of discourse...LOL

d

  

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CIPHA
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Wed Aug-12-20 03:19 PM

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55. "Nevermind, not gonna bam up the post"
In response to Reply # 51
Wed Aug-12-20 03:20 PM by CIPHA

          

But I didn't interact with it because I didn't consider it to be a response to my question, which is the point I made in responding to you since you called my question dumb.

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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Damali
Member since Sep 12th 2002
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Thu Aug-13-20 10:52 AM

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82. "it was DIRECTLY in response to your post"
In response to Reply # 55


          

how arrogant of you to decide that it was not a response LOL

you mean it wasnt the response you WANTED but it was a response

get over yourself

d

  

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CIPHA
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85. "How about fuck you and your emotional horseshit"
In response to Reply # 82


          

Ya'll bring all of your bullshit personal lives onto these boards and unload it. This shit ain't personal to me.

I have a real life in which I have a political science degree, a master's degree, a law degree, and I'm an actual elections attorney. So I'm attempting to edify myself through a discussion with my peers about a relevant topic, and all you can muster up is "this is a dumb question".

Go get some dick or pussy or religion or whatever will drag you out of this misery you're attempting to spread to me. Fuck you, I yield my time.

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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Damali
Member since Sep 12th 2002
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90. "LOL aw boo, the truth hurts, don't it?"
In response to Reply # 85


          

congrats on all those degrees, tho.

d

  

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CIPHA
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91. "I'll speak to you on your level. Girl, bye."
In response to Reply # 90


          

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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Damali
Member since Sep 12th 2002
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93. ":)~"
In response to Reply # 91


          

  

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Trinity444
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Wed Aug-12-20 01:40 PM

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32. "they’ll come for her sass..."
In response to Reply # 16


  

          

he’s already put out there that she’s mean and nasty. I’ve seen a few talk about her debating pence and we saw how they “poor guy” him against kaine.

I wouldn’t underestimate these guys. I pray to God she play her cards right...

  

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double negative
Member since Dec 14th 2007
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Wed Aug-12-20 02:02 PM

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36. "This is why I was inwardly freaking out last night"
In response to Reply # 16
Wed Aug-12-20 02:08 PM by double negative

  

          

I watch conservative spaces regularly because I've been watching the ebb and flow of the culture war happening since the late 90s

we're in a weird ass time where conspiracy theories have been allowed to bleed over into the communal brain space


When it comes to conservative talking points either logical or not, realistic or fringe I kind of have it down to a science. Show me a headline and I know what the response will be.

-logical conservative response: I dont like her policy but I mean, we can figure something out.

-uninformed conservative response: shes from california, they have restricted gun laws there...shes going to take our guns

-fringe conservative response: see what happened is Obama is not Obama ok brother? I'm going to blow your mind. THAT guy you see there? Thats the body double. the REAL Obama had a sex change and is actually...Kamala. Do your research.



UGH.



Kamala though? I have no clue what the fuck these people are going to think or do. Because I can't find their counter thread I'm feeling like I'm in a dark basement on the last stair step and I can't tell if there will be ground underfoot or another step.


the only thing that comes to mind will be treatment similar to Obama in that he was so unfuckwitable their criticism went into a weird area (that energy had to go somewhere) and lead to petty gripes like the tan suit bullshit.


Right now all I seem to pick up on is concern trolling and confusion.


I don't know.



***********************************************************
https://soundcloud.com/swageyph/yph-die-with-me

  

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legsdiamond
Member since May 05th 2011
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Wed Aug-12-20 02:26 PM

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43. "Conservatives don’t know what to do. "
In response to Reply # 36


          

They just making shit up right now.

Her granddaddy owned slaves
She’s not African American
She’s the real President

Whatever they do best believe they will ride it until the wheels fall off.

****************
TBH the fact that you're even a mod here fits squarely within Jag's narrative of OK-sanctioned aggression, bullying, and toxicity. *shrug*

  

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Shaun Tha Don
Member since Nov 19th 2005
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Wed Aug-12-20 04:24 PM

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60. "This one is actually fact. "
In response to Reply # 43


          


>She’s not African American

>
She's of Caribbean and South Asian descent.

Rest In Peace, Bad News Brown

  

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legsdiamond
Member since May 05th 2011
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65. "While it’s factually correct what’s the chess move with that one? "
In response to Reply # 60


          

She also wasn’t listening to Tupac in college.

what do they win with these facts at this point in the game?

****************
TBH the fact that you're even a mod here fits squarely within Jag's narrative of OK-sanctioned aggression, bullying, and toxicity. *shrug*

  

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Cocobrotha2
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Thu Aug-13-20 08:28 AM

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70. "Just sowing dissension amongst black, likely dem voters"
In response to Reply # 65
Thu Aug-13-20 08:29 AM by Cocobrotha2

          

Similar in intent to how liberals try to stir dissension in evangelicals by contrasting their faith against Trump's words and actions.

<-><-><-><-><-><-><-><-><->
<-><-><-><-><-><-><-><-><->

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
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Wed Aug-12-20 02:26 PM

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44. "fam do a twitter search for 'adrenochrome'."
In response to Reply # 36


          

im all in that right wing space...got fake accounts on mad sites/networks just to keep tabs.

and most people would never believe the shit that millions of these folks buy into.

i think thats part of the problem now. most of the people on 'the left' have no idea how crazy and deranged the people we are up against are. shit most people on 'the left' dont even know theyre on the left.

  

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BrooklynWHAT
Member since Jun 15th 2007
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50. "nah they know. problem is they think these folks can be reasoned with"
In response to Reply # 44


  

          

>
>i think thats part of the problem now. most of the people on
>'the left' have no idea how crazy and deranged the people we
>are up against are. shit most people on 'the left' dont even
>know theyre on the left.

because they themselves approach shit w/ reason and in good faith. they'll realize soon that some of these folks we'll just have to leave behind and hope they grab the bumper as the train leaves the station

<--- Big Baller World Order

  

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double negative
Member since Dec 14th 2007
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64. "oh i know all about the cabal. none of it...is on earth. "
In response to Reply # 44


  

          

so, I've been watching the Q space in addition to the other areas

I'm at a point where that Q shit scares me. It legitimately scares me because it just grips people. It draws in well meaning people who feel empowered to do very real shit with with very real weapons to solve very fake problems. it feels like a fever dream exacerbated by internet culture.

I went from laughing at it, to being fearful of the movement once a faction split off to combine christianity and Q to make a Q church.

plus I just learned that a significant amount of police officers BELIVE THIS SHIT.

If this aint the opening to handmaids tale....


you know though, a thought I've been having for a while now is...maybe a lot more people than we realize have been sexually abused as children. I say this because their obsession with creating narratives to save children from evil powerful people (mommy/daddy/authority?) all feels like some deep psychological thing being played out.

What a venn diagram look like between Q folks and folks who have lived through traumatic childhoods?







or...maybe like all things, it's really just another avenue to hate jewish people because thats where the conversation always seems to go.

Now, if you must excuse me, I must go count the money George Soros personally paid me.

***********************************************************
https://soundcloud.com/swageyph/yph-die-with-me

  

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T Reynolds
Member since Apr 16th 2007
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69. "I don't know how you do it. "
In response to Reply # 36


  

          

Farthest right I go is Joe Rogan, gateway that his show is

Hard line I do not cross, ever.

I trust people who recap Fox News for me, but I'm not tuning in

  

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double negative
Member since Dec 14th 2007
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88. "man, I WISH fox news was still considered extreme "
In response to Reply # 69


  

          

>Farthest right I go is Joe Rogan, gateway that his show is
>

Rogan, ugh. I hate and like this goon. Hes too fucking inconsistent for this planet.

>Hard line I do not cross, ever.
>
>I trust people who recap Fox News for me, but I'm not tuning
>in
>


Keeping my ear to the ground is how I deal with it. It helps me make sense of this world. I knew Charlottesville would go down the way it would after wathing the progression.

I've only just gone semi deep, like, reading through Gab - but I do refuse to visit certain places like 4chan and 8chan because thats the place where meme thinking is birthed. It all seems like a nihilistic cesspool of behavior thats far beyond the realm of actual racism.

Ya gotta keep watching all the pots - my new interest is watching the anti-identity politics (those who believe the true problem of America is wealth inequality and capitalism and that solving that would solve racism - aka, a rising tide....) spaces because the shit they say is about an inch away from racism.

***********************************************************
https://soundcloud.com/swageyph/yph-die-with-me

  

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Mynoriti
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94. "i used to listen to a fair amount of right wing talk radio"
In response to Reply # 69


  

          

Part of it was just fascination and partly it was kind of a self challenge to see how much i could take. But I think for a lot of these people Drudge and Fox are practically considered the middle now. My most extreme right wing friend was basically a fox news guy in the obama years. Now he shares Qanon shit. He's one of the few people i fell out with of politics.

>Farthest right I go is Joe Rogan, gateway that his show is
>
>Hard line I do not cross, ever.


Gateway is probably good way to describe Rogan and he seems to kind of bend based on who he's talking to. He'll challenge people on occasion (like he did Shapiro over the Kaep/kneeling thing). On some issues he's pretty left, and will drop the disclaimer that I'm just an idiot comedian/mma guy don't listen to me, but the "experts' recommends listening to on either side tend to be trash.

I haven't heard his show in the past month or so but I expect him to go full right wing within six months of moviing Texas. Especially if Biden wins.


  

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Amritsar
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39. "Fucking well said "
In response to Reply # 16


  

          

  

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Stadiq
Member since Dec 21st 2005
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42. "damn...well put"
In response to Reply # 16


          

  

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mrhood75
Member since Dec 06th 2004
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56. "I agree on these points. However, I just want to say this:"
In response to Reply # 16
Wed Aug-12-20 04:05 PM by mrhood75

  

          

If you think Drumf and Republicans aren't going to run ads claiming that Harris slept her way into politics, you're grossly underestimating their tactics.

Before we go any further, yes, I'm aware that it's total sexist, slut-shaming bullshit and grossly misrepresents Harris and her history. But that just means it's on-brand for these GOP douchebags.

They'll say she only got appointed to positions of power and elected as DA in SF because she was Willie Brown's "mistress." And a whole lot of other more repugnant shit.

Her opponents in the SF DA's race in 2003 used this. It's been floating as a right-wing talking point since the primaries started. It will be used by Drumf. And it will be ugly in the worst ways possible.

Again, I definitely think she was the right pick, but I have zero faith in Drumf and crew.

-----------------

www.albumism.com

Checkin' Our Style, Return To Zero:

https://www.mixcloud.com/returntozero/

  

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Mynoriti
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62. "people already doing that in this post"
In response to Reply # 56


  

          


>Before we go any further, yes, I'm aware that it's total
>sexist, slut-shaming bullshit and grossly misrepresents Harris
>and her history. But that just means it's on-brand for these
>GOP douchebags.
>
>They'll say she only got appointed to positions of power and
>elected as DA in SF because she was Willie Brown's "mistress."
>And a whole lot of other more repugnant shit.

  

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Mynoriti
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63. "was about to half jokingly say birthirism will make a comeback"
In response to Reply # 16


  

          

but reeq pointed out in another post, they're already on it

  

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vik
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67. "Felt nm"
In response to Reply # 16


  

          

---

But hell, what do I know?

  

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CIPHA
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66. "so black women will be motivated to Obama numbers, &"
In response to Reply # 0


          

they'll amplify their GOTV efforts? Is there anything else we can look for?

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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Willong
Member since Jun 08th 2009
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Thu Aug-13-20 06:15 AM

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68. "RE: so black women will be motivated to Obama numbers, &"
In response to Reply # 66


  

          

What else was there to gain?

Biden was never going to pick a non-authoritarian, non-hawkish running mate. The ticket would have been totally incoherent. They would have spent the entire campaign explaining why and how he differs with the running mate. Biden is running on a return to normalcy.

Why would someone vote for normalcy when there is a chance normalcy keels over at any moment and we have Hugo Chavez?

  

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CherNic
Member since Aug 18th 2005
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Thu Aug-13-20 08:56 AM

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73. "you say that like it's a bad thing..."
In response to Reply # 66


  

          

  

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CIPHA
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78. "perhaps you read everything I say like its a bad thing."
In response to Reply # 73


          

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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CherNic
Member since Aug 18th 2005
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Thu Aug-13-20 10:09 AM

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79. "not necessarily. our previous interactions made me think more of you tho"
In response to Reply # 78


  

          

  

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CIPHA
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81. "Understood. Luckily, my self-worth is unaffected."
In response to Reply # 79


          

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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CherNic
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89. "weird reply but good for you lol"
In response to Reply # 81


  

          

  

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bentagain
Member since Mar 19th 2008
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Thu Aug-13-20 08:51 AM

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72. "A Prosecutor"
In response to Reply # 0
Thu Aug-13-20 08:52 AM by bentagain

  

          

I think the biggest gain is her ability to effectively make the case against the Trumpster administration

When it comes from Biden...it's obviously hard to follow...and then there's the whataboutism of a 50 year career politician

But coming from Kamala, the case against Trumpster will be executed much more effectively

and we've already seen that telegraphed by Trumpster referencing how mean she was to Kavanaugh

Imagine what that looks like in a POTUS campaign...night after night after night

I think she's the right person to hand Trumpster his hat on the way out the door...and make him eat it.

---------------------------------------------------------------

If you can't understand it without an explanation

you can't understand it with an explanation

  

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Cocobrotha2
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75. "Agreed"
In response to Reply # 72


          

I'm basically saying the same thing in my post below.

<-><-><-><-><-><-><-><-><->
<-><-><-><-><-><-><-><-><->

  

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bentagain
Member since Mar 19th 2008
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76. "and to your point in the post below"
In response to Reply # 75
Thu Aug-13-20 09:04 AM by bentagain

  

          

I'm VERY encouraged by Joe intimating that he is going to bring in new voices

and not run for re-election in 2024

That signals to me...that Kamala 2024 is going to happen

and, as we saw in the VP sweepstakes, representation with innovative ideas and policies for current issues will be elevated

A lot of the statements he's made the past couple of days about her role in the administration are very encouraging

almost POTUS by proxy

...and I think that is a VERY good thing...

---------------------------------------------------------------

If you can't understand it without an explanation

you can't understand it with an explanation

  

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Cocobrotha2
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74. "I think she invigorates the campaign with discipline and energy"
In response to Reply # 0


          

Joe's not a great campaigner... he's always been prone to verbal gaffes (maybe bc of his stuttering issue) which limit his ability to drive a coherent message and make an impact in national campaigns.

It would be smart for him to find a way to make her THE prominent messenger for the campaign. They'd just have to manage the optics of who's really running the campaign and who's in charge without getting into petty power struggles.

<-><-><-><-><-><-><-><-><->
<-><-><-><-><-><-><-><-><->

  

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Reeq
Member since Mar 11th 2013
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Thu Aug-13-20 09:46 AM

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77. "9/10 dems approve of harris. more popular than joe in some key groups."
In response to Reply # 0
Thu Aug-13-20 09:57 AM by Reeq

          

https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1293917878887034883
-----
Nearly nine out of 10 Democrats approve of Kamala Harris as their party’s vice presidential nominee, and she is more popular than presidential candidate Joe Biden among women, young voters and some Republicans, according to a @Reuters /Ipsos poll
https://t.co/3ugos6upH9
-----


i guess we have our answer.

  

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CIPHA
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Thu Aug-13-20 10:36 AM

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80. "Here's what concerns me from that article:"
In response to Reply # 77


          

Maybe "concerns" isn't the correct word. It's just the question I'm mulling over in regards to this choice. From the article:

"The poll showed Biden’s lead over Republican President Donald Trump was effectively unchanged after he announced his running mate choice..."

I just don't see where she moves the needle (and I understand that your position is that not losing votes is the same thing as gaining votes lol). And I certainly don't see where she moves the needle in swing states/swing counties.

I'm extremely indifferent when it comes to Kamala, I just want Dems to win. I don't want her to be Tim Kaine part 2.

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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mista k5
Member since Feb 01st 2006
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Thu Aug-13-20 10:56 AM

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83. "who would have gained more votes for biden"
In response to Reply # 80


  

          

without losing more than they gained?

  

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CIPHA
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84. "well, to me its moreso a question of where than how many, right?"
In response to Reply # 83


          

Clinton beat Trump by about 3 million votes, but the election came down to about 17,000 votes in 3 counties in 3 different states.

So, would Susan Rice get him more votes in Ohio? Probably, but I'll acknowledge she might lose him some "BenGhaZi" conspiracy votes.

Val Demings, would she have gotten more votes in Florida? Would Keisha Lance Bottoms have pushed him over the top in Georgia which is polling at a dead heat right now?

Yeah we didn't want a white woman, but does Whitmer push him over the top in Michigan? And Warren was likely the most popular choice across the board.

So, I think there's at least a strong argument that there were some choices that would have been strategically more valuable while also not losing him any votes.

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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mista k5
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86. "is there proof that a VP being from a state actually results in more vot..."
In response to Reply # 84


  

          

i get what you're asking but i think even if some of those options would help in the respective states they would hurt more in other important states.

Biden already seems to be doing well in the battle ground states, he kind of just needs to hold on to the ball. Harris helps with that.

  

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CIPHA
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87. "I think much more so historically than recently"
In response to Reply # 86


          

But its a tough data set because presidential campaigns are infrequent.

So, if I go back to the last time an incumbent president was defeated, it was 1992 and Al Gore helped Clinton carry Tennessee. Clinton very well might have won TN without Gore though.

So, to answer your question, I don't think there's any real recent evidence of that. But situationally I think there might be something to be said for picking a VP from a swing state in this particular election. But your point it certainly well taken.

_____________________________________

Let me guess, I can have "good day" now, right?

  

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wluv
Member since Jan 27th 2003
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Thu Aug-13-20 04:24 PM

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92. "Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania"
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

Hillary lost these 3 presidential Democratic strongholds in 2016 by very small margins. No Democratic presidential candidate has lost any of these 3 states in the last 6 presidential elections. If Hillary wins either one of these states, she would have won the presidency.

I think Kamala will help Biden pull more votes out of the urban cities like Detroit, Milwaukee, and Philly, while Biden splits the rural vote with Trump, helping the Dems win back these states for the electoral win.

That aggregate will be crucial to making Nov 3rd a historic night.

  

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