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Lobby General Discussion topic #12882653

Subject: "will DC's housing bubble pop?" Previous topic | Next topic
Crash Bandacoot
Member since May 13th 2003
10119 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:01 PM

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"will DC's housing bubble pop?"
Tue Aug-18-15 03:03 PM by Crash Bandacoot

          

anytime soon? sky high mortgage and rent right now. 68% of new is now vacant.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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"Roll me further bitch"

  

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Topic Outline
Subject Author Message Date ID
not unless it all falls down again...
Aug 18th 2015
1
nope but I can't front, Anacostia is lookin mighty appealing these days
Aug 18th 2015
2
almost no chance
Aug 18th 2015
3
68% vacancy though
Aug 18th 2015
7
      foreign buyers, corporate apartments, second apartments
Aug 18th 2015
8
           Those aren't vacant apartments though
Aug 18th 2015
12
                they count when the city is counting vacant units
Aug 18th 2015
15
                     How would the city know?
Aug 18th 2015
16
                          surveys
Aug 19th 2015
20
DC been looking real bloody lately
Aug 18th 2015
4
too much crime
Aug 18th 2015
6
Unlikely
Aug 18th 2015
5
68%? That can't be right. Citation please.
Aug 18th 2015
9
someone who knows
Aug 18th 2015
10
You are saying that's the rental vacancy rate?
Aug 18th 2015
11
No way that's accurate
Aug 19th 2015
18
Nah. Too much turnover in residency
Aug 18th 2015
13
that makes sense.
Aug 18th 2015
14
^^^^ nm
Aug 19th 2015
17
Ridiculous, Just saw a Condo near potomac ave SE
Aug 19th 2015
19

legsdiamond
Member since May 05th 2011
79616 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:04 PM

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1. "not unless it all falls down again..."
In response to Reply # 0


          

too many government contracts for DC to burst.

I'm wondering the same thing in Charlotte. The amount of condos, high rises and apartment complexes are sky high.

Not sure there are enough bodies to fill them

****************
TBH the fact that you're even a mod here fits squarely within Jag's narrative of OK-sanctioned aggression, bullying, and toxicity. *shrug*

  

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Big Kuntry
Member since May 09th 2010
14866 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:07 PM

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2. "nope but I can't front, Anacostia is lookin mighty appealing these days"
In response to Reply # 0
Tue Aug-18-15 03:08 PM by Big Kuntry

  

          

.

  

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John Forte
Member since Feb 22nd 2013
15361 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:08 PM

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3. "almost no chance"
In response to Reply # 0


          

Childless people don't want to live in the burbs anymore. The most common occupation in the district is attorney, so there's plenty of money in the city. Also, height restrictions limit the amount of new housing units, so developers can't go too crazy.

  

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Crash Bandacoot
Member since May 13th 2003
10119 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:27 PM

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7. "68% vacancy though"
In response to Reply # 3


          

how do you explain it?

  

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John Forte
Member since Feb 22nd 2013
15361 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:38 PM

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8. "foreign buyers, corporate apartments, second apartments"
In response to Reply # 7


          

  

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Buddy_Gilapagos
Charter member
49420 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 04:00 PM

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12. "Those aren't vacant apartments though"
In response to Reply # 8
Tue Aug-18-15 04:12 PM by Buddy_Gilapagos

  

          

**********
"Everyone has a plan until you punch them in the face. Then they don't have a plan anymore." (c) Mike Tyson

Movies I need y'all bastids to see so we can discuss:

Five Star
Appropriate Behavior
Margaret

  

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John Forte
Member since Feb 22nd 2013
15361 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 04:19 PM

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15. "they count when the city is counting vacant units"
In response to Reply # 12


          

they separate "vacant, available", "vacant, unavailable because of renovation status" and "Vacant, unavailable because of occasional, seasonal or recreational use".

  

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Buddy_Gilapagos
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Tue Aug-18-15 06:02 PM

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16. "How would the city know?"
In response to Reply # 15


  

          

If a unit is "Vacant, unavailable because of occasional, seasonal or recreational use" because it's owned by a Russian Billionaire who changes drawls there twice a year?


I think dude is way off with his 68% vacancy stat.

>
>


**********
"Everyone has a plan until you punch them in the face. Then they don't have a plan anymore." (c) Mike Tyson

Movies I need y'all bastids to see so we can discuss:

Five Star
Appropriate Behavior
Margaret

  

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Jay Doz
Member since Dec 13th 2005
8663 posts
Wed Aug-19-15 06:04 PM

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20. "surveys"
In response to Reply # 16
Wed Aug-19-15 06:06 PM by Jay Doz

  

          

not saying the OP's #s are right, but vacancy surveys are done by federal government both quarterly and annually. i imagine localities aren't any different

-------
"A man who is good enough to shed his blood for his country is good enough to be given a square deal afterwards. More than that no man is entitled, and less than that no man shall have." - TR

  

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NikaMandela
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35230 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:10 PM

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4. "DC been looking real bloody lately"
In response to Reply # 0


          

or am i just now paying attention?

  

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Crash Bandacoot
Member since May 13th 2003
10119 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:24 PM

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6. "too much crime"
In response to Reply # 4
Tue Aug-18-15 03:25 PM by Crash Bandacoot

          

approaching 100 kills. that's why I'm apprehensive and trying to come up with reasons not to live there, lol.

  

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Cocobrotha2
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Tue Aug-18-15 03:18 PM

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5. "Unlikely"
In response to Reply # 0


          

Rates are really low, homeownership is the lowest in decades, standards are tight on credit... and in DC, alot of purchases are in cash, often by international investors.

I think prices are going to plateau, if they haven't already, just because the Fed is going to start raising rates within the year, and the higher interest rates will start to hurt buying power.

<-><-><-><-><-><-><-><-><->
<-><-><-><-><-><-><-><-><->

  

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Buddy_Gilapagos
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49420 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:38 PM

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9. "68%? That can't be right. Citation please."
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

**********
"Everyone has a plan until you punch them in the face. Then they don't have a plan anymore." (c) Mike Tyson

Movies I need y'all bastids to see so we can discuss:

Five Star
Appropriate Behavior
Margaret

  

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Crash Bandacoot
Member since May 13th 2003
10119 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:41 PM

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10. "someone who knows"
In response to Reply # 9


          

>

  

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Buddy_Gilapagos
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49420 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 03:59 PM

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11. "You are saying that's the rental vacancy rate?"
In response to Reply # 10


  

          


**********
"Everyone has a plan until you punch them in the face. Then they don't have a plan anymore." (c) Mike Tyson

Movies I need y'all bastids to see so we can discuss:

Five Star
Appropriate Behavior
Margaret

  

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blkprinceMD05
Member since Nov 29th 2004
41323 posts
Wed Aug-19-15 04:42 AM

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18. "No way that's accurate "
In response to Reply # 9


  

          

prototype

stand ur ground, believe in urself,
believe in love, prepare urself for love, remove the negativity from ur life, and accept the love u kno u deserve

  

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spenzalii
Member since Jan 02nd 2004
10982 posts
Tue Aug-18-15 04:05 PM

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13. "Nah. Too much turnover in residency"
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

Being a transient city, there's always people coming and going, regardless of how the economy goes. The prices may rise or fall to suit the economy, but by and large it's not going anywhere. There is a lot of new development, and a lot of new condo projects hitting the market, which may skew the vacancy numbers a bit. But while it may (and has) slowed a bit, I don't see it crashing. I've worked in real estate title for almost 15 years, mainly in DC, and even when the bottom fell out, DC wasn't affected nearly as badly as the surrounding metro areas

<-- Dave Thomas knows what's up...
__________________________

Jay: Look here homie, any nigga can get a hit record. This here is about respect.
Game: Like Gladys Knight.
Jay: Aretha Franklin.
Game: Word, I like her too.
Jay: Nigga...

  

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SoWhat
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Tue Aug-18-15 04:07 PM

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14. "that makes sense."
In response to Reply # 13


  

          

fuck you.

  

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Binlahab
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Wed Aug-19-15 04:26 AM

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17. "^^^^ nm"
In response to Reply # 13


  

          


does it really matter?

wonder what bin's doing?
http://i.imgur.com/phECCMp.jpg

  

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Mori
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3528 posts
Wed Aug-19-15 05:51 PM

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19. "Ridiculous, Just saw a Condo near potomac ave SE"
In response to Reply # 0


          

The windows faced a brick wall of a house in reconstruction.2bd/1ba The bathroom had no tub and their were cracks all over in the walls and cieling. $325k.

Nope. Not that pressed.

Rise & Shine
Thrive & Grind
Heart & Mind

  

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