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>... are people on this board still resisting the idea that >mid-range jumpers deplete a possession's value? > >It's not too hard to see that most of the best offenses in the >league (Denver, San Antonio, Houston, the Lakers) put a >premium on shots at the rim and 3 pointers. > >Percentage of shots from the rim and from beyond 3: >Houston: 73% >Denver: 66.9% >New York: 65% >Lakers: 62.8% >San Antonio: 61.5% >OKC: 58.7% >Miami: 58.5% >LAC: 58.4% > >8 of the top 10 teams in the NBA at this are (coincidentally!) >8 of the 10 best offenses in the league. Outside of Denver, they all have superstars/franchise players on those teams. One of the best teams in the league is the Pacers, and they aren't a great 3 shooting team.
>The worst offense in the league, Washington, takes only 48.9% >of their shots from the rim or from beyond 3, the least in the >league. Dude, Washington doesn't make the point for you
> >Yes, there are outliers. Yes, you can argue that those >percentages don't directly correlate to points in a firm and >precise manner (Houston doesn't score as many more points per >game than, say, the Spurs as it does take more shots from the >rim and 3 than the Spurs, etc). > >But the general results are pretty clear. Take a lower >percentage of mid-range shots, focus on 3s and the rim, and >your offense is statistically more likely to be strong. No, build around great talent, and then watch the game open up. Take good shots, and asking EVERY coach and player, the players with the mid-range game make the game easier for other players because the defense has to focus on them, and with ball movement, lead to someone being open.
>No, a good offense doesn't win you games by itself... but >since 8 of the top 10 offenses are in position to make the >playoffs (maybe even 9, if the Lakers pull it together), it >certainly doesn't hurt. You gotta have the personnel to do that. You can't just say that certain teams should focus on shooting 3's if their players aren't good or even decent 3 point shooters. It's easy to say that LAC/OKC/MIA should be shooting 3's because they have 3 point shooters. Should Memphis/Indiana/Chicago start shooting more 3's?
>When you consider that the average 3-point percentage for the >league is 35.6%, and the average percentage between 3 feet and >23 feet for the league is 38.8%... but one of those >percentages results in an additional point with every shot... >it's common sense. I can't disagree with that, but to say that everyone should start backing up and jacking 3's doesn't make a lot of sense either.
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