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Subject: "The New Hampshire Primary" Previous topic | Next topic
Vex_id
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Mon Feb-10-20 09:10 PM

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"The New Hampshire Primary"


          

On the eve of the NH Primary, it's hard to believe that we still don't have a clear victor out of the Iowa Caucus - but that's where we are.

Thousands showed up at University of New Hampshire tonight to rally for Bernie Sanders in what was easily the biggest rally in the state during this competitive primary season. AOC, Nina Turner, Cynthia Nixon, Paul Giamatti & Cornel West all deployed as Sanders surrogates throughout the state today, and opened up for Sanders in Durham to a monstrous crowd.

In contrast, Buttigieg was the darling of the New Hampshire Democratic Party as he was introduced first among all Presidential candidates at the glitzy McIntyre-Shaheen dinner over the weekend, boasting Rep. Kuster's endorsement of him, mocking the Sanders campaign, and enjoying preferential treatment from both state and national party insiders. Pete is definitely riding the momentum from Iowa and has climbed in all polls since the Caucus, even gaining +16 percentage points in some polls.

Klobuchar is a dark-horse here. She resonates with the Shaheen New Hampshire Democrats and has a strong pull from the moderate/conservative leaning crowd here. She may be positioned to upset Warren for 3rd - although Warren has a very vocal, loud & passionate contingent here given the state's geographic proximity to Massachusetts.

Biden's stock continues to plummet - despite getting some key endorsements from traditional Establishment circles. Had has made additional ridiculous gaffes at town-halls, and has been getting lost in the midst of his speeches - barely delivering a cogent address.

Gabbard will likely finish atop the lower tier candidates at ~4/5%, with Yang, Steyer trailing behind her at about 2%...and Bennett at the bottom of the group.

New Hampshire has had a much stronger track record (than Iowa) of predicting the eventual nominee - so the victor in this primary will carry significant momentum into Nevada & South Carolina.


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The New Hampshire Primary [View all] , Vex_id, Mon Feb-10-20 09:10 PM
 
Subject Author Message Date ID
I anticipate Bernie, but expect fuckery as the result.
Feb 11th 2020
1
Election integrity is a real problem. Nevada isn't being transparent:
Feb 11th 2020
4
im rooting for a strong showing by warren
Feb 11th 2020
2
me too, but if this alleged Amy surge is real
Feb 11th 2020
14
      i am being hopeful for warren
Feb 11th 2020
16
if only one candidate gets more than 15% of the vote they get all del.?
Feb 11th 2020
3
Isn’t NH like 3 delegates?
Feb 11th 2020
5
24...still not much
Feb 11th 2020
6
Yup - 24 pledged delegates.
Feb 11th 2020
7
      Damn, where did I get those EC ass numbers from?
Feb 11th 2020
9
           RE: Damn, where did I get those EC ass numbers from?
Feb 11th 2020
10
hahaha well voters listened to Biden
Feb 11th 2020
15
      You’re a lying dog-faced pony soldier
Feb 11th 2020
22
           hahaha and the stump was supposed to be his strength
Feb 11th 2020
24
Yes - there's a 15% threshold to win any delegates
Feb 11th 2020
8
      RE: Yes - there's a 15% threshold to win any delegates
Feb 11th 2020
12
           RE: Yes - there's a 15% threshold to win any delegates
Feb 11th 2020
17
Watch out for: Bloomberg write-ins
Feb 11th 2020
11
he can definitely be the big monkey wrench
Feb 11th 2020
13
Biden gon' BRICK!
Feb 11th 2020
18
Biden is already retreating to South Carolina lol
Feb 11th 2020
19
My thoughts: Bernie is gonna win, Pete will be second.
Feb 11th 2020
20
Who do you think would beat Trump?
Feb 11th 2020
21
a treadmill
Feb 11th 2020
23
^^ im saying. Trump is already beat
Feb 12th 2020
144
      Why/how are you so convinced of this ?
Feb 12th 2020
165
Bloomberg and that’s it for the current crop of folks out now.
Feb 11th 2020
28
      Can you name one reason besides his money?
Feb 11th 2020
36
      Your tone is trash.
Feb 11th 2020
40
           Huh? Lmao... if you don’t have an answer it’s cool
Feb 11th 2020
43
                0-100.
Feb 12th 2020
174
      Why Bloomberg?
Feb 11th 2020
41
           Watch your tone.. lol
Feb 11th 2020
45
                Hi there!
Feb 11th 2020
51
                     I’m sorry... It ain’t that serious tho.
Feb 11th 2020
58
This isn't my read at all.There were 4 BLACK CANDIDATES this primary.
Feb 11th 2020
25
      I agree with this for the most part
Feb 11th 2020
27
      I hear ya. And I agree, it will definitiely depend on who it ends up bei...
Feb 11th 2020
37
      Pete needs a Black VP because he’s at 0% black support.
Feb 11th 2020
29
      Well, there's a black candidate in the race right now and he's not doing
Feb 11th 2020
35
      Exactly right:
Feb 11th 2020
30
           RE: Exactly right:
Feb 11th 2020
31
           RE: Exactly right:
Feb 11th 2020
33
           Very true, good point.
Feb 11th 2020
32
I think we’re in trouble...
Feb 11th 2020
26
Huh? We haven’t even finished the second primary.. lol.
Feb 11th 2020
34
i mean, like...there’s no star....
Feb 11th 2020
38
havent even finished the FIRST primary
Feb 11th 2020
49
I dont have faith in any of these people beating Trump
Feb 11th 2020
39
If other Dem supporters aren’t gonna Bro then Sanders wins
Feb 11th 2020
44
      i don't think anyone has any clue how a Bernie candidacy will go
Feb 11th 2020
50
Sanders Crushes Trump by 18 Points Among Independent Voters
Feb 11th 2020
42
The big problem is The Black Vote is not on the same page
Feb 11th 2020
46
maybe this would be a good read
Feb 11th 2020
47
people need to stop panicking.
Feb 11th 2020
48
      Clinton is the only POTUS in 40 years to lose both Iowa & NH
Feb 11th 2020
52
      what sense does that make? he was the previous dem president.
Feb 11th 2020
53
      i hear you, papi...
Feb 12th 2020
85
who are all these people voting for amy klobuchar? lol.
Feb 11th 2020
54
if you were following this closely you'd see that Klobuchar was strong
Feb 11th 2020
56
who is your favorite candidate? you never say that.
Feb 11th 2020
57
      lol dog you’re obsessed with Tulsi
Feb 11th 2020
61
           damn its tulsi?
Feb 11th 2020
62
                LMAO he's never actually come out and said it, huh?
Feb 12th 2020
116
                     I have a great amount of respect for Tulsi.
Feb 12th 2020
117
                     She's an elected official who publicly says war is bad
Feb 12th 2020
121
                     I appreciate that you're one of the few here with a focus on war
Feb 12th 2020
132
                     It really hasn't come up much, has it?
Feb 12th 2020
134
                          We've had some successful threads on FP - but very few.
Feb 12th 2020
141
                     Political courage ?
Feb 12th 2020
148
                     lol while dude was making fun of supporters of biden/pete/liz/etc
Feb 12th 2020
135
                          lol damn you're licking your wounds after your abysmal predictions
Feb 12th 2020
137
                               link?
Feb 12th 2020
142
                                    So you're finally comfortable with predicting Sanders as the victor?
Feb 12th 2020
146
                                         dont deflect. show me where i pivoted to pete/amy.
Feb 12th 2020
151
                                              RE: dont deflect. show me where i pivoted to pete/amy.
Feb 12th 2020
197
wrong spot
Feb 11th 2020
59
at this point I'd prefer Amy over both of them
Feb 11th 2020
67
I’d rather Amy than Bernie or Buttigieg
Feb 11th 2020
71
think I agree with this too
Feb 11th 2020
73
Saw her speech last night and while she's done well in debates
Feb 12th 2020
83
      I hear you. Bernies the only one that fits that bill
Feb 12th 2020
120
           It may be worth considering that time won't come back
Feb 12th 2020
124
           one can dream, man!
Feb 12th 2020
130
           is that what that was about?
Feb 12th 2020
131
                Yeah, the caption was "is that Elizabeth Warren?" "Yeah"
Feb 12th 2020
133
me too
Feb 12th 2020
88
i blame stadiq
Feb 12th 2020
93
      hahahha!!! you know what, me too actually
Feb 12th 2020
115
           changing the stitching from warren to amy on these pussy hats
Feb 12th 2020
118
Sanders with the early lead (~5% in)
Feb 11th 2020
55
Yang and his collar is out.
Feb 11th 2020
60
smh mynoriti you really let mans down
Feb 11th 2020
63
      he's supposed to give *me* money tho :(
Feb 11th 2020
66
           nah you give him money now so he can give you money later
Feb 11th 2020
72
                thanks, man. I'm' excited
Feb 11th 2020
74
                     There's still hope for me at least
Feb 12th 2020
84
                          oh don't worry, he'll have more unsustainable and useless ideas
Feb 12th 2020
182
                               meanwhile my dudes hype for that 1k though
Feb 12th 2020
184
                                    you have friends who can't do math and don't read
Feb 12th 2020
188
                                         edit
Feb 12th 2020
192
                                              or you could read dude's policy proposals
Feb 13th 2020
207
                                                   There is one way he is libertarian and multiple ways he is not
Feb 13th 2020
209
                                                        idc if no libertarians rode for him. he'd still be one.
Feb 13th 2020
215
                                                        Fuck me for clicking this page but:
Feb 13th 2020
217
                                                             LOL. because I'd ever listen to libertarians?
Feb 13th 2020
226
                                                                  you were wrong
Feb 13th 2020
232
                                                                       wrong about what?
Feb 13th 2020
240
                                                        also, that he promotes political and economic theories that don't work
Feb 13th 2020
216
Michael Bennet drops out
Feb 11th 2020
64
Did he make a sound?
Feb 11th 2020
65
      Yes he did.
Feb 12th 2020
150
Warren tanking like this is kind of sad
Feb 11th 2020
68
Let’s be real, warren faltered when she released a plan for M4A.
Feb 11th 2020
69
M4A was the beginning of the end
Feb 12th 2020
180
Both Warren & Biden didn't reach threshold to earn delegates
Feb 11th 2020
75
truly bummed me out
Feb 12th 2020
94
Honestly, if you have a spread like this, chances are people
Feb 12th 2020
102
reverse Goldilocks
Feb 12th 2020
123
      yeah
Feb 12th 2020
126
update: the fuck is this post-primary speech
Feb 12th 2020
155
that biden ad on pete was fire and also showed how weak
Feb 12th 2020
158
      his tanking early on in these 'overly white' states was a surprise
Feb 12th 2020
162
           that and he basically ran from the media for a year.
Feb 12th 2020
166
                I literally laughed out loud
Feb 12th 2020
179
I’m here for it. shes a walking political tv ad
Feb 12th 2020
185
If Biden doesn’t win SC he needs to drop out. Warren should drop
Feb 11th 2020
70
Great win for Sanders
Feb 11th 2020
76
why are there no new polls for nevada??
Feb 12th 2020
95
      Nevada is shaping up to be a shit-show
Feb 12th 2020
107
           can you do a swipe?
Feb 12th 2020
110
dem turnout on pace to surpass 2008 nh primary.
Feb 12th 2020
77
People in here trying to ride for Klobuchar?
Feb 12th 2020
78
Yup
Feb 12th 2020
87
I don't know if it's a pro-Klobuchar thing
Feb 12th 2020
106
      huh? not everything is about your Bernie agenda
Feb 12th 2020
113
           The persecution complex they have is nauseating. Even when
Feb 12th 2020
149
                You don't even have the facts correct
Feb 13th 2020
241
ive seen several pundits mention the nh youth vote is down from 2016.
Feb 12th 2020
79
Why isn't election reform a bigger topic?
Feb 12th 2020
80
So basically, the demographic that is overwhelmingly pro-Bernie
Feb 12th 2020
92
its bigger than bernie fam lol.
Feb 12th 2020
100
      oh yeah, I'm just saying this speaks directly to your posts below
Feb 12th 2020
101
i dont remember if it was cnn or msnbc that mentioned that
Feb 12th 2020
98
The under 30 vote was about 11/12% in NH last night
Feb 12th 2020
99
Bern dropped from 60% in 16' to 26%
Feb 12th 2020
81
Buttttt that says a lot. He’s had over 4 years to win ppl over and
Feb 12th 2020
82
bernie doesnt have the expansive base/coalition some predicted.
Feb 12th 2020
86
      yeah anyone thinking he is any stronger of a front runner than Biden
Feb 12th 2020
91
      lol except that Biden was never a strong frontrunner
Feb 12th 2020
96
      Biden was never strong. I fell for the hype too
Feb 12th 2020
104
           his speech in SC last night was sad
Feb 12th 2020
105
                After Iowa I will never watch him again
Feb 12th 2020
108
      its insane *they* can't talk about this rationally
Feb 12th 2020
122
           yea you don't understand New Hampshire
Feb 12th 2020
127
           *I* am scared that he has only won 1.5 out of 2 states so far
Feb 12th 2020
129
           you know how it goes. broad brush 24/7.
Feb 12th 2020
139
           Nah... not sure why you guys thought 60% were all passionate
Feb 12th 2020
143
                Bernie supporters feed that narrative
Feb 12th 2020
156
                Die Bernie Braunshirtz!
Feb 12th 2020
157
                if tweetng "turd way" at @thirdwaytweets is wrong...
Feb 12th 2020
160
                Both sides
Feb 12th 2020
169
                RE: CNN feeds that narrative
Feb 12th 2020
161
                They play into CNN's hands by giving them ammo
Feb 12th 2020
168
                     CNN defends Bloomberg’s stop and frisk comments
Feb 13th 2020
204
                          If it was only CNN you would have a point but
Feb 13th 2020
219
                               RE: reply 161
Feb 13th 2020
234
                                    So it's all of them, everybody is against Bernie
Feb 13th 2020
235
                                         Bernie is not a viable candidate because...
Feb 13th 2020
237
                                              Deflection is not a defense
Feb 13th 2020
239
                                                   The “Bernie Bros” Narrative: a Cheap Campaign Tactic
Feb 14th 2020
242
                                                        You can call it that when it's only coming from Hillary in 2016
Feb 14th 2020
243
                                                             Incels are not endemic to Bernie Sanders and/or his campaign.
Feb 15th 2020
244
                                                                  We are not talking about Tulsi and her campaign
Feb 15th 2020
246
                lol People still cite CNN on stuff like this?
Feb 12th 2020
167
                     Washington Post ran 16 negative Bern stories in 16 hours
Feb 12th 2020
171
                I'm not saying that, necessarily
Feb 12th 2020
178
                     the ‘Bernie cant win’ narrative is such bizarro world
Feb 12th 2020
186
                          unions are coming out against M4A man
Feb 13th 2020
229
                               because their leaders are hooked up with certain folks
Feb 13th 2020
231
                                    either way its not a good look
Feb 13th 2020
236
                                         they sure are
Feb 13th 2020
238
It's a really disingenuous narrative.
Feb 12th 2020
97
      Any credibility to the idea that the 20' cycle has adopted Sander's plat...
Feb 12th 2020
103
           without question, the 2020 Dems are running on a Sanders platform
Feb 12th 2020
119
gotta say it again: this bloomberg run is dumb as shit.
Feb 12th 2020
89
bloomberg wants to be President, he probably regards all of them
Feb 12th 2020
90
I just want one person who supports Bloomberg to tell me why
Feb 12th 2020
111
      it's because he seems harmless and is so much better than the
Feb 12th 2020
112
      People have given up on politics
Feb 12th 2020
114
           Have to make an unrelated sidenote:
Feb 12th 2020
125
                The fuck?
Feb 12th 2020
128
                     huh. I mean I would expect him to be outraged by the practice
Feb 12th 2020
136
                          It's mostly the latter
Feb 12th 2020
140
                               I read recently that The State can be reduced to the need to
Feb 12th 2020
147
                                    Oh! Noted
Feb 12th 2020
153
FUCK Bloomberg
Feb 12th 2020
154
      vs trump?
Feb 12th 2020
159
           Bloomberg is too much a lateral move
Feb 12th 2020
163
           Politically, I don't think there's a lot of space between him & 45
Feb 12th 2020
170
*leans toward microphone*
Feb 12th 2020
109
hearing clinton campaign alumni on these news shows
Feb 12th 2020
138
they are completely up their own asses, partying like it's 1995 and shit...
Feb 12th 2020
172
Go Bernie!!!!
Feb 12th 2020
145
Deval Patrick drops out
Feb 12th 2020
152
really odd flex here by bernie supporter ryan grim from theintercept.
Feb 12th 2020
164
Bloomberg is the only Dem candidate out who can definitely beat Trump.
Feb 12th 2020
173
Definitely ? Nah
Feb 12th 2020
175
what are you basing this on?
Feb 12th 2020
176
He’s the only one who can run ads in states that the others can’t.
Feb 12th 2020
195
      the problem is your complacency
Feb 12th 2020
199
      I just went candidate by candidate and explained why each would win or l...
Feb 12th 2020
201
           anybody that just decides they are going to beat the bad billionaire
Feb 13th 2020
208
           Sadly... this is how a lot of people think when it comes to politics
Feb 13th 2020
212
                ....to be fair she said:
Feb 13th 2020
223
           and each of your answers scream uninformed
Feb 13th 2020
222
      RE: He’s the only one who can run ads in states that the others can’...
Feb 13th 2020
211
      Google it.
Feb 13th 2020
218
           Is it because Bloomberg is making it more expensive for other candidates
Feb 13th 2020
228
      I dont think Trump is scared or intimidated by Bloomberg
Feb 13th 2020
221
           why that matters to a voter is the question
Feb 13th 2020
224
Please stick to celebrity gossip. Or least come up with
Feb 12th 2020
177
Tone is trash..
Feb 12th 2020
189
yall leave MISTA MONOTONE out of this
Feb 12th 2020
191
#ToneCheck
Feb 12th 2020
200
God damn the hate in here is strong. Sad.
Feb 12th 2020
194
      I’m sure you are surprised people hate Bloomberg.
Feb 13th 2020
203
i think they can all beat him
Feb 12th 2020
181
u went hard at Legs, then say some uninformed shit like this
Feb 12th 2020
183
She won’t tell us why tho...
Feb 12th 2020
190
      yall got click-baited
Feb 12th 2020
193
Boy that Bloomberg $ got long legs
Feb 12th 2020
187
no he isn't. I'm not voting for him and telling others not to.
Feb 13th 2020
206
Iowa Dem Chair resigns
Feb 12th 2020
196
Yeah im voting for Bloomberg *sigh*
Feb 12th 2020
198
I honestly don’t think I could vote for him. Hopefully I won’t have
Feb 12th 2020
202
I refuse. and if people try to push me toward him
Feb 13th 2020
205
The "allure" of Bloomberg is an omen on our political process
Feb 13th 2020
214
Dude gonna have stop and frisk in every city
Feb 13th 2020
210
I'mma just leave this here
Feb 13th 2020
213
Damn.. this is spot on
Feb 13th 2020
220
terrible decision, I'm sorry
Feb 13th 2020
225
More Dems came out to vote in 2020 primary than they did in '08
Feb 13th 2020
227
*slaps cheeks, sarcastic gasp*...historic turnout eh?....2008?
Feb 13th 2020
230
comparing turn out vs previous incumbent runs is interesting too
Feb 13th 2020
233
NH Primary breaks record with Democratic turnout
Feb 15th 2020
245
Awesome! The moderates brought a lot of voters out. A lot of ppl
Feb 15th 2020
247
      bernie did underperform his polling.
Feb 15th 2020
248
      The "Sanders barely won a state right next door!" narrative...
Feb 15th 2020
250
           Yep. It's a swing state but leans right/moderate.
Feb 15th 2020
251
           Like, Pat Buchanan took it in the '96 Republican primary
Feb 15th 2020
252
           clinton won nh in 1996 by 10 pts.
Feb 16th 2020
256
                it doesn’t appear that you actually read my post.
Feb 16th 2020
259
                the entire state doesnt vote in the dem primary tho.
Feb 16th 2020
261
                That's one year.
Feb 16th 2020
267
           Right. NH is often the least progressive state in New England
Feb 16th 2020
265
           exactly right
Feb 16th 2020
257
           a lot of this is inaccurate.
Feb 16th 2020
263
                This ain't 1996 - primary politics are mainstream/global now
Feb 16th 2020
264
           the dem electorates of the neighboring states have similar demographics
Feb 16th 2020
260
      Lol that’s one way to interpret a Sanders victory
Feb 15th 2020
249
           well we can agree that the majority of people voting in that primary
Feb 15th 2020
253
                Again - what is this based on? A hunch?
Feb 16th 2020
254
                     Sanders *didn't* come 1st in the IA realignment gains tho, he came 3rd.
Feb 16th 2020
255
                          You’re referring to the 2nd realignment
Feb 16th 2020
258
                               ?
Feb 16th 2020
262
                                    Relax fam. kfine & I got this
Feb 16th 2020
266

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