Do you see this election as in the bag? Which states will do it for the democrats?

The states at play seem to be

Trump 2016 wins:
Wisconsin
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Florida
Arizona

Clinton 2016 wins
Minnesota
New Hampshire
Nevada


When I look at it this way, I become very pessimistic about a democratic candidate's prospects. It doesn't matter if people in general don't like Trump.
The path to victory seems very narrow and runs through just a few states. Everything else is irrelevant.

Assuming Florida is a lost cause (never depend of Florida man), the democrat would have to win back all of Wisconsin, Penn, Michigan. And hold off flips of increasingly weak looking states like Minnesota and New Hampshire.

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