Go back to previous topic
Forum nameOkay Sports
Topic subjectHow did 12 teams pass on Donovan Mitchell?
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=8&topic_id=2652303
2652303, How did 12 teams pass on Donovan Mitchell?
Posted by ThaTruth, Mon Apr-23-18 11:33 PM
2652307, I don't even remember him at Louisville
Posted by BrooklynWHAT, Mon Apr-23-18 11:41 PM
And UNC played them once or twice a year when he was there.
2652320, pistons took stanley johnson & luke kennard over devin booker & mitchell
Posted by guru0509, Tue Apr-24-18 12:57 AM
and svg has only made the playoffs once in his 4 years.

i really dont get the hype
2652322, What makes it EXTRA bad is that they had private workouts for both,
Posted by isaaaa, Tue Apr-24-18 01:02 AM
ain't no way Kennard's workout was better than Mitchell's...nope


Anti-gentrification, cheap alcohol & trying to look pretty in our twilight posting years (c) Big Reg
http://Tupreme.com
2652362, their record with Reggie Jackson on the floor is very good
Posted by cgonz00cc, Tue Apr-24-18 08:23 AM
like 60% over the last 3 years

year 1 was a wash, the last 2 have been injury filled

im not advocating an extension, but lets see how his last year goes. if they stay healthy, they'll win.
2652323, The Knicks & Hornets probably fucked up the most,
Posted by isaaaa, Tue Apr-24-18 01:05 AM
The Knicks passed up on Dennis Smith Jr. AND Donovan Mitchell LOL.

The Hornets drafted MALIK MONK over Donovan Mitchell, and as previously mentioned The Pisstons chose some pedestrian white boy from Duke over Donovan.



Anti-gentrification, cheap alcohol & trying to look pretty in our twilight posting years (c) Big Reg
http://Tupreme.com
2652354, RE: The Knicks & Hornets probably fucked up the most,
Posted by Numba_33, Tue Apr-24-18 08:07 AM
>The Knicks passed up on Dennis Smith Jr. AND Donovan Mitchell
>LOL.

I let out a nice, deep and painful laugh watching highlights from last night's game. I saw a graphic stat on ESPN that he tied a record for getting 100+ points in his first four games as a rookie; I think Jordan was the only other player to do that.

A nice, deep and painful laugh indeed as a Knicks fan.
2652359, Kennard is good tho.
Posted by cgonz00cc, Tue Apr-24-18 08:18 AM
2652365, they'll see. Luke will be 50-40-90 at least one season in his career
Posted by Basaglia, Tue Apr-24-18 08:25 AM
2652406, on four shots per game
Posted by bshelly, Tue Apr-24-18 10:07 AM
2652408, counts just the same.
Posted by Basaglia, Tue Apr-24-18 10:10 AM
2652411, last month of the season he took dbl digit shots 8 times
Posted by cgonz00cc, Tue Apr-24-18 10:23 AM
and averaged 9 shots per game

in 6 of those 8 games he shot 50% or higher and for the month shot 47/42/86

AND maintained a >2:1 A:TO

I hate that SVG is gonna be coaching for his job this year. Bullock/Stanley/Kennard need to be playing 32 mpg each between the 2 wing spots, but coaching hot seats and "reliable" vets go together like PB&J
2652412, wait when did they decide to bring him back for 18-19?
Posted by bshelly, Tue Apr-24-18 10:25 AM
and it's not like stan needs an excuse to bury young guys and play trash vets.
2652427, he has a year left on his current deal.
Posted by cgonz00cc, Tue Apr-24-18 10:51 AM
which he had better be allowed to play out.

give him a chance with a top 9 of Reggie, Dre, Blake, Bullock, Kennard, Stanley, Ish, Tolliver, Moreland

they have been too good with Reggie on the floor to abort this imo. they were 19-14 when Reggie got hurt; if they get back to that, then maybe extension talk. if they are under .500 then just can him.
2652421, stanley had his chances
Posted by Basaglia, Tue Apr-24-18 10:36 AM
2652393, lolz
Posted by ThaTruth, Tue Apr-24-18 09:35 AM
2652424, He averaged 12/4/2.5 on 47/45/85 shooting in March and April.
Posted by Frank Longo, Tue Apr-24-18 10:42 AM
So of course he's good. Second-best three-point shooting rookie this season behind Tatum-- and honestly wouldn't surprise me if he ends up the best three-point shooter in the class overall longterm.

But draft revisionists are gonna do what they do: ignore what happened in college entirely, ignore why Kennard wasn't a bad pick at all, and ignore how well the lesser player is doing because the player drafted below happens to be doing much better. It's like saying "why did the Nets take Jarrett Allen over Kyle Kuzma????" Just because Kuzma had a really great rookie year doesn't mean that Allen didn't have a good one himself-- and doesn't mean that Allen wasn't the right pick there.

If you look back at rookie seasons for players picked 12th overall over the last, say, twenty years, I'd be really surprised if Kennard didn't have a Top 5 season of that group. Might even be Top 3-- only Saric and Thaddeus Young strike me as obvious choices to be above him. This rookie class just had an exceptionally deep group of terrific rookie seasons because of some very surprising first-year results from guys like Mitchell, Kuzma, Bogdanovic, and Dillon Brooks.
2652446, if donovan mitchell didnt exist Piston fans would be ecstatic
Posted by cgonz00cc, Tue Apr-24-18 11:57 AM
its a pick outside of the top 10...who gives a shit what the next guy does?

2652567, He ain't DONNIE MITCHELL GOOD! LOL
Posted by isaaaa, Tue Apr-24-18 07:28 PM
>


Anti-gentrification, cheap alcohol & trying to look pretty in our twilight posting years (c) Big Reg
http://Tupreme.com
2652363, if the hornets drafted mitchell then clifford would've pinned him to the bench too
Posted by BrooklynWHAT, Tue Apr-24-18 08:24 AM
clifford doesnt like rookies.
2652416, ^^^^
Posted by legsdiamond, Tue Apr-24-18 10:30 AM
2652369, Chill they ain't fit the triangle *rolls eyes*
Posted by Cenario, Tue Apr-24-18 08:29 AM
>The Knicks passed up on Dennis Smith Jr. AND Donovan Mitchell LOL.
2652405, cmon man. the pistons took luke kennard.
Posted by bshelly, Tue Apr-24-18 10:06 AM
2652568, No idea how you work out him & Mitchell and pick Kennard, LOL.
Posted by isaaaa, Tue Apr-24-18 07:29 PM

Anti-gentrification, cheap alcohol & trying to look pretty in our twilight posting years (c) Big Reg
http://Tupreme.com
2652324, He was a 6'2 shooting guard who couldn't shoot.
Posted by Frank Longo, Tue Apr-24-18 01:33 AM
His shot selection was awful in college-- only shot 33% from 3 and under 40% overall against Tier A competition his sophomore year, not to mention all of the ill-advised contested mid-rangers he'd clunk in iso-- and he's undersized for conventional NBA shooting guard wisdom. Elite athlete, elite defender... but seemed more like a scrappy guard off the bench or the kind of guy who stuffs stats on a bad team more than a guy who stars for a playoff team.

Before the combine, he was expected to go in the 20s. (Source, among others: https://web.archive.org/web/20170401024051/http://www.draftexpress.com/nba-mock-draft/2017/) The draft comparisons I saw at the time were, for best case scenarios, names like Avery Bradley and Eric Bledsoe-- both of whom were picked in the late teens out of college IIRC. And both of them had better college seasons than Mitchell's best.

It's really not that surprising considering what he did in college that he got picked where he did. What *is* surprising is how far he's come in such a short period of time.
2652355, Exactly.
Posted by Ceej, Tue Apr-24-18 08:10 AM
Just like calling for sure top 5 picks busts. NO. They were the pick at the time and ended up sucking. Guys like Mitchell and Draymond got picked where the they should have and got in the league with drive and a chip on their shoulder and out performed their draft stock and made a bunch of teams regret passing on them and a bunch of interneters revising history.
2652397, he definitely seems to play bigger than his size, I guess that's partly...
Posted by ThaTruth, Tue Apr-24-18 09:38 AM
due to the 6-10 wingspan, plus he's just a physical guy.

I guess like Draymond he just got lucky and landed in the right situation where he had the opportunity to shine.
2652569, LOL @ Lucky.
Posted by isaaaa, Tue Apr-24-18 07:30 PM

Anti-gentrification, cheap alcohol & trying to look pretty in our twilight posting years (c) Big Reg
http://Tupreme.com
2652325, He went *up* the board, not down, man
Posted by ConcreteCharlie, Tue Apr-24-18 03:04 AM
In a world where Draymond Green went 35th overall, I wouldn't call this too much of a head-scratcher.
2652348, Draymond went where he should have
Posted by Ceej, Tue Apr-24-18 07:32 AM
2652420, agreed.
Posted by Dr Claw, Tue Apr-24-18 10:33 AM
2652460, As far as a collegian he had a better career than Mitchell, cmon
Posted by ConcreteCharlie, Tue Apr-24-18 01:20 PM
2652570, True.
Posted by isaaaa, Tue Apr-24-18 07:32 PM

Anti-gentrification, cheap alcohol & trying to look pretty in our twilight posting years (c) Big Reg
http://Tupreme.com
2652623, They also both suffered from the dreaded "undersized label"
Posted by ConcreteCharlie, Wed Apr-25-18 03:16 AM
But Green played big at least, I really didn't have much indication that Mitchell could do what he is doing until I actually saw him in the pros.
2652410, their scouts watch the same amount of games as you do.
Posted by 40thStreetBlack, Tue Apr-24-18 10:21 AM
2652461, It looked like a simple two-hander, but the rim keeps on shaking.
Posted by ConcreteCharlie, Tue Apr-24-18 01:21 PM
2652647, lol
Posted by Cenario, Wed Apr-25-18 08:57 AM
2652450, Technically 13 teams passed on him
Posted by Ceej, Tue Apr-24-18 12:22 PM
2652453, I'm surprised he went that high, really nothing about him in college
Posted by J_Stew, Tue Apr-24-18 12:48 PM
screamed lottery pick.
2652577, Nobody saw this coming....
Posted by Warren Coolidge, Tue Apr-24-18 08:20 PM
and if they say they did they're lying..

this happens sometimes...

nobody really messed up passing on him because he wasn't showing he would ball out to this level... some guys just bubble when they hit the pros... Kuzma is another one like that...
2652578, Lol, the 20/20 hot trash takes are always fun
Posted by LA2Philly, Tue Apr-24-18 08:31 PM
2718490, 9/10s of uppages on this board are precisely this, lol.
Posted by Frank Longo, Mon Aug-24-20 01:54 PM
2718521, the funniest part is the knicks now having Dennis Smith Jr.
Posted by Rjcc, Mon Aug-24-20 06:58 PM

www.engadgethd.com - the other stuff i'm looking at
2718541, The thing is with young players you just don’t know and it’s funny...
Posted by ThaTruth, Mon Aug-24-20 10:15 PM
when you have self-anointed experts with definitive takes on guys that are barely legal drinking age or even younger
2718458, ?
Posted by ThaTruth, Mon Aug-24-20 07:28 AM
2718463, Hornets head coach wanted to draft him and Jordan overruled him
Posted by legsdiamond, Mon Aug-24-20 08:47 AM
well, MJ and “management” wanted Monk over Mitchell.

2718470, I will take my L
Posted by Amritsar, Mon Aug-24-20 10:59 AM
had in the list of scrubby ass gunners


I've been wrong lately :(

About Trae too
2718758, on paper: super athletic undersized scoring guard with not a lot of experience
Posted by Rjcc, Fri Aug-28-20 02:11 AM
usually doesn't work out!


dude is the exception, man

www.engadgethd.com - the other stuff i'm looking at
2739864, ?
Posted by ThaTruth, Thu Jun-10-21 10:31 PM
2739874, Reply 5 is still the answer.
Posted by Frank Longo, Fri Jun-11-21 12:39 AM
2739876, the guy I can't figure out is Devin Booker
Posted by Rjcc, Fri Jun-11-21 04:19 AM
he's not perfect, but he has all the stuff that people are usually looking for

www.engadgethd.com - the other stuff i'm looking at
2739879, Yeah looking at him & Donovan being 13th picks Jokic being a 2nd rounder
Posted by ThaTruth, Fri Jun-11-21 05:55 AM
and looking at the names drafted before them makes me look at all these self-proclaimed "draft experts" sideways
2739883, all of this is gambling and 'expert' just means that's your
Posted by tariqhu, Fri Jun-11-21 08:22 AM
profession. I was an 'engineer' if you believed my title. I clearly am not, but my profession at the time was considered engineering.
2739895, Scouts understand that there's a range of outcomes.
Posted by Frank Longo, Fri Jun-11-21 11:18 AM
Some teams will pick players based on where their highest possible outcome is. Some will pick based on their median outcome. Some won't pick players with low floors. Some pick players with high floors and hope to build. It varies from team to team, year to year.

So player analysis for the draft is never "this guy IS this"-- at least scouts don't do that, maybe some of the dummies on TV do. Scouts and smart draft guys will discuss a range outcomes, and they'll often center in on certain "swing skills." i.e. "he couldn't shoot 3s in college. if he can figure that out as a pro, he's an All-Star. if not, he's a lower-tier starter/bench rotation player."
2739907, at the end of the day there's no way to predict how a 19y/o is going to...
Posted by ThaTruth, Fri Jun-11-21 12:33 PM
respond once he has millions in the bank regardless of what his "ceiling" and "floor" is or estimated to be.

At every level some guys get satisfied with that level of success, some have the internal drive and work ethic to continue to get better.
2739914, Oh, 100%. That's just a really subjective metric for scouts to measure.
Posted by Frank Longo, Fri Jun-11-21 02:04 PM
Some kids will come in with internal drive and work ethic. I think the ones where this is obvious tend to be the guys who are drafted very, very high-- or guys who are picked unexpectedly high, considering their current talent level. That sort of deal.

But then you also have guys that just didn't fuck with college who figure it out. Or you have guys who kind of loaf for much of their rookie contract while they're young, until they realize, "oh shit, this might fuck with my money," so then they crank up the focus. Or you have the guys who just won't ever figure it out fully.

And you'll have the opposite too: you'll have guys who are high-character dudes where you think, "they're hard workers, at minimum they'll be really good role players as pros," who then just... don't figure it out regardless of their work ethic. Some dudes can work their asses off, be great in the locker room, be phenomenal in college, and still just never adjust to the pro game.

That's the part of a scout's job I envy the least. You can make very reasonable educated guesses on their range of outcomes due to skills, game IQ, athleticism, productivity at lower levels, etc... but you can never truly know what's gonna happen with the mind of a young man getting to such a competitive level of the sport.
2739924, yeah like I said its levels to the game, we all know guys that were...
Posted by ThaTruth, Fri Jun-11-21 02:44 PM
studs at the high school level then didn't do much in college. Some guys were studs in college but didn't do much at the pro level.

I don't think those guys "fell off" as much as they got comfortable at the level they were at and didn't think they had to continue to work to improve to remain among the elite at each level.

I feel like the elite of the elite at the pro level are guys that never get satisfied and are always trying to get better season after season and constantly trying to add to their game.

Those guys are harder to identify when they are not necessarily "physical freaks" especially while they are still teenagers.
2739897, Looking at the draft,, I can sorta see what was happening
Posted by mrhood75, Fri Jun-11-21 11:35 AM
That was a very big man-heavy draft. KAT, Jahil Okafor, and Porzingis were three of the top 4. Then guys like Kauley-Stein and Myles Turner went ahead of him. Most of the rest of the guys who went before him were wing/PF types.

The only two guards who went ahead of him with D'Angelo and Mudlay. And D'Angelo was an all-American and consensus top guard pick.
2739898, He wasn't seen as much more than a deadly catch-and-shoot guy.
Posted by Frank Longo, Fri Jun-11-21 11:36 AM
He only took *four* isolation jump shots all season at Kentucky, and nearly every shot he took was a jump shot, so he didn't generate a lot of free throw attempts. The rare times he took it to the rim (only about 10% of his FGAs), he didn't finish efficiently. He also wasn't a very good defender-- a smart guy with a good frame, but not a guy you could count on generating stops at the next level.

So Booker was a shooting guard that everyone knew was a phenomenal catch-and-shoot guy, but people weren't sure if he was a strong shot creator, a strong foul generator, or a strong defender. Now, I had him at 8th on my Big Board (I tweet my Big Boards for posterity for just this reason!), so I was clearly higher than the teams that drafted, because I believed he could shoot off the bounce at the next level... but I do understand why teams didn't have him as a lock Top 5 guy. Four iso shots is a *really* small sample, lol.

Furthermore, this was before shooters were trending as the top priority in the draft. There were six guys 6'9+ drafted before Booker, only one of whom shots 3 at above a 30% clip. In today's NBA, Booker is a stone cold lock Top 10 guy, because even if teams did think "he's just a catch-and-shoot knockdown guy who moves the ball pretty well and has strong positional size," that's just viewed as more valuable today than it was then.
2740125, that draft was crazy too, half the lottery is either out of the league or on...
Posted by ThaTruth, Mon Jun-14-21 08:49 AM
their way...

Jah
Herzonja
Mudiay
Stanley
Justise
Trey Lyles

most of those dudes received a lot of hype on these boards at one time.

Then you have a dude like Cameron Payne picked 14th after Booker that was out of the league and bouncing around the G-league and China and now is back as key role player on team that has a shot at going to the Finals
2739878, So is Snyder that great of a coach or did Donovan just figure it out?
Posted by ThaTruth, Fri Jun-11-21 05:50 AM
2739893, Never a clear answer. Odds are at least a bit of both.
Posted by Frank Longo, Fri Jun-11-21 11:12 AM
There's no doubt that Snyder's never had anything but the utmost confidence in Mitchell, even in the early years where Mitchell's lower efficiency led to some late game stumbles. I'm sure that confidence has continued to inspire Mitchell to push himself.
2739992, stumbled upon this, this morning...
Posted by Dstl1, Sat Jun-12-21 01:08 PM
https://youtu.be/xm4JV6jSouo?t=126