Louisville is a team tailor made to lose to the zone. They can't shoot for shit and don't have creative enough passing to offset the zone. I would've bet on Cuse, even on the road. (FUCK I hope K has figured out we need to zone by the time Louisville comes to town.)

Tourney still seems like a longshot, but as you said, season seemed lost. Their first KenPom Tier A win of the season-- but they have five more as their last five games of the season, so anything's possible. I think they need 20 wins to have a realistic shot at the tournament. That'd put them at .500 in the ACC. Depending on the wins and losses-- especially if they get one more big win-- that could do it.