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Forum nameOkay Sports
Topic subjectIt's the Villanova problem.
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=8&topic_id=2637701&mesg_id=2640058
2640058, It's the Villanova problem.
Posted by Frank Longo, Thu Jan-25-18 11:19 PM

>Outside shooting reliance is not a big concern. We have five
>high volume Shooters that are in the deep 40%+. We are also
>really unselfish and a smart team, odds all of them go cold is
>low. It could happen. And offense usually does thru Haas, so
>we are usually taken fairly open threes. That said, If it's a
>football stadium with bad sightlines...
>
>Matchups will matter though

Neutral courts are a wild card, non-conf brings lack of familiarity with scheme, and it's just a matter of shot volume ultimately. If they play a team that lets say makes two players go 1-5 shooting that night-- if they aren't offensive rebounding, that's 10 empty possessions where they'd normally have 7 or 8. Those four-to-six point swings are all it takes sometimes-- they don't need everyone to go ice cold to lose, just a couple of guys who keep shooting and assuming they'll find the bottom of the net before the game is out.

Purdue is a legit title contender tho. In the same way that Villanova tends to be. And just like Villanova, Purdue is one of those teams that could either win it all or lose in the second round to a mid-major team that crashes the O-glass and defends the perimeter decently. Would I bank on the former over the latter? Sure. That correlation-- 3PA volume and mediocre offensive rebounding-- just tends to yield very uneven results.