If their big guns fire (Sid/Gino/Kessel) then their bottom six can just do bottom six things. Cycle the puck, be physical, protect the puck and get the hell off the ice.

I'm also not worried about either goalie melting down. I think Holtby could be a difference-maker, Fleury will give the Pens a chance but not outright steal anything.

Hard to key on one thing here. If I had to pick something I would say defensive scoring for the Caps. If Shattenkirk and Carlson have a big series, then they should win for sure.