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Forum nameOkay Sports
Topic subjectJason Witten: Hall of Fame?
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=8&topic_id=2476938
2476938, Jason Witten: Hall of Fame?
Posted by will_5198, Wed Dec-31-69 07:00 PM

Poll question: Jason Witten: Hall of Fame?

Poll result (17 votes)
Undoubtedly, right now (11 votes)Vote
Needs a few more years (1 votes)Vote
Not ever (5 votes)Vote

  

2476944, Stats-wise, no doubt
Posted by Mack, Thu Sep-17-15 01:04 PM
Jason Witten compared to Hall of Fame tight ends

Tight end	 REC	 YDS	 YDS/GM	 TD   Pro Bowl  All-Pro
Jason Witten	 943	 10,502	 55.0	 57	9	2
Shannon Sharpe	 815	 10,060	 49.3	 62	8	4
Ozzie Newsome	 662	 7,980	 40.3	 47	7	3
Jackie Smith	 480	 7,918	 37.7	 40	5	4
Kellen Winslow	 541	 6,741	 61.8	 45	5	2
Mike Ditka	 427	 5,812	 36.8	 43	5	3
John Mackey	 331	 5,236	 37.7	 38	5	0
Dave Casper	 378	 5,216	 35.5	 52	5	3
Charlie Sanders	 336	 4,817	 37.6	 31	3	1
2476947, crazy that Tony Gonzalez has 1/3 more receiving yards than Witten
Posted by will_5198, Thu Sep-17-15 01:09 PM
 
2476948, outside of any agenda-ing or Cowboy hate...
Posted by Dstl1, Thu Sep-17-15 01:09 PM
there's simply no way he can't be...and I'd gladly listen to anyone who could make a real argument against it.
2476957, Witten should finish second in total TE yards by a healthy margin.
Posted by Frank Longo, Thu Sep-17-15 01:16 PM
He's got a 500 yard lead on Gates, a couple more games before Gates returns from suspension, and he's younger than Gates.

He'll also easily crack the top ten players ever in terms of most receptions of all time, and it's weirdly not impossible that he could crack the top five.

He's way behind on TDs (not even ahead of Vernon Davis!), where guys like Gronk and Graham will pass him the second he retires-- and feasibly could even before that. That's an easy knock against him...

... but then again, he's also crushed the total numbers in general of most of the older TEs who are already in the HOF.

I think he gets in. Not first ballot.
2477117, Age isn't that big a factor
Posted by Nick Has a Problem...Seriously, Fri Sep-18-15 06:46 AM
When comparing him to Gates. He's played more games and even with that he's not that far ahead in yards. Gates blows him out of the water when it comes to TD receptions.
2476958, plus side:
Posted by will_5198, Thu Sep-17-15 01:16 PM
- he's white
- 10 Pro Bowls
- he's played for a single major media market team his entire career
- he has the numbers for now (although in 5-10 years, the current wave of tight ends will lap him)
- superb route runner
- fairly clutch player against division rivals
- never had an issue with the media
- he can actually block

negative side:
- lean postseason resume
- Pro Bowls are shitty gauges of player accomplishment
- his career numbers are very good, but he can also be seen as a compiler (55 ypg average)
- never scored double-digit TDs in any season
- doesn't pass the eye test as an "explosive, special talent", and media members couldn't tell you the difference between a good route runner and bad one anyway
- nobody cares about tight ends who can block
2476961, To be fair...
Posted by Frank Longo, Thu Sep-17-15 01:21 PM
>- he has the numbers for now (although in 5-10 years, the
>current wave of tight ends will lap him)

... I assume we're only talking Gronk and Graham, both of whom realistically will *also* have HOF resumes if they can manage to stay healthy for that next 5-10 (which isn't necessarily a given either, though they have such strong head starts that even if they *aren't* healthy consistently, they could feasibly still crack 10k yards and will easily pass Witten's relatively blah TD totals).

I don't think anyone would argue that Witten is as good as some of the other guys who are in/will be in the HOF... but when you combine numbers and his general affability, it's going to be hard to keep him out.
2476966, that's true, I just looked at Jimmy Graham's numbers and
Posted by will_5198, Thu Sep-17-15 01:30 PM
he has a long ways to go. Witten nearly has a 6,000 yard lead despite being only four years older than Graham (age is a big issue for the latter, since he came into the NFL at 24 and has never played a full season).

and as Gronk should know, staying on the field is a big part of being in the HOF. Witten has not missed a game in 11 years.
2477029, Has the numbers but fails the eye test
Posted by ConcreteCharlie, Thu Sep-17-15 05:40 PM
He's at a position where there are not a lot of HOF'ers and when you think about the Mackeys and Newsomes and Ditkas, you think of a different player than the modern tight end. That isn't to say that Witten was soft or a shitty blocker or whatever, just that he compares more closely with guys from the 90s forward (Sharpe, Davis, Coates, Gates, Gonzalez, et al). Right now obviously stats and consistency wise he looks like a lock but in time that position might be evaluated differently. Obviously the team has won nothing of import while he was there either.

But I think he will probably make it because he played in a prominent market, his numbers are big and he isn't done yet, shit he just had two touchdowns on Sunday.
2477030, Should the changing nature of the game affect HOF considerations?
Posted by PimpTrickGangstaClik, Thu Sep-17-15 05:45 PM
I mean his stats are largely a result of the fact that the Cowboys (and teams in general) pass a lot.

So any TE who hangs around the league long enough will have stats that surpass the current HOF'ers.
2477110, i think that is overstating it but yes obviously the standards are rising
Posted by ConcreteCharlie, Fri Sep-18-15 12:55 AM
in terms of statistics at least. he's been good and remarkably consistent. of course i hate the cowboys and i am also a big fan of putting guys in the hall of very good. but realistically speaking, he will make it. it should take some time though, definitely not first ballot.
2477418, That the thing tho...
Posted by jimaveli, Sat Sep-19-15 10:37 AM
>I mean his stats are largely a result of the fact that the
>Cowboys (and teams in general) pass a lot.
>
>So any TE who hangs around the league long enough will have
>stats that surpass the current HOF'ers.

TEs BE getting hurt and falling off the face of the earth after 5 or 6 years. Aka The Kellen Winslow Jr. Witten has survived and surpassed that, which is another feather in his cap. And it looks like he has a few years to go even though he's slowing down. Dez's foot is gonna get more stats turned towards Witten too.

And folks will care about blocking at some point..maybe when there's a graph/some metric to say 'this dude be blockin too y'all' in an obvious way that folks can digest.
2477042, 1st ballot.
Posted by BrooklynWHAT, Thu Sep-17-15 07:07 PM
2477044, Fuck yes, 1st ballot, and I hate the Cowboys.
Posted by J_Stew, Thu Sep-17-15 07:11 PM
One of the best check-down, save the QB's ass players in the history of the game
2477298, Say it again.
Posted by Dr Claw, Fri Sep-18-15 02:09 PM
>One of the best check-down, save the QB's ass players in the
>history of the game
2477073, Yes but I'd stop short of first ballot
Posted by Jon, Thu Sep-17-15 09:09 PM
2477099, he'll get in ..not 1st ballot tho
Posted by LAbeathustla, Thu Sep-17-15 11:20 PM
2477112, He's A 1st Ballot HOF...Just Not the Best TE Ever
Posted by RexLongfellow, Fri Sep-18-15 01:43 AM
And there's nothing wrong with that

Whereas some of his contemporaries were fighting for that crown (Gonzalez, Sharpe...maybe Gronk if healthy)
2477373, Let's not toss this first-ballot thing around too casually
Posted by ConcreteCharlie, Fri Sep-18-15 09:12 PM
That's very difficult to earn and hell no he will not do it barring some totally unforeseen events in the next few years.
2477514, He'd need to play 3-4 more years and get closer to Tony G's numbers.
Posted by Frank Longo, Sat Sep-19-15 10:41 PM
If he can get 1000 yards per season for another 3-4 years and get to, say, 13,000+ yards, it'd be tough to deny him first ballot.

As of right now, he has to wait. They made Sharpe wait, what, 3 or 4 years? They'll make Witten wait at least past first ballot, easily. Unless he can really stack those numbers for a couple more seasons.
2477569, How many first-ballot TEs have there been? Ever? Exactly zero.
Posted by ConcreteCharlie, Sun Sep-20-15 10:42 AM
Just stop, dude. There is no argument for Witten as a first ballot. I am not going to harp on it but it would be historically unprecedented. I would be slightly surprised to see Gonzalez go in as a first ballot and I would bet my LIFE against a case of Tasty Kakes as far as Witten being first ballot.
2477604, ... I was agreeing with you. Why are you telling me to stop?
Posted by Frank Longo, Sun Sep-20-15 12:41 PM
I'm saying he'd need to put up numbers that one can justify as historic for the position. Tony G is the only guy who I expect to be a first-ballot TE. I said Witten will have to come damn close to Tony's numbers to get to first ballot.

We agree, lol.
2477614, Even if he has career seasons, he will not be first ballot
Posted by ConcreteCharlie, Sun Sep-20-15 01:02 PM
There is no realistic scenario in which he could become first ballot. And of course you know it's all love, dude.
2477175, fa sho
Posted by LegacyNS, Fri Sep-18-15 09:41 AM

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
<---- 5....
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dlgiritpmfo

=======================================
2477395, numbers and Longevity
Posted by mistermaxxx08, Sat Sep-19-15 12:22 AM
he is viewed as the ultimate team guy which is a diss by the media to T.O. and also later to Dez. however as Much as I like ROmo, JW has covered his behind more than anything else and sold that "New" Cowboys vibe.

2477421, With 61st pick the Eagles take LJ Smith...With the 69th, the Cowboys
Posted by Mignight Maruder, Sat Sep-19-15 11:12 AM
take Jason Witten. UGH. Lance Briggs was taken at 68th too. 2 players who could have filled a big need and put us over the top. Ugh.

Props to Witten. Would have loved him on the Eagles. Tough, punishing and reliable threat who terrorized us through the years. He's definitely HOF worthy imo. If we're making the distinction between 1st ballot (sure fire lock, 1-2 best at position for long time, etc.) and HOF (outstanding career, top 5 at position for most of career, etc.) then yeah, he's not 1st ballot. Outstanding career though. No doubt about that.
2653303, didn't realize that. i woulda disliked LJ much more had i known. nm
Posted by poetx, Fri Apr-27-18 09:46 PM

peace & blessings,

x.

www.twitter.com/poetx

=========================================
I'm an advocate for working smarter, not harder. If you just
focus on working hard you end up making someone else rich and
not having much to show for it. (c) mad
2477480, Heath better.
Posted by 40thStreetBlack, Sat Sep-19-15 08:41 PM
2477571, i'll never forget this play, smh
Posted by southphillyman, Sun Sep-20-15 10:45 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7k-YaMfwZM
2477577, watching him run away from M's fastest guys was a HOF bummer lol
Posted by cgonz00cc, Sun Sep-20-15 10:55 AM
Was a portent of the asswhipping to follow
2477593, haha, SEC speed
Posted by will_5198, Sun Sep-20-15 11:55 AM
classic game. that Tennessee team was loaded: Witten, Donte Stallworth, Kelley Washington, John Henderson *and* Albert Haynesworth inside...too bad they choked against LSU in the SEC Championship.

they would've lost to Miami of course, but they still should've been there.
2653288, announced his retirement today*
Posted by will_5198, Fri Apr-27-18 06:53 PM
props to a guy who went from an average blocking, athletic seam tight end to a three-down, do-it-all weapon who somehow managed to get open using old man geometry way past the expiration date of his physical advantages.

* rumored. not announced yet.
2653290, the answer to OP is resounding yes btw
Posted by cgonz00cc, Fri Apr-27-18 07:08 PM
crazy hes 4th in career catches. new NFL and all, but still.
2653516, happy trails to a worthy foe
Posted by ConcreteCharlie, Sun Apr-29-18 01:29 AM
2653317, based on how he plays against the Giants...
Posted by DJR, Fri Apr-27-18 11:04 PM
he’s the greatest football player in the history of western civilization.