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Forum nameOkay Sports
Topic subjectThe odd thing is that he has been that guy...at home
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=8&topic_id=2311486&mesg_id=2355018
2355018, The odd thing is that he has been that guy...at home
Posted by Call It Anything, Mon Jul-28-14 02:37 PM
In 2012, he was actually better on the road, but the last two seasons his line looks like this:

At home 2013-14:

In 27 starts, he has an 11-6 record and he's thrown 178 IP. Basically averaging 6.2 innings per starts.

On a rate basis in those starts he has:

2.12 ERA
10.61 K/9
1.57 BB/9
7.18 H/9
.66 HR/9

The list of pitchers with better overall numbers than that is as follows:

Clayton Kershaw
(That's it)

On the road 2013-2014:

In 25 starts, he has a 4-11 record and he's thrown 142.1 IP. Basically averaging 5.2 innings per start. On a rate basis on those starts, he has:

4.74 ERA
9.11 K/9
3.5 BB/9
8.66 H/9
1.07 HR/9

That's basically Aaron Harang

So his surface numbers at home are elite, Cy Young shit. His numbers on the road are pretty average. He isn't pitching in an extreme pitchers park. So I am not really sure why there is such a sharp divide. I am not at a point that I am willing to believe that he boards the team plane Felix Hernandez and leaves the team plane Felix Doubront.

His batting average on balls in play is .353. That is extreme. The last two years it was .263 and .311. .353 is crazy. You literally have to go back to 2008 to find one qualified starter in either league who is within 9 points of that. This year, he is having the worst luck on balls in play out of the last 1000 qualified starters in baseball.

That shit has got to get better. And I am betting it gets better soon.