Here are games they lost by 2 possessions or less.

Creighton neutral court
Alabama at Alabama
Baylor at Baylor
Mizzou at Mizzou
Texas A&M at Texas A&M

They also went 1-5 after they lost Nick Smith (right after they'd already lost Trevon Brazile for the season). They had some struggles, but they showed repeatedly that they could compete in incredibly tough situations. They beat San Diego State neutral, smashed Kentucky at Kentucky-- obviously just beat Kansas neutral. I think Arkansas was loved by the analytics for a reason.

I don't even *like* UConn, lol. And I honestly have some degree of faith that Hurley will fuck this up at some point (assuming they stop making 45% of their 3s lol). But I just don't think their path was a gift.