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Topic subjectJim Callis draft updates
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=8&topic_id=2310810&mesg_id=2321497
2321497, Jim Callis draft updates
Posted by Walleye, Wed Apr-30-14 09:54 AM
He's basically re-ordered his top-of-the-draft stuff. This one is shaping up to be an interesting one, where once again the Twins are one pick out of the agreed-upon "top tier" players. However, unlike 2013, there's been more movement in that top tier than you'd expect and it's more likely somebody there will either fall to the Twins or that somebody new will raise their profile between now and mid-June.

A prep arm that I liked, Brady Aiken, has risen so fast he's basically skipped over where I could possibly hope the Twins could grab him. He was known coming into this year for having impressive polish for a high schooler and some command of three pitches with an above average fastball. Then he started throwing 97mph without sacrificing any of the other stuff. And he's left-handed. So he's presently the consensus 1-1.

Carlos Rodon had been the "obvious" 1-1 favorite for the past two years, but started the season rough with decreased velocity and command. But even with that knock, he profiled as a middle-of-the-rotation MLBer who could just as easily regain the 'ace' upside he showed in college. It seemed possible he could fall to #5 until recently, but he looked like his old self, striking out 15 GT Yellow Jackets last Friday so that ship has probably sailed, again.

Twins are apparently in love (via the guy who covers them for MLB.com) with Texas Prep righty Tyler Kolek, who Callis ranks as #3:

"Tyler KolekRank: 3Shepherd HS (Texas), SeniorHeight: 6'5", Weight: 230Position: RHPDOB: 12/15/1995Bats: R, Throws: RTwitter: @tylerkolek58Commitment: TCUScouting Grades: Fastball: 80 | Slider: 65 | Curveball: 60 | Changeup: 45 | Control: 45 | Overall: 65

The latest in a long line of Texas high school fireballers, Kolek missed much of his junior season at Shepherd High after he broke his left arm in an infield collision while playing first base. He made a dramatic return to the mound in June, hitting 99 mph with his fastball at an Area Code Games tryout and peaking at 97 at the Perfect Game National Showcase. He pitched at 93-96 mph for most of the summer and hit 99 again at the Perfect Game All-America Classic in August.

Kolek has pushed his fastball to 100 mph and above several times this spring, even out of the stretch. He throws both a 12-to-6 curveball and a sharp slider, and though the slider is newer to him, it has more upside. He rarely uses a changeup, but it has the potential to become an average offering.

The only real knock on Kolek is that his control and command have yet to catch up to his premium stuff. That still hasn't prevented him from becoming a contender to go No. 1 overall to the nearby Astros. His younger brother Stephen, a right-hander who can run his fastball into the low 90s, could be an early-round pick in 2015."

So, basically Kohl Stewart with more fastball but less developed secondary pitches (though they still show promise). Works for me, but the other shoe is that the Twins really don't expect him to be there at #5.

Haven't heard a lot about the Twins and #4 Jeff Hoffman, and he's reportedly battling an injury right now. So, wait and see.

Sooooooo, then we get to guys who are expected to be around for the Twins. My favorite is Alex Jackson, who has been steady as the best position prospect in a draft that is quickly becoming known for pitching upside and depth. Regrettably, no rumors yet as to what the Twins think of him - particularly since his value could hinge on whether he stays at catcher or not. Here's Callis:

"Alex JacksonRank: 5Rancho Bernardo HS (Calif.), SeniorHeight: 6'2", Weight: 215Position: C/OFDOB: 12/25/1995Bats: R, Throws: RTwitter: @AlexJaxxsun10Commitment: OregonScouting Grades: Hit: 60 | Power: 60 | Run: 45 | Arm: 55 | Field: 45 | Overall: 60

Rancho Bernardo High in San Diego has produced four first-round picks in the last two decades: Jaime Jones (1995), Matt Wheatland (2000), Scott Heard (2000) and Cole Hamels (2002). Jackson, Rancho Bernardo's latest star, might get picked earlier than any of them because he's an offensively gifted catcher with plus arm strength to boot.

His standout tool is his right-handed power, which he generates with bat speed and strength. He has enough feel for hitting that he could produce .280 batting averages in the Major Leagues. To do that, he'll need to curb a tendency for his swing that gets long at times which causes him to miss hittable fastballs.

Jackson's arm gives him a third future plus tool. He moves better than most catchers, though his receiving will need to improve if he's to stick behind the plate. If not, he has enough athleticism and bat to make it as a right fielder. He has committed to Oregon."

Call it Anything points out that not a lot of guys drafted highly as high school catchers have actually stuck there, though in the few cases where the reason wasn't (necessarily) their ability behind the plate but rather the fact that the defense would delay a promotion that their bats warranted (Wil Myers and Bryce Harper), I think we could live with that kind of outcome. Harper never caught as a pro, for instance.

Beyond those guys, it's pitchers who lack the "ace" upside as Rodon, Koley, and Aiken but are pretty interesting.

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/prospects/watch/y2014/#list=draft