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Forum nameOkay Sports
Topic subjectNo its weighted by place in the standings, based on record.
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=8&topic_id=2157966&mesg_id=2157997
2157997, No its weighted by place in the standings, based on record.
Posted by Kajun, Thu Apr-04-13 02:38 PM
Not their winning percentage specifically.

As of 2008, with 30 NBA teams, 16 qualify for the playoffs and the remaining 14 teams are entered in the draft lottery. These 14 teams are ranked in reverse order of their regular season record and are assigned the following number of chances

250 combinations, 25.0% chance of receiving the #1 pick
199 combinations, 19.9% chance
156 combinations, 15.6% chance
119 combinations, 11.9% chance
88 combinations, 8.8% chance
63 combinations, 6.3% chance
43 combinations, 4.3% chance
28 combinations, 2.8% chance
17 combinations, 1.7% chance
11 combinations, 1.1% chance
8 combinations, 0.8% chance
7 combinations, 0.7% chance
6 combinations, 0.6% chance
5 combinations, 0.5% chance

Aka, if you have the second worst record by one game you have the same chance as if you have the second worst record by 5 games.

Like was said, some teams are bunched up but they could have a massive difference in where they draft based on one game difference. I say even this out a bit.


edit: Maybe I've worded this confusingly. I'm saying attach lotto weight specifically to number of wins, not a set order in the standings.