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Forum namePass The Popcorn
Topic subjectWhat will be the bomb of the summer?
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=6&topic_id=278710
278710, What will be the bomb of the summer?
Posted by SoulHonky, Wed Dec-31-69 07:00 PM
Ocean's 13 is my top pick but I have a feeling that The Simpsons is going to disappoint a lot of people. I think it will make 80 - 100 million but a lot of people seem to think its going to make 170 - 200.

Poll question: What will be the bomb of the summer?

Poll result (43 votes)
Ocean's 13 (7 votes)Vote
The Simpsons (9 votes)Vote
Live Free or Die Hard (6 votes)Vote
Transformers (15 votes)Vote
Ratatouille (2 votes)Vote
Other (4 votes)Vote

  

278713, Im stuck between Simpsons and Transformers
Posted by Blinky_Blinx, Thu May-03-07 12:27 PM
...i think i'll go transformers coz i got that same feelin that simpsons may be a dissapointment
279255, RE: Im stuck between Simpsons and Transformers
Posted by K. Dot, Sat May-05-07 07:29 PM
I'm stuck in between both two. I'm not even sure.
278721, Ocean's 13
Posted by The_Orange_Ninja_Turtle, Thu May-03-07 01:01 PM
278779, ^^not possible^^
Posted by onanothalevel918, Thu May-03-07 04:42 PM
it shouldn't even be on the list...
278822, How is it not possible?
Posted by SoulHonky, Thu May-03-07 09:08 PM
The last one only made 125 million and most people didn't like it. Hell, Clooney and Soderbergh didn't even like it. If people are turned off by 12, it might not get the opening that you need to be successful in a packed summer. Overseas, it will probably make its money back but there's a good shot it doesn't make back its budget domestically (barely made it last time)
278892, They are saying this is the one they should have made
Posted by Ceej, Fri May-04-07 08:36 AM
meaning we shouldnt be disappointed. I cant see it bombing.
278722, wait, transformers?
Posted by navajo joe, Thu May-03-07 01:16 PM
i see that shit making beaucoup loot

this shit ain't the Island. it's a live-action transformers movie

i'm more excited about this than any of the other tentpole pictures coming out this summer
278726, yup
Posted by sevencents, Thu May-03-07 01:34 PM

i don't know if kids today really know (or care) about the Transformers.
I grew up in the 80's and was all about Transformers...yet, I could care less about this film and don't plan on seeing it, even if it was for free. I think a lot of other people in my demographic have the same feeling.

it will be lucky to make 40 mil.

7c



278729, It's missing all demographics
Posted by SoulHonky, Thu May-03-07 01:46 PM
Women aren't going to be interested. Maybe they can beef up a love story (Shia and the chick) but then the hard core fans will be pissed. Most people who grew up with Transformers might not be all that fired up about a movie and young kids have no idea what Transformers are. Add in the fact that Michael Bay almost has a negative box office value now and you have the making of a bomb.

Add in the fact that this is an absolutely loaded summer and the film could fall through the cracks. Live Free or Die Hard opens the week before, Harry Potter opens the week after. It needs to have a HUGE opening because it will likely drop at least 50% after and then face more and more comp as the summer rolls on.
278819, It opens right before "Harry Potter"? I'm votin' yellow!
Posted by Nukkapedia, Thu May-03-07 08:28 PM
296666, is it too late to edit?
Posted by navajo joe, Wed Jul-04-07 02:24 PM
296691, I'll take my L but I stand by it having a huge fall
Posted by SoulHonky, Wed Jul-04-07 03:20 PM
"Add in the fact that this is an absolutely loaded summer and the film could fall through the cracks. Live Free or Die Hard opens the week before, Harry Potter opens the week after. It needs to have a HUGE opening because it will likely drop at least 50% after and then face more and more comp as the summer rolls on."
---

It had a HUGE opening.
296668, you sure were right about that!!
Posted by navajo joe, Wed Jul-04-07 02:27 PM
it almost 40 on its first day of release

maybe you want to try your hand at okaysports or make the music?
296682, It made 8 million on it's first day
Posted by SoulHonky, Wed Jul-04-07 02:56 PM
27 on it's second.

But yeah, I definitely missed the boat on that one.
296686, that 8 million number started at 8pm on more than 3000 screens
Posted by navajo joe, Wed Jul-04-07 03:04 PM
tuesday was its opening day. that number is 27 million dollars


it's budget will be made back by monday
278727, Fantastic 4 will follow in the first ones footsteps
Posted by mcdeezjawns, Thu May-03-07 01:42 PM
aka Straight Garbation
278730, And making 330 million worldwide (three times the budget)
Posted by SoulHonky, Thu May-03-07 01:47 PM
Garbage doesn't necessarily mean bomb.
279260, RE: Fantastic 4 will follow in the first ones footsteps
Posted by K. Dot, Sat May-05-07 07:34 PM
The FF4 trailers have got me excited for this one. I think it will be a success. I really don't think this one will bomb due to the Silver Surfer element of the movie.
278738, Maybe Ratatouille
Posted by stylez dainty, Thu May-03-07 02:00 PM
I'm not talking about quality, and I don't think it will be a huge flop, but it's the first Pixar movie that hasn't felt like an event. I think it's success will be on par with other mid-level animated films, like Shark Tale, or something like that. It will do well, but it won't be the juggernaut that Toy Story, The Incredibles, or Cars were.
278795, Maybe Ratatouille
Posted by Buddy_Gilapagos, Thu May-03-07 05:52 PM
I am thinking maybe too because Americans hate Foreign Animated Films. See FLushed away.


**********

There will never be a level playing field. You need to learn to run uphill.

Every man must know a Teedra http://www.myspace.com/teedramoses
278837, RE: Maybe Ratatouille
Posted by brotherman, Thu May-03-07 10:52 PM
>I am thinking maybe too because Americans hate Foreign
>Animated Films. See FLushed away.

What about Were-rabbit??
howd dat do??

>
>**********
>
>There will never be a level playing field. You need to learn
>to run uphill.
>
>Every man must know a Teedra
>http://www.myspace.com/teedramoses


**********
anyways..
278854, 56 million domestically
Posted by SoulHonky, Fri May-04-07 12:33 AM
Made 126 overseas though. Still, that would be a bomb for a Pixar film.
278798, It's a Pixar kid's movie in the summer. Just wait. It'll be a smash.
Posted by Frank Longo, Thu May-03-07 06:18 PM
278778, how are we definining bomb?
Posted by DubSpt, Thu May-03-07 04:37 PM
Cause I predict huge opening numbers for all of these flicks, so to me its all about which one will drop fastest and furthest. Wait, furthest, that can't be right. Oh well.

Anyways,
I think it'll either be Oceans 13 or Transformers, but I have little to nothing to back that up.
278788, Rush Hour 3
Posted by jigga, Thu May-03-07 05:24 PM
278796, ooh, good answer
Posted by DubSpt, Thu May-03-07 05:53 PM
279259, RE: Rush Hour 3
Posted by K. Dot, Sat May-05-07 07:32 PM
You may be right.
279479, most likely
Posted by DrNO, Sun May-06-07 08:32 PM
278789, Transformers! No one gives a fuck! (Recite to the show's jingle)
Posted by JRennolds, Thu May-03-07 05:26 PM
Fact.
278840, RE: Transformers! No one gives a fuck! (Recite to the show's jingle)
Posted by brotherman, Thu May-03-07 10:54 PM
lol


**********
anyways..
296665, fiction.
Posted by navajo joe, Wed Jul-04-07 02:20 PM
278797, Who STILL watches The Simpsons? I mean, REALLY?
Posted by Frank Longo, Thu May-03-07 06:18 PM
In likelihood, it goes as follows:

POSSIBLE:
1. The Simpsons
2. Ocean's 13

NOT LIKELY:
3. Fantastic Four 2
4. Transformers

WON'T BOMB:
5. Live Free or Die Hard
6. Ratatouille
278891, *raises hand*
Posted by tappenzee, Fri May-04-07 08:32 AM
The last episode I saw was just awful, with Bart playing baseball, but here and there, they still have quality episodes.

I'll be first in line for the movie though. I'm not expecting an A+, but I hear they're getting the "classic seasons" writers for the flick, so my hopes are a little high.
279263, RE: *raises hand*
Posted by K. Dot, Sat May-05-07 07:37 PM
> I'll be first in line for the movie though. I'm not expecting an A+, but I hear they're getting the "classic seasons" writers for the flick, so my hopes are a little high.

If that's the case, I *may* see it.....on DVD.
279176, Fuck it, I'm gonna go see it
Posted by KangolLove, Sat May-05-07 11:55 AM
278859, Since we gotta get negative, my pick is Ocean's 13.
Posted by ZooTown74, Fri May-04-07 01:24 AM
They pissed a lot of people off with 12

Not me though
______________________________________________________________________
... and all that could have been...
278869, Spiderman 3....
Posted by Allah, Fri May-04-07 03:12 AM
....
278872, that shit might break 100 mil on the first weekend.
Posted by -Monkeynuts-, Fri May-04-07 03:17 AM

-------------------
The hardest people to love
are usually the ones that need it the most.
278893, I think they're expecting it to, whats the record $140 Pirates 2?
Posted by Ceej, Fri May-04-07 08:37 AM
278905, $135.6 million
Posted by ZooTown74, Fri May-04-07 10:10 AM
______________________________________________________________________
... and all that could have been...
279116, I just came from seeing Spiderman 3, there was a like down the block
Posted by ShinobiShaw, Sat May-05-07 12:28 AM
for people waiting to get into a 1:30am show


1:30 AM SHOW I SAID

<--- "Blue Skies, Barfy Burgers, Girls!"

http://www.rareformnyc.com
http://www.myspace.com/shinobishaw
http://www.last.fm/user/ShinoShaw/
278960, Unfortunately, funny or not, Simposn will likely lose. n/m
Posted by dgonsh, Fri May-04-07 01:41 PM
278962, RE: The sequel to Bruce Almighty
Posted by maternalbliss, Fri May-04-07 01:46 PM
279262, RE: The sequel to Bruce Almighty
Posted by K. Dot, Sat May-05-07 07:35 PM
Yeah, I don't see that being a success.
279480, it might do well for a comedy
Posted by DrNO, Sun May-06-07 08:34 PM
just not the most expensive comedy ever made.
It doesn't even have to be good. The first blew.
278996, i really don't see die hard topping $100 mil
Posted by theprofessional, Fri May-04-07 03:59 PM
mostly because the days of straight-up action movies like that are dead. you gotta come with some kind of fresh concept or crazy visual to draw audiences these days. bringing back the same basic cast to stop another generic terrorist intent on blowing something important up isn't enough. it could've also benefited greatly from another major star besides willis. call me crazy, but i don't think the mac vs. pc guy is a big box office draw.
279131, if they had gone with shia, it'd be a 100 mil guarantee
Posted by Cold Truth, Sat May-05-07 02:33 AM
kids got a great batting average
279142, Shia is the FUTURE, yo! And the future is NOW!
Posted by ZooTown74, Sat May-05-07 05:45 AM
If you try to "wagon it up" with him, you'll be too late

Why?

Cause it's a Youthquake!

And Shia just registered a big fat 9.0 on da scale, bay-bee

Yao Ming?



But seriously, it'll be interesting to see what kind of pull he has to open this flick

And to find out how many people are there because he's starring as opposed to the recognition of the name brand

Shia's a good actor (and there were those of us who noticed this before now)

And Spielberg's high on him, and he's usually right on these things...
______________________________________________________________________
... and all that could have been...
279173, I fuxed with dude when he was on Even Stevens
Posted by KneelB4Me, Sat May-05-07 11:42 AM
I aint "no homo-ing" either. Dude is just dope.


>Shia's a good actor (and there were those of us who noticed
>this before now)

www.preptimeposse.blogspot.com

Your favorite blogger's favorite blog.
279257, Yoofquake!
Posted by ZooTown74, Sat May-05-07 07:31 PM
______________________________________________________________________
They say that a hero can save us
I'm not gonna stand here and wait
279269, man too bad shia isn't in transformers
Posted by navajo joe, Sat May-05-07 08:04 PM
oh...
279313, not summer but Grindhouse was a big letdown right?
Posted by Ason, Sun May-06-07 01:09 AM
279340, that might be bomb of the year
Posted by navajo joe, Sun May-06-07 08:44 AM
unless something comes along this summer and straight up TANKS
grindhouse will be remembered as an epic failure

it did so bad that they pushed its release date back 6 months in england and i heard that it may even be going straight to video there
279350, wow. and it's really not THAT bad.
Posted by Ason, Sun May-06-07 10:28 AM
but it's bad enuff I guess. Pefect storm of suckitude

279477, *edit* yikes. Only $24 mil on a $67 mil budget
Posted by Nukkapedia, Sun May-06-07 08:12 PM
.
296672, Evan Almighty will exceed it
Posted by mrhood75, Wed Jul-04-07 02:35 PM
It probably won't crack $100 million on a $200 million budget. That's REALLY bad.
296675, i had forgotten about evan almighty
Posted by navajo joe, Wed Jul-04-07 02:43 PM
when i posted that

yeah, evan almighty is gonna put the coolers on steve carrell for a minute
296679, it shouldn't
Posted by Precision Control, Wed Jul-04-07 02:50 PM
>yeah, evan almighty is gonna put the coolers on steve carrell
>for a minute

how are you gonna make the MOST EXPENSIVE COMEDY EVER and the cast doesn't include will smith, jim carrey, eddie murphy and/or chris tucker?

the complete and utter stupidity of that studio shouldn't be laid at steve carrell's feet. he did a sequel to a jim carrey movie w/o jim carrey. no way was he gonna put up the numbers they needed. i don't give a fuck HOW big "40 y.o. virgin" was.
296681, unfortunately that isn't how hollywood thinks
Posted by navajo joe, Wed Jul-04-07 02:56 PM
i agree w/ you

but the golden boy isn't golden anymore btwn this and a lackluster season of the office

it'll chill things out a bit
296687, People won't blame this on Carrell; "Get Smart" will define him
Posted by SoulHonky, Wed Jul-04-07 03:07 PM
If that tanks, then he's in trouble. But if that does well, people will forget about Evan. The key is that none of this was his fault. Gigli's failure was blamed on Affleck's overexposure; Fun with Dick and Jane was a problem because of Jim Carrey's demands. Also, he only made 5 million for Evan so it's not like his salary boosted the budget.

Travolta bounced back from Battlefield Earth; people forgot about Pluto Nash after Daddy Day Care.


296689, Travolta's filmmography since Battlefield Earth
Posted by navajo joe, Wed Jul-04-07 03:10 PM
# Hairspray (2007) .... Edna Turnblad
# Wild Hogs (2007) .... Woody Stevens
... aka Blackberry (Philippines: English title: review title)
# Lonely Hearts (2006) .... Elmer C. Robinson
... aka Lonely Hearts Killer (Germany)
# Be Cool (2005) .... Chili Palmer
# Ladder 49 (2004) .... Captain Mike Kennedy
# A Love Song for Bobby Long (2004) .... Bobby Long
# The Punisher (2004) .... Howard Saint
# Basic (2003) .... Hardy
# Austin Powers in Goldmember (2002) .... John Travolta as Goldmember in 'Austinpussy'
... aka Austin Powers: Goldmember (USA)
# Domestic Disturbance (2001) .... Frank Morrison
# Swordfish (2001) .... Gabriel Shear
# Lucky Numbers (2000) .... Russ Richards
... aka Bon numéro, Le (France)
# Battlefield Earth: A Saga of the Year 3000 (2000) .... Te
296690, Hollywood hated him so much they gave him 20 million for Swordfish
Posted by SoulHonky, Wed Jul-04-07 03:16 PM
And Basic. And Ladder 49. And Be Cool.

So your point is...

296745, wait, you think they paid him 20 mill for those movies?
Posted by navajo joe, Wed Jul-04-07 08:15 PM
really?

no, really


show me evidence he commanded 20 million for those movies
296770, Just google it.
Posted by SoulHonky, Wed Jul-04-07 11:57 PM
http://www.imdb.com/name/nm0000237/bio

http://www.the-numbers.com/people/JTRAV.php

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Travolta#Salary

Entertainment Weekly claims that his salary dipped to 15 million for Basic.
http://www.ew.com/ew/article/0,,519581,00.html


Still, that's a lot for a guy who was supposedly on the outs.
296726, People who voted for Transformers are gonna take a BIG L.
Posted by Frank Longo, Wed Jul-04-07 05:37 PM
296727, Bee movie.
Posted by , Wed Jul-04-07 05:39 PM
296828, EVAN ALMIGHTY!!!
Posted by blue23, Thu Jul-05-07 08:47 AM
Obvious choice = Most expensive comedy ever made and now = $175M and is now at $63M in Week 3.

BTW