I think it's naïve to say you can't be thinking about what the next move is, and the reasons behind WHY they are making their current move. Anticipating future moves on the chess board is a big reason why the Cuban Missile Crisis (and others that we don't even know about) didn't go nuclear.

>I really don't think you can enter these sort of negotiations
>overly focused on "well what are they going to do or want
>next?" All the near nuclear strikes that almost happened
>through out history were because one side wanted to take
>pre-emptive steps before the other side launched (like Crimson
>Tide and the Cuban Missile Crisis).

Crimson Tide? The movie?