If the election happened in March, I'd say Trump would have won almost by the same margin as 2016, win Biden just winning back either Michigan or Pennsylvania.
And the Democrat's outlook for the Senate was pretty bleak.


But then corona virus hit and flipped the country upside down.

I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility that another seismic shift happens in the next few months. The electorate seems so fragile that it doesn't even have to be a huge event that triggers a shift


So right today, I'm cautiously optimistic. I think Biden's advantage now is as big as it's ever going to get. Nowhere to go but down, and he needs to preserve it somehow