13368521, Interesting Posted by Lurkmode, Sat Feb-22-20 08:46 PM
>I just don't see that Bernie's progressive platform will gain >traction against a red leaning electoral college that seems to >like Trump's policies and economy. I also think foreign >interference is a powerful factor. > >I think it's entirely possible Trump could gain more electoral >votes.
Yeah that's going to be hard. People in that area still support Trump when farm bankruptcy is up and the tariffs hurt them.
>I think there are *many* people in this country who would >rather vote for Trump than a Democratic Socialist who wants >people to have free things. > >Do I agree with that characterization of Bernie? Absolutely >not. > >However, I think Bernie will be a polarizing referendum on the >*Democratic party* that has been under fire for the last for >years in conservative quarters of the country. All of this as >Trump's favorability is *rising* in the aftermath of >impeachment!! >
That label plus the raising taxes rhetoric will give Bernie a fight he has to win.
>If someone can show me the Bernie path to victory, I'm open to >hearing it. >
I think his path is some crossing over and a big turnout.
>A more moderate, status quo, candidate gives Trump tougher >competition. Republicans and Independents, like Clint >Eastwood, who today, expressed a desire for an alternative >*can* be swayed if given the right candidate packaging. Bernie >is a horror show for those people. >
Will a status quo fire up the base ?
>I think the candidate field, as is, is a lot like 2016. > >Bernie, like Trump, has a dedicated base. Like Trump, he may >not find a challenger because the moderates are playing >politics that keep an alternative candidate vote split. If the >moderate Dems consolidate their vote block by dropping out, >then there may be more of a race. >
Something should happen after Super Tuesday.
>Dems like me might vote for whoever the nominee is, but we >shouldn't assume that the rest of the electorate is that >through with Trump to follow that same logic. >
True but Biden, Bloomberg, Mayor Pete and Amy is not a better choice.
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