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Forum nameGeneral Discussion
Topic subjectThe New Hampshire Primary
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=4&topic_id=13366378&mesg_id=13366378
13366378, The New Hampshire Primary
Posted by Vex_id, Mon Feb-10-20 09:10 PM
On the eve of the NH Primary, it's hard to believe that we still don't have a clear victor out of the Iowa Caucus - but that's where we are.

Thousands showed up at University of New Hampshire tonight to rally for Bernie Sanders in what was easily the biggest rally in the state during this competitive primary season. AOC, Nina Turner, Cynthia Nixon, Paul Giamatti & Cornel West all deployed as Sanders surrogates throughout the state today, and opened up for Sanders in Durham to a monstrous crowd.

In contrast, Buttigieg was the darling of the New Hampshire Democratic Party as he was introduced first among all Presidential candidates at the glitzy McIntyre-Shaheen dinner over the weekend, boasting Rep. Kuster's endorsement of him, mocking the Sanders campaign, and enjoying preferential treatment from both state and national party insiders. Pete is definitely riding the momentum from Iowa and has climbed in all polls since the Caucus, even gaining +16 percentage points in some polls.

Klobuchar is a dark-horse here. She resonates with the Shaheen New Hampshire Democrats and has a strong pull from the moderate/conservative leaning crowd here. She may be positioned to upset Warren for 3rd - although Warren has a very vocal, loud & passionate contingent here given the state's geographic proximity to Massachusetts.

Biden's stock continues to plummet - despite getting some key endorsements from traditional Establishment circles. Had has made additional ridiculous gaffes at town-halls, and has been getting lost in the midst of his speeches - barely delivering a cogent address.

Gabbard will likely finish atop the lower tier candidates at ~4/5%, with Yang, Steyer trailing behind her at about 2%...and Bennett at the bottom of the group.

New Hampshire has had a much stronger track record (than Iowa) of predicting the eventual nominee - so the victor in this primary will carry significant momentum into Nevada & South Carolina.


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