https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1212686210751193088
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Terrible numbers for Warren and Sanders in newly-released Mason Dixon Florida poll.

Sanders: -17 net fav
Warren: -11 net fav
Trump: -1 net fav
Biden: +4 net fav

https://t.co/VCHndqGHLS
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our choice is prolly gonna come down to a moderate with a hypothetically broader base but poor/uninspiring campaign...

...and a further left of center candidate who has very little chance of winning potential tipping point states like fl, az, nc, etc while hurting down ballot candidates as well (like senate).

young voters arent coming out in droves for biden. 'progressives'/activists wont be too enthused as well (a lot of overlap there).

but the 2017-2019 dem waves are overwhelmingly powered by black voters (especially in the south) and the accelerated shift of moderate/indie suburban voters. and those are segments where super lefty candidates give up a lot of ground.

even tho warren is still my personal fave right now...if i had to pick a candidate based strictly on potential to win...id prolly go with biden at this point...with all of his flaws and vulnerabilities.

races like the va gov, mi gov, nv gov/sen push me in that direction. they werent very inspiring candidates and had some pretty notable missteps during their campaigns. but the sheer broad electorate numbers (particularly in the suburbs) drove them to victory. a further left of center candidate couldnt replicate those (we saw that in the difference between gov/sen races in places like tx, az, etc).