https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2019/11/26/barack-obama-2020-democrats-candidates-biden-073025


Do you really think he can win the nom? (Article alludes to Obama floating the idea of doing his part to stop Bernie, which is a whole other conversation if true)


I'm not being snarky or hating at all. In fact, I've come around more to Bernie lately- as Doc put it up above, his campaign seems most like Obama's so far.


That said, even if he can get the votes, it seems to me there are a lot of powerful people who don't want that to happen. So when you start talking about the delegate game, potential spoiler candidates (I'm convinced Deval Patrick is only there to muddy the waters at this point), a brokered convention, and Bloomberg basically laying the ground work for a 3rd party run (to spook the party to not going too far left)...

How likely do you really think it is that Bernie wins the nom?

I'm asking in a pragmatic way here.

It is interesting that a lot of Bernie supporters think (maybe rightfully so) that the party is against him and actively worked against him last time, but can win this time.


** It is also always interesting to see how little faith folks like Obama and his team have in Biden. Can't believe they didn't have a better plan B 6 months ago.