In 2016, there were two separate points when Newt Gingrich had a massive lead. The second time was so late he guaranteed on camera that he'd be the nominee.

For a while at the end of the race it looked like Rick Santorum would be the GOP candidate.

It's just how clown-car races go.

I'm not saying Pete can't win (though I hope he doesn't), just that it isn't a surprise when some random person takes a lead.