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Forum nameGeneral Discussion
Topic subjectHe doesn't need to "win" SC tho.As long as candidates get more than 15%
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=4&topic_id=13354635&mesg_id=13356256
13356256, He doesn't need to "win" SC tho.As long as candidates get more than 15%
Posted by kfine, Mon Nov-18-19 01:41 AM
in a state their delegates count and could increase as delegates for other candidates that failed to meet the threshold are redistributed:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-15-percent-threshold-for-primary-delegates-could-winnow-the-field/

Considering Buttigieg is one of the top fundraisers in SC, behind only Biden (who, tbf, demolishes everyone lol) and Sanders:

https://www.postandcourier.com/south-carolina-fundraising-for-democratic-presidential-candidates/html_748e5a4a-f040-11e9-95cc-f791e54ac399.html

things aren't actually looking that bad for him to at least meet the threshold. NH too since it's an open primary and he polls well with independents, moderates, etc. And that's all he needs to remain competitive since its highly likely the primaries will result in a brokered convention anyway.



Maybe worth pointing out/reminding that a brokered convention is where Bernie seems most vulnerable too.. lol. Like more than any other front-runner.

Like, aside from representing the polar left minority of the dem electorate, the Bernieverse has probably been THE MOST aggressive in attacking, insulting, and undermining other candidates and their supporters over the course of the primary (eg. all the Warren attacks, Pete attacks, etc). Why would other candidates' delegates rush to switch to Bernie after such relentless animosity from his coalition??? Especially considering his platform is so far to the left of everyone else in the field which limits its compatibility/transferability to what other delegates' constituents would have voted for. Then ON TOP of that, the superdelegates cast the deciding votes in a brokered scenario and they're not fucking with the socialist shit at all lol (It's probably safe to take Obama's comments this past weekend as an average temperature read of the SDs.)

So umm, ya. Math and logic suggest Bernie's not necessarily in good shape to win the nom either lol. I guess we'll see tho.


>Iowa is the ideal state for Pete. While he's made some gains
>in NH - he hasn't and won't crack the top slot there. He'll
>lose NH. He'll lose SC - and will likely take a big hit when
>Super Tuesday comes around.
>
>Pete ain't winning, period.
>
>-->