>i do agree that warren is already eating some of bidens
>support. i would think thats more so the people that were team
>biden only because they saw him as the most electable but were
>really on the progressive side to begin with. now that they
>see warren is gaining traction they feel safer going with
>her.

i dont have the polls on hand (i may have posted em in here or another post already) but warren is the clear favorite when people are asked who they would vote for based on the issues (biden comes out in front when they factor in who they think can win).

warren also has advantage when people are asked who is their 1st *and* 2nd choice.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D9FVexpXUAA-y0T.jpg

>pete seems like a safe choice for biden voters to move to but
>at the same time he is pretty progressive on issues, a step
>below warren in some ways. he just has a way to say it that
>appeals to more moderate voters.

i just looked around and apparently the 2nd choice of biden voters routinely comes out as bernie (and vice versa).
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ECGeGyuXYAAVEg7.jpg

i think we underestimate how much of politics is culture over policy. a lot of voters went from gw bush to obama to trump. sherrod brown is more progressive than biden and still would command more of bidens base in the rust belt than most moderate candidates.


>i dont know what beto's signature issue is anymore. it seemed
>he was going to go full blown pro immigrants but castro threw
>him off that. if what you care most about is immigration
>rights and reversing trumps policies on that then castro would
>be the one to go with.

yeah that showed how much of a lightweight beto is up against seasoned vets who have taken this shit serious for years. dude just thought he could soapbox and charm his way to a nomination but just exposed himself against more qualified competition.