Sorry man but you are looking at this the wrong way, if he picks up *any* votes from the base, he wins the election. Were Hillary voters going to stay home if Sanders won? I think not. She ran such a poor campaign and carried so much baggage that just about anyone who was capable of winning the nomination had a better shot, and that definitely includes Sanders. I can't point to a state where he would have fared worse and any sort of bump in PA/MI/WI gets him into the White House. Different set of circumstances this time, I know, but he is still polling strong, still a progressive product in conventional packaging, etc.