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Forum nameGeneral Discussion
Topic subjectI don't actually disagree on this.That's why I think an established base
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=4&topic_id=13211439&mesg_id=13370740
13370740, I don't actually disagree on this.That's why I think an established base
Posted by kfine, Wed Mar-04-20 12:59 PM
of supporters/donors/volunteers should be a top consideration. We saw with Bloomberg and Steyer that money alone can't substitute organic grassroots support. But we also saw, given Biden's struggles against other candidates before they dropped out, that name recognition alone is not enough.

45 is very strong in all of these areas, and I just think Biden will need muscle from his VP beyond optics.


>https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/02/06/rachel-bitecofer-profile-election-forecasting-new-theory-108944
>

This was an interesting read. I do agree with her assessments that the polling has been trash lol. I personally suspect shitty sampling, but who knows. I guess that's why I place more value on actual data reflecting what's happened... both in the primary and in the last GE the Dems competed against 45 *shrug*

But she also has a compelling argument against leaning too much on representation/identity politics, which is the point I'm doing a sucky job of making (lol), and she even uses the same example I did in a different reply regarding Kaine in '16.

I guess we'll see..