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Forum nameGeneral Discussion
Topic subjectWell, technically the error was in the turnout models, not the preferences.
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=4&topic_id=13091852&mesg_id=13092508
13092508, Well, technically the error was in the turnout models, not the preferences.
Posted by stravinskian, Wed Nov-09-16 07:16 PM

Or so the FiveThirtyEight people have been saying.

It wasn't that people weren't saying who they'd vote for. It was pollsters incorrectly estimating what the turnout would be in each demographic group.