I wanted to do a pool, but I guess Yahoo stopped doing that. But with one week to go, let's see who you think WILL win (throw in who should win if you want). That way if you're wrong, we can laugh at you for being stupid. And if you're right, we can all mock you for being a nerd.

Here's what's nominated for what.

BEST PICTURE
"Brokeback Mountain," Diana Ossana and James Schamus, producers
"Capote," Caroline Baron, William Vince and Michael Ohoven, producers
"Crash," Paul Haggis and Cathy Schulman, producers
"Good Night, and Good Luck," Grant Heslov, producer
"Munich," Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg and Barry Mendel, producers

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, "Junebug"
Catherine Keener, "Capote"
Frances McDormand, "North Country"
Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"
Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
George Clooney, "Syriana"
Matt Dillon, "Crash"
Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
William Hurt, "A History of Violence"

BEST ACTRESS
Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica"
Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice"
Charlize Theron, "North Country"
Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

BEST ACTOR
Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow"
Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain"
Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line"
David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"

BEST DIRECTOR
Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
Bennett Miller, "Capote"
Paul Haggis, "Crash"
George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
Steven Spielberg, "Munich"

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
Woody Allen, "Match Point"
Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
Steven Gaghan, "Syriana"

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain"
Dan Futterman, "Capote"
Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener"
Josh Olson, "A History of Violence"
Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich"

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
"Don't Tell" (Italy)
"Joyeux Noël" (France)
"Paradise Now" (Palestine)
"Sophie Scholl - The Final Days" (Germany)
"Tsotsi" (South Africa)

BEST ANIMATED FILM
"Howl's Moving Castle," Hayao Miyazake
"Tim Burton's Corpse Bride," Tim Burton and Mike Johnson
"Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit," Nick Park and Steve Box

BEST ART DIRECTION
"Good Night, and Good Luck," Art Direction: Jim Bissell; Set Decoration: Jan Pascale
"Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire," Art Direction: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
"King Kong," Art Direction: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Dan Hennah and Simon Bright
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set Decoration: Gretchen Rau
"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
"Batman Begins," Wally Pfister
"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
"Good Night, and Good Luck," Robert Elswit
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Dion Beebe
"The New World," Emmanuel Lubezki

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
"Charlie and the Chocolate Factory," Gabriella Pescucci
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Colleen Atwood
"Mrs. Henderson Presents," Sandy Powell
"Pride & Prejudice," Jacqueline Durran
"Walk the Line," Arianne Phillips

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
"Darwin's Nightmare," Hubert Sauper
"Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room," Alex Gibney and Jason Kliot
"March of the Penguins," Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
"Murderball," Henry-Alex Rubin and Dana Adam Shapiro
"Street Fight," Marshall Curry

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
"The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club," Dan Krauss
"God Sleeps in Rwanda," Kimberlee Acquaro and Stacy Sherman
"The Mushroom Club," Steven Okazaki
"A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin," Corinne Marrinan and Eric Simonson

BEST FILM EDITING
"Cinderella Man," Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
"The Constant Gardener," Claire Simpson
"Crash," Hughes Winborne
"Munich," Michael Kahn
"Walk the Line," Michael McCusker

BEST MAKEUP
"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe," Howard Berger and Tami Lane
"Cinderella Man," David Leroy Anderson and Lance Anderson
"Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith," Dave Elsey and Nikki Gooley

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
"Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla
"The Constant Gardener," Alberto Iglesias
"Memoirs of a Geisha," John Williams
"Munich," John Williams
"Pride & Prejudice," Dario Marianelli

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"In the Deep" from "Crash," Music by Kathleen "Bird" York and Michael Becker; Lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York
"It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from "Hustle & Flow," Music and Lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul Beauregard
"Travelin' Thru" from "Transamerica," Music and Lyric by Dolly Parton

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
"Badgered," Sharon Colman
"The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation," John Canemaker and Peggy Stern
"The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello," Anthony Lucas
"9," Shane Acker
"One Man Band," Andrew Jimenez and Mark Andrews

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
"Ausreisser (The Runaway)," Ulrike Grote
"Cashback," Sean Ellis and Lene Bausager
"The Last Farm," Rúnar Rúnarsson and Thor S. Sigurjónsson
"Our Time Is Up," Rob Pearlstein and Pia Clemente
"Six Shooter," Martin McDonagh

BEST SOUND EDITING
"King Kong," Mike Hopkins and Ethan Van der Ryn
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Wylie Stateman
"War of the Worlds," Richard King

BEST SOUND MIXING
"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe," Terry Porter, Dean A. Zupancic and Tony Johnson
"King Kong," Christopher Boyes, Michael Semanick, Michael Hedges and Hammond Peek
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Kevin O'Connell, Greg P. Russell, Rick Kline and John Pritchett
"Walk the Line," Paul Massey, D.M. Hemphill and Peter F. Kurland
"War of the Worlds," Andy Nelson, Anna Behlmer and Ronald Judkins

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe," Dean Wright, Bill Westenhofer, Jim Berney and Scott Farrar
"King Kong," Joe Letteri, Brian Van't Hul, Christian Rivers and Richard Taylor
"War of the Worlds," Dennis Muren, Pablo Helman, Randy Dutra and Daniel Sudick

>BEST PICTURE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Diana Ossana and James Schamus,
>producers
>"Capote," Caroline Baron, William Vince and Michael Ohoven,
>producers
>"Crash," Paul Haggis and Cathy Schulman, producers
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Grant Heslov, producer
>"Munich," Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg and Barry Mendel,
>producers

SHOULD WIN: Crash
WILL WIN: Brokeback Mountain

I'm sure my "Should Win" has a lot of enraged right now. Sorry (not really). I still haven't seen Brokeback, so I'm at a disadvantage I suppose, but it seems to have all the momentum, what with the gays and all that. Still, looking at that list, 2005 was a pretty great year as far as films, and six of my top 10 flicks didn't even get nominated (A History Of Violence, Syriana, Kiss Kiss Bang Bang, Batman Begins, Sin City, and Cinderella Man, if you're curious).

>BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
>Amy Adams, "Junebug"
>Catherine Keener, "Capote"
>Frances McDormand, "North Country"
>Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"
>Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"

SHOULD WIN: Catherine Keener
WILL WIN: Rachel Weisz

Also haven't seen Junebug. Catherine Keener was so excellent playing the straight (wo)man to Hoffman's Capote that she gets the nod from me, though Weisz was awesome and, to me, held that movie together. Being that it's a year of political films, I think Weisz gets it, and if not her, Michelle Williams.

>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
>George Clooney, "Syriana"
>Matt Dillon, "Crash"
>Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
>Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
>William Hurt, "A History of Violence"

SHOULD WIN: George Clooney
WILL WIN: Jake Gyllenhaal

Again, some awesome nominees, as all the ones I saw gave tremendous performances. If you thrown in some of the overlooked people (the guy who played Perry Smith in Capote, Matt Damon in Syriana), it's a good group. I'm more giving Clooney the award for everything he's done this year.

>BEST ACTRESS
>Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
>Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica"
>Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice"
>Charlize Theron, "North Country"
>Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

SHOULD WIN: Reese Witherspoon
WILL WIN: Reese Witherspoon

I haven't seen P&P, but Keira Knightley? Really? Also, haven't seen Transamerica.

>BEST ACTOR
>Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
>Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow"
>Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line"
>David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"

SHOULD WIN: Philip Seymour Hoffman
WILL WIN: Heath Ledger

Hoffman gave the performance of his career, and with his resume, that saying something. Despite all the obvious obstacles, he managed to, by the end of the flick, make you absolutely forget it was a role. But it's not a film that got the least exposure in a year full of films few have seen. If not Hoffman, I'd like to see Howard, but he's the darkhorse. Again though, Brokeback Mountain has all the momentum.

>BEST DIRECTOR
>Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Bennett Miller, "Capote"
>Paul Haggis, "Crash"
>George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>Steven Spielberg, "Munich"

SHOULD WIN: George Clooney
WILL WIN: Ang Lee

Clooney's my winner sort of my default. Didn't see Brokeback, Capote was excellent but no so much for it's filmmaking (though for the first feature of his career, Miller hit a homerun), Crash, as much as I love it, has it's flaws, and Munich doesn't stand up.

>BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
>Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
>George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>Woody Allen, "Match Point"
>Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
>Steven Gaghan, "Syriana"

SHOULD WIN: Steven Gaghan
WILL WIN: Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco

I think this is where they'll throw Crash a bone, and it's not undeserved.

>BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
>Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Dan Futterman, "Capote"
>Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener"
>Josh Olson, "A History of Violence"
>Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich"

SHOULD WIN: Dan Futterman
WILL WIN: Larry McMurtry (no relation) & Diana Ossana

This is probably the gimme of the night.

>BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
>"Don't Tell" (Italy)
>"Joyeux Noël" (France)
>"Paradise Now" (Palestine)
>"Sophie Scholl - The Final Days" (Germany)
>"Tsotsi" (South Africa)

Haven't seen any of them yet.

>BEST ANIMATED FILM
>"Howl's Moving Castle," Hayao Miyazake
>"Tim Burton's Corpse Bride," Tim Burton and Mike Johnson
>"Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit," Nick Park and
>Steve Box

Yikes. I saw Corpse Bride, but didn't like it.

>BEST ART DIRECTION
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Art Direction: Jim Bissell; Set
>Decoration: Jan Pascale
>"Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire," Art Direction: Stuart
>Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
>"King Kong," Art Direction: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Dan
>Hennah and Simon Bright
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set
>Decoration: Gretchen Rau
>"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set
>Decoration: Katie Spencer

SHOULD WIN: Good Night & Good Luck
WILL WIN: P&P

This is where these throwback British films clean up.

>BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
>"Batman Begins," Wally Pfister
>"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Robert Elswit
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Dion Beebe
>"The New World," Emmanuel Lubezki

SHOULD WIN: Wally Pfister
WILL WIN: Rodrigo Prieto

Only seen two, but I've liked Pfister's work for some time now, and think he shot Batman wonderfully. Of course, I haven't seen The New World, Geisha, or the homos, so.

>BEST COSTUME DESIGN
>"Charlie and the Chocolate Factory," Gabriella Pescucci
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Colleen Atwood
>"Mrs. Henderson Presents," Sandy Powell
>"Pride & Prejudice," Jacqueline Durran
>"Walk the Line," Arianne Phillips

SHOULD WIN: Charlie & The Chocolate Factory
WILL WIN: P&P

>BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
>"Darwin's Nightmare," Hubert Sauper
>"Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room," Alex Gibney and Jason
>Kliot
>"March of the Penguins," Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
>"Murderball," Henry-Alex Rubin and Dana Adam Shapiro
>"Street Fight," Marshall Curry

SHOULD WIN: March Of The Penguins
WILL WIN: March Of The Penguins

>BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
>"The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club,"
>Dan Krauss
>"God Sleeps in Rwanda," Kimberlee Acquaro and Stacy Sherman
>"The Mushroom Club," Steven Okazaki
>"A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin," Corinne
>Marrinan and Eric Simonson

Nope. Sorry.

>BEST FILM EDITING
>"Cinderella Man," Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
>"The Constant Gardener," Claire Simpson
>"Crash," Hughes Winborne
>"Munich," Michael Kahn
>"Walk the Line," Michael McCusker

SHOULD WIN: Constant Gardner
WILL WIN: Walk The Line

>BEST MAKEUP
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Howard Berger and Tami Lane
>"Cinderella Man," David Leroy Anderson and Lance Anderson
>"Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith," Dave Elsey and
>Nikki Gooley

Sorry, but who cares.

>BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla
>"The Constant Gardener," Alberto Iglesias
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," John Williams
>"Munich," John Williams
>"Pride & Prejudice," Dario Marianelli

SHOULD WIN: John Williams
WILL WIN: Brokeback

>BEST ORIGINAL SONG
>"In the Deep" from "Crash," Music by Kathleen "Bird" York and
>Michael Becker; Lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York
>"It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from "Hustle & Flow," Music
>and Lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul
>Beauregard
>"Travelin' Thru" from "Transamerica," Music and Lyric by Dolly
>Parton

SHOULD WIN: "It's Hard Out Here For A Pimp"
WILL WIN: Anything but that. Prolly Dolly.

>BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Dean Wright, Bill Westenhofer, Jim Berney and Scott
>Farrar
>"King Kong," Joe Letteri, Brian Van't Hul, Christian Rivers
>and Richard Taylor
>"War of the Worlds," Dennis Muren, Pablo Helman, Randy Dutra
>and Daniel Sudick

SHOULD WIN: King Kong
WILL WIN: King Kong

AKA log off right now.

>SHOULD WIN: Crash
>WILL WIN: Brokeback Mountain

>>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
>>George Clooney, "Syriana"
>>Matt Dillon, "Crash"
>>Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
>>Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
>>William Hurt, "A History of Violence"
>
>SHOULD WIN: George Clooney
>WILL WIN: Jake Gyllenhaal
>
>Again, some awesome nominees, as all the ones I saw gave
>tremendous performances. If you thrown in some of the
>overlooked people (the guy who played Perry Smith in Capote,

Clifton Collins Jr.

>Matt Damon in Syriana)

I thought Alexander Siddig was even better

>>BEST ACTRESS
>>Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
>>Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica"
>>Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice"
>>Charlize Theron, "North Country"
>>Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"
>
>SHOULD WIN: Reese Witherspoon
>WILL WIN: Reese Witherspoon
>
>I haven't seen P&P, but Keira Knightley? Really?

If Matt Dillon can get a nom then anything is possible

Also, haven't
>seen Transamerica.
>
>>BEST ACTOR
>>Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
>>Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow"
>>Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain"
>>Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line"
>>David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>
>SHOULD WIN: Philip Seymour Hoffman
>WILL WIN: Heath Ledger
>
>Hoffman gave the performance of his career, and with his
>resume, that saying something. Despite all the obvious
>obstacles, he managed to, by the end of the flick, make you
>absolutely forget it was a role. But it's not a film that got
>the least exposure in a year full of films few have seen. If
>not Hoffman, I'd like to see Howard, but he's the darkhorse.

Whatchu mean dark?!?! I bet you're white huh?
>
>>BEST DIRECTOR
>>Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
>>Bennett Miller, "Capote"
>>Paul Haggis, "Crash"
>>George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>>Steven Spielberg, "Munich"
>
>SHOULD WIN: George Clooney
>WILL WIN: Ang Lee
>
>Clooney's my winner sort of my default. Didn't see Brokeback,
>Capote was excellent but no so much for it's filmmaking
>(though for the first feature of his career, Miller hit a
>homerun), Crash, as much as I love it, has it's flaws, and
>Munich doesn't stand up.
>
>>BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
>>Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
>>George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>>Woody Allen, "Match Point"
>>Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
>>Steven Gaghan, "Syriana"
>
>SHOULD WIN: Steven Gaghan
>WILL WIN: Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco
>
>I think this is where they'll throw Crash a bone, and it's not
>undeserved.

Even up against The Squid & the Whale, Syriana & Good Night & Good Luck it's not?

>>BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
>>Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain"
>>Dan Futterman, "Capote"
>>Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener"
>>Josh Olson, "A History of Violence"
>>Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich"
>
>SHOULD WIN: Dan Futterman
>WILL WIN: Larry McMurtry (no relation) & Diana Ossana
>
>This is probably the gimme of the night.
>
>>BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
>>"Don't Tell" (Italy)
>>"Joyeux Noël" (France)
>>"Paradise Now" (Palestine)
>>"Sophie Scholl - The Final Days" (Germany)
>>"Tsotsi" (South Africa)
>
>Haven't seen any of them yet.
>
>>BEST ANIMATED FILM
>>"Howl's Moving Castle," Hayao Miyazake
>>"Tim Burton's Corpse Bride," Tim Burton and Mike Johnson
>>"Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit," Nick Park and
>>Steve Box
>
>Yikes. I saw Corpse Bride, but didn't like it.
>
>>BEST ART DIRECTION
>>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Art Direction: Jim Bissell; Set
>>Decoration: Jan Pascale
>>"Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire," Art Direction: Stuart
>>Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
>>"King Kong," Art Direction: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Dan
>>Hennah and Simon Bright
>>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set
>>Decoration: Gretchen Rau
>>"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set
>>Decoration: Katie Spencer
>
>SHOULD WIN: Good Night & Good Luck
>WILL WIN: P&P
>
>This is where these throwback British films clean up.
>
>>BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
>>"Batman Begins," Wally Pfister
>>"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
>>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Robert Elswit
>>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Dion Beebe
>>"The New World," Emmanuel Lubezki
>
>SHOULD WIN: Wally Pfister
>WILL WIN: Rodrigo Prieto
>
>Only seen two, but I've liked Pfister's work for some time
>now, and think he shot Batman wonderfully.

You & me both

Of course, I
>haven't seen The New World, Geisha, or the homos, so.

The New World & Geisha are gonna be tough to beat

I thought Brokeback would do a lot better.

>BEST PICTURE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Diana Ossana and James Schamus,
>producers
>"Capote," Caroline Baron, William Vince and Michael Ohoven,
>producers
>"Crash," Paul Haggis and Cathy Schulman, producers
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Grant Heslov, producer
>"Munich," Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg and Barry Mendel,
>producers

WILL WIN: Brokeback Mountain
SHOULD WIN: Anything other than Crash. Capote and Good Night and Good Luck I thoroughly enjoyed, and Munich gets better every time I think about it.

>
>BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
>Amy Adams, "Junebug"
>Catherine Keener, "Capote"
>Frances McDormand, "North Country"
>Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"
>Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"

WILL WIN: Rachel Weisz
SHOULD WIN: Rachel Weisz. She's hot. I wanna see Junebug though.


>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
>George Clooney, "Syriana"
>Matt Dillon, "Crash"
>Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
>Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
>William Hurt, "A History of Violence"

WILL WIN: George Clooney
SHOULD WIN: Either George or Paul Giamatti, cuz both of them are too fucking cool.

>
>BEST ACTRESS
>Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
>Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica"
>Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice"
>Charlize Theron, "North Country"
>Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

WILL WIN: Reese
SHOULD WIN: Reese

>
>BEST ACTOR
>Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
>Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow"
>Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line"
>David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"

WILL WIN: Philip Seymour Hoffman
SHOULD WIN: The four performances I saw in this category were ALL exquisite. That being said, I'd lean SLIGHTLY towards Hoffman and Phoenix.

>
>BEST DIRECTOR
>Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Bennett Miller, "Capote"
>Paul Haggis, "Crash"
>George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>Steven Spielberg, "Munich"

WILL WIN: Ang Lee
SHOULD WIN: Clooney or Spielberg, Clooney for making a second straiht beautiful movie, and Spielberg for breaking out of his funk and making a movie that takes HUGE risks and doesn't have a happy ending.

>
>BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
>Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
>George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>Woody Allen, "Match Point"
>Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
>Steven Gaghan, "Syriana"

WILL WIN: *barf* Crash and all of the stereotypical characters within it
SHOULD WIN: Squid and the Whale

>
>BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
>Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Dan Futterman, "Capote"
>Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener"
>Josh Olson, "A History of Violence"
>Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich"

WILL WIN: Brokeback
SHOULD WIN: Munich. WONDERFUL dialogue in this movie.

>
>BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
>"Don't Tell" (Italy)
>"Joyeux Noël" (France)
>"Paradise Now" (Palestine)
>"Sophie Scholl - The Final Days" (Germany)
>"Tsotsi" (South Africa)

WILL WIN: Paradise Now
SHOULD WIN: ?

>
>BEST ANIMATED FILM
>"Howl's Moving Castle," Hayao Miyazake
>"Tim Burton's Corpse Bride," Tim Burton and Mike Johnson
>"Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit," Nick Park and
>Steve Box

WILL WIN: Wallace and Gromit
SHOULD WIN: Wallace and Gromit

>
>BEST ART DIRECTION
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Art Direction: Jim Bissell; Set
>Decoration: Jan Pascale
>"Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire," Art Direction: Stuart
>Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
>"King Kong," Art Direction: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Dan
>Hennah and Simon Bright
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set
>Decoration: Gretchen Rau
>"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set
>Decoration: Katie Spencer

WILL WIN: Geisha
SHOULD WIN: Good Night and Good Luck

>
>BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
>"Batman Begins," Wally Pfister
>"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Robert Elswit
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Dion Beebe
>"The New World," Emmanuel Lubezki

WILL WIN: Brokeback Mountain
SHOULD WIN: GN & GL, cuz I'm a sucker for black and white

>
>BEST COSTUME DESIGN
>"Charlie and the Chocolate Factory," Gabriella Pescucci
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Colleen Atwood
>"Mrs. Henderson Presents," Sandy Powell
>"Pride & Prejudice," Jacqueline Durran
>"Walk the Line," Arianne Phillips

WILL WIN: Geisha
SHOULD WIN: Probably Geisha

>
>BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
>"Darwin's Nightmare," Hubert Sauper
>"Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room," Alex Gibney and Jason
>Kliot
>"March of the Penguins," Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
>"Murderball," Henry-Alex Rubin and Dana Adam Shapiro
>"Street Fight," Marshall Curry

WILL WIN: March of the Penguins
SHOULD WIN: MURDERBALL MOTHERFUCKERS!!!!

>
>BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
>"The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club,"
>Dan Krauss
>"God Sleeps in Rwanda," Kimberlee Acquaro and Stacy Sherman
>"The Mushroom Club," Steven Okazaki
>"A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin," Corinne
>Marrinan and Eric Simonson

WILL WIN: Norman Corwin
SHOULD WIN: ?

>
>BEST FILM EDITING
>"Cinderella Man," Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
>"The Constant Gardener," Claire Simpson
>"Crash," Hughes Winborne
>"Munich," Michael Kahn
>"Walk the Line," Michael McCusker

WILL WIN: Perhaps it's my bias against Crash talking, but I'm goin upset and picking The Constant Gardener
SHOULD WIN: The Constant Gardener

>
>BEST MAKEUP
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Howard Berger and Tami Lane
>"Cinderella Man," David Leroy Anderson and Lance Anderson
>"Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith," Dave Elsey and
>Nikki Gooley

WILL AND SHOULD WIN: Narnia

>
>BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla
>"The Constant Gardener," Alberto Iglesias
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," John Williams
>"Munich," John Williams
>"Pride & Prejudice," Dario Marianelli

WILL WIN: Brokeback
SHOULD WIN: Munich

>
>BEST ORIGINAL SONG
>"In the Deep" from "Crash," Music by Kathleen "Bird" York and
>Michael Becker; Lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York
>"It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from "Hustle & Flow," Music
>and Lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul
>Beauregard
>"Travelin' Thru" from "Transamerica," Music and Lyric by Dolly
>Parton

WILL AND SHOULD WIN: It's Hard Out Here For a Pimp

>
>BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
>"Badgered," Sharon Colman
>"The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation," John
>Canemaker and Peggy Stern
>"The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello,"
>Anthony Lucas
>"9," Shane Acker
>"One Man Band," Andrew Jimenez and Mark Andrews

WILL WIN: The Moon and the Son
SHOULD WIN: ?

>
>BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
>"Ausreisser (The Runaway)," Ulrike Grote
>"Cashback," Sean Ellis and Lene Bausager
>"The Last Farm," Rúnar Rúnarsson and Thor S. Sigurjónsson
>"Our Time Is Up," Rob Pearlstein and Pia Clemente
>"Six Shooter," Martin McDonagh

WILL WIN: Six Shooter
SHOULD WIN: ?

>
>BEST SOUND EDITING
>"King Kong," Mike Hopkins and Ethan Van der Ryn
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Wylie Stateman
>"War of the Worlds," Richard King

WILL AND SHOULD WIN: King Kong

>
>BEST SOUND MIXING
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Terry Porter, Dean A. Zupancic and Tony Johnson
>"King Kong," Christopher Boyes, Michael Semanick, Michael
>Hedges and Hammond Peek
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Kevin O'Connell, Greg P. Russell, Rick
>Kline and John Pritchett
>"Walk the Line," Paul Massey, D.M. Hemphill and Peter F.
>Kurland
>"War of the Worlds," Andy Nelson, Anna Behlmer and Ronald
>Judkins

WILL AND SHOULD WIN: King Kong

>
>BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Dean Wright, Bill Westenhofer, Jim Berney and Scott
>Farrar
>"King Kong," Joe Letteri, Brian Van't Hul, Christian Rivers
>and Richard Taylor
>"War of the Worlds," Dennis Muren, Pablo Helman, Randy Dutra
>and Daniel Sudick

WILL AND SHOULD WIN: King Kong

>BEST PICTURE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Diana Ossana and James Schamus,
>producers
>"Capote," Caroline Baron, William Vince and Michael Ohoven,
>producers
>"Crash," Paul Haggis and Cathy Schulman, producers
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Grant Heslov, producer
>"Munich," Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg and Barry Mendel,
>producers

Brokeback's going to win. I only saw Crash and GN&GL in this category, and niether of them blew me away. Cinderella Man shits on both of those movies.

>BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
>Amy Adams, "Junebug"
>Catherine Keener, "Capote"
>Frances McDormand, "North Country"
>Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"
>Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"

I hope Rachel Weisz wins. It's probably between her, Keener, and Michelle Williams.

>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
>George Clooney, "Syriana"
>Matt Dillon, "Crash"
>Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
>Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
>William Hurt, "A History of Violence"

Matt Dillon's going to win, but Clooney should win.

>BEST ACTRESS
>Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
>Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica"
>Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice"
>Charlize Theron, "North Country"
>Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

I imagine Reese Witherspoon's going to take this, and I can't say she doesn't deserve it.

>BEST ACTOR
>Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
>Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow"
>Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line"
>David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"

No way is Hoffman not winning this. Although how shocked would everyone be if Terrence Howard won?

>BEST DIRECTOR
>Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Bennett Miller, "Capote"
>Paul Haggis, "Crash"
>George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>Steven Spielberg, "Munich"

Ang Lee's movie's winning Best Piccture, so he's winning Best Director.

>BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
>Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
>George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>Woody Allen, "Match Point"
>Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
>Steven Gaghan, "Syriana"

I'd give the edge to Syriana here. Crash did not have that well-written of a script, I didn't see the Squid & the Whale, and Match Point's script was good, but not great. GN&GL's script has good dialogue, even if it is sort of unfactual. But I really think Syriana will and should win.

>BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
>Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Dan Futterman, "Capote"
>Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener"
>Josh Olson, "A History of Violence"
>Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich"

I saw nothing here. Probably Brokeback or Capote.

>BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
>"Don't Tell" (Italy)
>"Joyeux Noël" (France)
>"Paradise Now" (Palestine)
>"Sophie Scholl - The Final Days" (Germany)
>"Tsotsi" (South Africa)

Tsotsi looks amazing, I'd like to see it win.

>BEST ANIMATED FILM
>"Howl's Moving Castle," Hayao Miyazake
>"Tim Burton's Corpse Bride," Tim Burton and Mike Johnson
>"Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit," Nick Park and
>Steve Box

Wallace and Gromit will win in the biggest landslide of the night.

>BEST ART DIRECTION
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Art Direction: Jim Bissell; Set
>Decoration: Jan Pascale
>"Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire," Art Direction: Stuart
>Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
>"King Kong," Art Direction: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Dan
>Hennah and Simon Bright
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set
>Decoration: Gretchen Rau
>"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set
>Decoration: Katie Spencer

What is art direction? Ryan M, Longo, Buckshot, anyone?

>BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
>"Batman Begins," Wally Pfister
>"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Robert Elswit
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Dion Beebe
>"The New World," Emmanuel Lubezki

The movies I saw from here had really good cinematography, and I can imagine the other ones all look pretty nice. Fuck it, let Batman win.

>BEST COSTUME DESIGN
>"Charlie and the Chocolate Factory," Gabriella Pescucci
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Colleen Atwood
>"Mrs. Henderson Presents," Sandy Powell
>"Pride & Prejudice," Jacqueline Durran
>"Walk the Line," Arianne Phillips

NOT Charlie & the Chocolate Factory. Those Oompa Loompas sucked.

>BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
>"Darwin's Nightmare," Hubert Sauper
>"Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room," Alex Gibney and Jason
>Kliot
>"March of the Penguins," Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
>"Murderball," Henry-Alex Rubin and Dana Adam Shapiro
>"Street Fight," Marshall Curry

Murderball does not deserve to lose. Darwin's Nightmare looked pretty interesting, but no way should anything beat Murderball. It's a Hoop Dreams-level doc.

>BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
>"The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club,"
>Dan Krauss
>"God Sleeps in Rwanda," Kimberlee Acquaro and Stacy Sherman
>"The Mushroom Club," Steven Okazaki
>"A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin," Corinne
>Marrinan and Eric Simonson

The Death of Kevin Carter, only because the name sounds like it's about the ex-St. Louis Rams defensive end.

>BEST FILM EDITING
>"Cinderella Man," Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
>"The Constant Gardener," Claire Simpson
>"Crash," Hughes Winborne
>"Munich," Michael Kahn
>"Walk the Line," Michael McCusker

What is good editing? Isn't good editing supposed to be unnoticable? How do they reward films for good editing? Again, film people, help me out.

>BEST MAKEUP
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Howard Berger and Tami Lane
>"Cinderella Man," David Leroy Anderson and Lance Anderson
>"Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith," Dave Elsey and
>Nikki Gooley

Cinderella Man will not win anything, because the Oscars suck. I don't know, Narnia.

>BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla
>"The Constant Gardener," Alberto Iglesias
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," John Williams
>"Munich," John Williams
>"Pride & Prejudice," Dario Marianelli

John Williams is up against himself. It would be funny if he went 0-2.

>BEST ORIGINAL SONG
>"In the Deep" from "Crash," Music by Kathleen "Bird" York and
>Michael Becker; Lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York
>"It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from "Hustle & Flow," Music
>and Lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul
>Beauregard
>"Travelin' Thru" from "Transamerica," Music and Lyric by Dolly
>Parton

THIS is what I will be watching for. If "It's Hard Out Here For A Pimp" doesn't win, it will ruin the Oscars. Unless they actually have Three 6 performing. And Jack Nicholson wears a grill.

>BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
>"Badgered," Sharon Colman
>"The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation," John
>Canemaker and Peggy Stern
>"The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello,"
>Anthony Lucas
>"9," Shane Acker
>"One Man Band," Andrew Jimenez and Mark Andrews

No idea. Normally in these categories I like to pick the one with the best name, but none of these have exceptional names.

>BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
>"Ausreisser (The Runaway)," Ulrike Grote
>"Cashback," Sean Ellis and Lene Bausager
>"The Last Farm," Rúnar Rúnarsson and Thor S. Sigurjónsson
>"Our Time Is Up," Rob Pearlstein and Pia Clemente
>"Six Shooter," Martin McDonagh

See above

>BEST SOUND EDITING
>"King Kong," Mike Hopkins and Ethan Van der Ryn
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Wylie Stateman
>"War of the Worlds," Richard King

Don't know what this is.

>BEST SOUND MIXING
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Terry Porter, Dean A. Zupancic and Tony Johnson
>"King Kong," Christopher Boyes, Michael Semanick, Michael
>Hedges and Hammond Peek
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Kevin O'Connell, Greg P. Russell, Rick
>Kline and John Pritchett
>"Walk the Line," Paul Massey, D.M. Hemphill and Peter F.
>Kurland
>"War of the Worlds," Andy Nelson, Anna Behlmer and Ronald
>Judkins

Ditto

>BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Dean Wright, Bill Westenhofer, Jim Berney and Scott
>Farrar
>"King Kong," Joe Letteri, Brian Van't Hul, Christian Rivers
>and Richard Taylor
>"War of the Worlds," Dennis Muren, Pablo Helman, Randy Dutra
>and Daniel Sudick

King Kong has to win here.

>>BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
>>Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
>>George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>>Woody Allen, "Match Point"
>>Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
>>Steven Gaghan, "Syriana"
>
>I'd give the edge to Syriana here. Crash did not have that
>well-written of a script, I didn't see the Squid & the Whale,
>and Match Point's script was good, but not great. GN&GL's
>script has good dialogue, even if it is sort of unfactual.

Which parts? I saw an interview w/ Clooney where he mentioned how careful they were in checking all their facts

>>BEST ART DIRECTION
>>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Art Direction: Jim Bissell; Set
>>Decoration: Jan Pascale
>>"Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire," Art Direction: Stuart
>>Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
>>"King Kong," Art Direction: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Dan
>>Hennah and Simon Bright
>>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set
>>Decoration: Gretchen Rau
>>"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set
>>Decoration: Katie Spencer
>
>What is art direction? Ryan M, Longo, Buckshot, anyone?

Good question. I thought it was the same as set decoration but I guess not.

>>BEST FILM EDITING
>>"Cinderella Man," Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
>>"The Constant Gardener," Claire Simpson
>>"Crash," Hughes Winborne
>>"Munich," Michael Kahn
>>"Walk the Line," Michael McCusker
>
>What is good editing? Isn't good editing supposed to be
>unnoticable? How do they reward films for good editing?
>Again, film people, help me out.

I'm probably not the best person on this board 2 answer this but I'll take a stab anyways. Yes good editing should be seamless & unnoticeable, but @ the same time I think it also refers to how each of the shots are structured together if that makes sense? A lot of decision making goes into it which is why I find it kind of weird when/if a director doesnt, or @ least isnt involved in some way w/ editing the film.

I created a private group here:

http://predict.oscar.go.com/predict/frontpage

Unfortunately, you have to register (enter your email address and other information), but once you do you can do a search for

Group Name: okayplayer
Password: preptime


Let's keep the fun going here, though...
___________________________________________________________________________________________
<----- Daddy's Comin' Home.

(and no, you can't click the link)

BEST PICTURE
"Brokeback Mountain," Diana Ossana and James Schamus, producers
"Capote," Caroline Baron, William Vince and Michael Ohoven, producers
"Crash," Paul Haggis and Cathy Schulman, producers
"Good Night, and Good Luck," Grant Heslov, producer
"Munich," Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg and Barry Mendel, producers


Should win: Munich...its just powerful and really damn good
Will win:Brokeback


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, "Junebug"
Catherine Keener, "Capote"
Frances McDormand, "North Country"
Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"
Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"

Should win: Rachel Weisz
Will Win: Rachel Weisz


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
George Clooney, "Syriana"
Matt Dillon, "Crash"
Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
William Hurt, "A History of Violence"


Should Win: William Hurt
Will Win: Jake Gyllenhaal


BEST ACTRESS
Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica"
Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice"
Charlize Theron, "North Country"
Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

Should Win: Rachel Weisz(how was she supporting again?)
Will Win: Charlize Theron-they love those movies


BEST ACTOR
Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow"
Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain"
Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line"
David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"

Should Win: Hoffman(he got the god damn voice almost)
Will Win: Heath(which kills all chances for A Knight's Tale 2 and life for Sossamon's career)


BEST DIRECTOR
Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
Bennett Miller, "Capote"
Paul Haggis, "Crash"
George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
Steven Spielberg, "Munich"

Should Win: And Lee
Will Win: Clooney(they're gonna give him something)


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
Woody Allen, "Match Point"
Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
Steven Gaghan, "Syriana"

Should Win: Stephen Gaghan
Will Win: Baumbach


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain"
Dan Futterman, "Capote"
Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener"
Josh Olson, "A History of Violence"
Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich"

Should Win: Josh Olsen(he made a good movie out of a not so great source)
Will Win: Brokeback


BEST ART DIRECTION
"Good Night, and Good Luck," Art Direction: Jim Bissell; Set Decoration: Jan Pascale
"Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire," Art Direction: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
"King Kong," Art Direction: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Dan Hennah and Simon Bright
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set Decoration: Gretchen Rau
"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer

Should Win: Memoirs(they did GREAT there)
Will Win: Pride and Prejudice


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
"Batman Begins," Wally Pfister
"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
"Good Night, and Good Luck," Robert Elswit
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Dion Beebe
"The New World," Emmanuel Lubezki


Should Win: The New Gotdamn World
Will Win: Brokeback


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
"Darwin's Nightmare," Hubert Sauper
"Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room," Alex Gibney and Jason Kliot
"March of the Penguins," Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
"Murderball," Henry-Alex Rubin and Dana Adam Shapiro
"Street Fight," Marshall Curry

Should Win: Penguins
Will Win: Evolution


BEST FILM EDITING
"Cinderella Man," Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
"The Constant Gardener," Claire Simpson
"Crash," Hughes Winborne
"Munich," Michael Kahn
"Walk the Line," Michael McCusker

Will Win: Walk the Line
Should Win: Michael Kahn


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
"Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla
"The Constant Gardener," Alberto Iglesias
"Memoirs of a Geisha," John Williams
"Munich," John Williams
"Pride & Prejudice," Dario Marianelli


Should Win: Memoirs
Will Win: Brokeback(that theme is ubiquitous)




____________________
http://www.myspace.com/cantball


For Dilla

>BEST PICTURE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Diana Ossana and James Schamus,
>producers
>"Capote," Caroline Baron, William Vince and Michael Ohoven,
>producers
>"Crash," Paul Haggis and Cathy Schulman, producers
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Grant Heslov, producer
>"Munich," Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg and Barry Mendel,
>producers

SHOULD: Good Night and Good Luck (it's a dry movie, but oh so necessary viewing)
WILL: Brokeback Mountain


>BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
>Amy Adams, "Junebug"
>Catherine Keener, "Capote"
>Frances McDormand, "North Country"
>Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"
>Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"

SHOULD: Amy Adams (she was luminous and very touching)
WILL: Cat Keener (I mean Marcia Gay Harden won it, so why not a surprise here ?)

>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
>George Clooney, "Syriana"
>Matt Dillon, "Crash"
>Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
>Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
>William Hurt, "A History of Violence"

SHOULD: J.Gyllenhaal (I think Don Wise should've been nom'ed for GNGL, but that's another story)
WILL: J.Gyllenhaal

>BEST ACTRESS
>Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
>Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica"
>Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice"
>Charlize Theron, "North Country"
>Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

SHOULD: R.Witherspoon (haven't seen Transamerica, so I can't judge on that)
WILL: R.Witherspoon

>BEST ACTOR
>Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
>Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow"
>Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line"
>David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"

SHOULD: D.Strathairn (his performance was bold, precise and brilliant, but not flashy, so he won't get it)
WILL: Hoffman (people are saying Ledge, who I thought was great, but Hoffman has a great rep)

>BEST DIRECTOR
>Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Bennett Miller, "Capote"
>Paul Haggis, "Crash"
>George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>Steven Spielberg, "Munich"

SHOULD: Clooney (GNGL was a real throwback to classic moviemaking, I'd consider Spielberg if he'd cut out that horrible horrible sex scene at the end)
WILL: Lee

>BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
>Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
>George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>Woody Allen, "Match Point"
>Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
>Steven Gaghan, "Syriana"

SHOULD: Syriana (I didn't love the movie, but that screenplay was magic, and yes I know it's based on a book)
WILL: Haggis & Moresco (Crash will definitely get some awards, their campaign has been too intense for them not to)

>BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
>Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Dan Futterman, "Capote"
>Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener"
>Josh Olson, "A History of Violence"
>Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich"

SHOULD: Kushner and Roth
WILL: Kushner and Roth

>BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
>"Don't Tell" (Italy)
>"Joyeux Noël" (France)
>"Paradise Now" (Palestine)
>"Sophie Scholl - The Final Days" (Germany)
>"Tsotsi" (South Africa)

SHOULD: anything but Joyeux Noel. That movie was cold garbage
WILL: Paradise Now

>BEST ANIMATED FILM
>"Howl's Moving Castle," Hayao Miyazake
>"Tim Burton's Corpse Bride," Tim Burton and Mike Johnson
>"Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit," Nick Park and
>Steve Box

SHOULD: Howl's Moving Castle
WILL: Corpse Bride

>BEST ART DIRECTION
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Art Direction: Jim Bissell; Set
>Decoration: Jan Pascale
>"Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire," Art Direction: Stuart
>Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
>"King Kong," Art Direction: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Dan
>Hennah and Simon Bright
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set
>Decoration: Gretchen Rau
>"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set
>Decoration: Katie Spencer

SHOULD: King Kong
WILL: King Kong

>BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
>"Batman Begins," Wally Pfister
>"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Robert Elswit
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Dion Beebe
>"The New World," Emmanuel Lubezki

SHOULD: The New World, of course (Mallick is a genius, those last five minutes were so so breathtaking)
WILL: Brokeback Mountain

>BEST COSTUME DESIGN
>"Charlie and the Chocolate Factory," Gabriella Pescucci
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Colleen Atwood
>"Mrs. Henderson Presents," Sandy Powell
>"Pride & Prejudice," Jacqueline Durran
>"Walk the Line," Arianne Phillips

SHOULD: ?
WILL: Memoirs of a Geisha

>BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
>"Darwin's Nightmare," Hubert Sauper
>"Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room," Alex Gibney and Jason
>Kliot
>"March of the Penguins," Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
>"Murderball," Henry-Alex Rubin and Dana Adam Shapiro
>"Street Fight," Marshall Curry

SHOULD: Murderball
WILL: March of the Penguins (didn't see it, but success often equals award in this category)

>BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
>"The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club,"
>Dan Krauss
>"God Sleeps in Rwanda," Kimberlee Acquaro and Stacy Sherman
>"The Mushroom Club," Steven Okazaki
>"A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin," Corinne
>Marrinan and Eric Simonson

SHOULD: ?
WILL: God sleeps in Rwanda

>BEST FILM EDITING
>"Cinderella Man," Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
>"The Constant Gardener," Claire Simpson
>"Crash," Hughes Winborne
>"Munich," Michael Kahn
>"Walk the Line," Michael McCusker

SHOULD: Constand Gardener
WILL: Crash

>BEST MAKEUP
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Howard Berger and Tami Lane
>"Cinderella Man," David Leroy Anderson and Lance Anderson
>"Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith," Dave Elsey and
>Nikki Gooley

SHOULD: ?
WILL: Star Wars

>BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla
>"The Constant Gardener," Alberto Iglesias
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," John Williams
>"Munich," John Williams
>"Pride & Prejudice," Dario Marianelli

SHOULD: Brokeback
WILL: Brokeback

>BEST ORIGINAL SONG
>"In the Deep" from "Crash," Music by Kathleen "Bird" York and
>Michael Becker; Lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York
>"It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from "Hustle & Flow," Music
>and Lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul
>Beauregard
>"Travelin' Thru" from "Transamerica," Music and Lyric by Dolly
>Parton

SHOULD: "it's hard out here for a pimp", just to hear that name on the Academy stage said once more
WILL: 'In the deep"

>BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
>"Badgered," Sharon Colman
>"The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation," John
>Canemaker and Peggy Stern
>"The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello,"
>Anthony Lucas
>"9," Shane Acker
>"One Man Band," Andrew Jimenez and Mark Andrews

SHOULD: ?
WILL: 9

>BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
>"Ausreisser (The Runaway)," Ulrike Grote
>"Cashback," Sean Ellis and Lene Bausager
>"The Last Farm," Rúnar Rúnarsson and Thor S. Sigurjónsson
>"Our Time Is Up," Rob Pearlstein and Pia Clemente
>"Six Shooter," Martin McDonagh

SHOULD: ?
WILL: The Last Farm

>BEST SOUND EDITING
>"King Kong," Mike Hopkins and Ethan Van der Ryn
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Wylie Stateman
>"War of the Worlds," Richard King

SHOULD: War of the Worlds
WILL: War of the Worlds

>BEST SOUND MIXING
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Terry Porter, Dean A. Zupancic and Tony Johnson
>"King Kong," Christopher Boyes, Michael Semanick, Michael
>Hedges and Hammond Peek
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Kevin O'Connell, Greg P. Russell, Rick
>Kline and John Pritchett
>"Walk the Line," Paul Massey, D.M. Hemphill and Peter F.
>Kurland
>"War of the Worlds," Andy Nelson, Anna Behlmer and Ronald
>Judkins

SHOULD: War of the Worlds
WILL: War of the Worlds

>BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Dean Wright, Bill Westenhofer, Jim Berney and Scott
>Farrar
>"King Kong," Joe Letteri, Brian Van't Hul, Christian Rivers
>and Richard Taylor
>"War of the Worlds," Dennis Muren, Pablo Helman, Randy Dutra
>and Daniel Sudick

SHOULD: War of the Worlds
WILL: King Kong

>>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
>>George Clooney, "Syriana"
>>Matt Dillon, "Crash"
>>Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
>>Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
>>William Hurt, "A History of Violence"
>
>SHOULD: J.Gyllenhaal (I think Don Wise should've been nom'ed
>for GNGL, but that's another story)

You mean Ray Wise right? He was great but probably didnt have enough screen time. Same w/ Frank Langella

>>>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
>>>George Clooney, "Syriana"
>>>Matt Dillon, "Crash"
>>>Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
>>>Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
>>>William Hurt, "A History of Violence"
>>
>>SHOULD: J.Gyllenhaal (I think Don Wise should've been nom'ed
>>for GNGL, but that's another story)
>
>You mean Ray Wise right? He was great but probably didnt have
>enough screen time. Same w/ Frank Langella


yeah that's him. William Hurt appears for what, 5 mins in AHOV ? So I'm thinking that performance just didn't get as noticed

___________________________________________________________________________________________
<----- Daddy's Comin' Home.

(and no, you can't click the link)

BEST PICTURE
"Brokeback Mountain," Diana Ossana and James Schamus, producers
"Capote," Caroline Baron, William Vince and Michael Ohoven, producers
"Crash," Paul Haggis and Cathy Schulman, producers
"Good Night, and Good Luck," Grant Heslov, producer
"Munich," Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg and Barry Mendel, producers

Should Win: GN, & GL. Nothing perfect or even outstanding in this category, but this is the best of a respectable bunch.
Will Win: Brokeback Mountain. And I have no problem with that.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, "Junebug"
Catherine Keener, "Capote"
Frances McDormand, "North Country"
Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"
Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"

Should Win: Rachel Weisz. Yeah, Amy Adams was the best part of Junebug, but it wasn't what anyone said it was. Weisz was commanding while playing a character mostly seen in flashback. And she's fine.
Will Win: Keener. I don't know why, but I see her surprising here.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
George Clooney, "Syriana"
Matt Dillon, "Crash"
Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
William Hurt, "A History of Violence"

Should Win: Of the bunch, I'd like to see Hurt win for such a hammy and funny performance. But if he couldn't, which he won't, Clooney did a fine job.
Will Win: Dillon. Crash'll win something, and this will be that something.

BEST ACTRESS
Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica"
Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice"
Charlize Theron, "North Country"
Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

Should Win: Reese, but let's not act like any of us have seen more than 3 of the nominees here. Seriously, what man went to a theater and willingly watched another version of Pride & Prejudice?
Will Win: Reese. They seem to be giving this award to actresses who would have been laughed at the idea of ever winning a Globe 2 years ago recently, like Theron and Berry.

BEST ACTOR
Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow"
Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain"
Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line"
David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"

Should Win: Hoffman. All good performances in here, even though I think Phoenix's has been highly overrated, but this one is particularly good.
Will Win: Hoffman.

BEST DIRECTOR
Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
Bennett Miller, "Capote"
Paul Haggis, "Crash"
George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
Steven Spielberg, "Munich"

Should Win: Robert Rodriguez or Christopher Nolan or Judd Apatow or Noam Baumbach. This has to be the most boring of all the main races, but I guess Clooney should get it.
Will Win: Ang Lee.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
Woody Allen, "Match Point"
Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
Steven Gaghan, "Syriana"

Should Win: Baumbach and Gaghan both did phenomenal jobs, but I think The Squid & the Whale's script might have been a little better. Maybe. Damn, that's a tough one.
Will Win: Clooney and Heslov

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain"
Dan Futterman, "Capote"
Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener"
Josh Olson, "A History of Violence"
Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich"

Should Win: Caine. The writing was really good in that film, and if it had to get a consolation prize, this should be it.
Will Win: Kushner and Roth. Good script too, but he's probably winning much more on name recoginition than anything else. If Brokeback wins this though, look for a sweep.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
"Don't Tell" (Italy)
"Joyeux Noël" (France)
"Paradise Now" (Palestine)
"Sophie Scholl - The Final Days" (Germany)
"Tsotsi" (South Africa)

Should Win: I do not know. I can say I saw trailers for two of these, and of the two, Paradise Now looked better.
Will Win: Paradise Now

BEST ANIMATED FILM
"Howl's Moving Castle," Hayao Miyazake
"Tim Burton's Corpse Bride," Tim Burton and Mike Johnson
"Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit," Nick Park and Steve Box

Should Win: I haven't seen it, but I can pretty much put my money on Howl's Moving Castle being the best of this bunch.
Will Win: Wallace & Gromit

BEST ART DIRECTION
"Good Night, and Good Luck," Art Direction: Jim Bissell; Set Decoration: Jan Pascale
"Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire," Art Direction: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
"King Kong," Art Direction: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Dan Hennah and Simon Bright
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set Decoration: Gretchen Rau
"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer

Should Win: Good Night, & Good Luck
Will Win: Memoirs of a Geisha

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
"Batman Begins," Wally Pfister
"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
"Good Night, and Good Luck," Robert Elswit
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Dion Beebe
"The New World," Emmanuel Lubezki

Should Win: Batman really shouldn't win because the cinematography was nowhere near the best part of the movie, and it wasn't the best of this group. But Batman was better than all of these films, so it deserves something.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
"Charlie and the Chocolate Factory," Gabriella Pescucci
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Colleen Atwood
"Mrs. Henderson Presents," Sandy Powell
"Pride & Prejudice," Jacqueline Durran
"Walk the Line," Arianne Phillips

Should Win: Geisha
Will Win: Geisha

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
"Darwin's Nightmare," Hubert Sauper
"Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room," Alex Gibney and Jason Kliot
"March of the Penguins," Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
"Murderball," Henry-Alex Rubin and Dana Adam Shapiro
"Street Fight," Marshall Curry

Should Win: Murderball and Enron were great, but those goddamned penguins are gonna win no matter what.
Will Win: Damn penguins.

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
"The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club," Dan Krauss
"God Sleeps in Rwanda," Kimberlee Acquaro and Stacy Sherman
"The Mushroom Club," Steven Okazaki
"A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin," Corinne Marrinan and Eric Simonson

I'm not gonna try. Although I think Mushroom Club will win cause it sounds fun.

BEST FILM EDITING
"Cinderella Man," Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
"The Constant Gardener," Claire Simpson
"Crash," Hughes Winborne
"Munich," Michael Kahn
"Walk the Line," Michael McCusker

Should Win: The Constant Gardener
Will Win: Munich

BEST MAKEUP
"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe," Howard Berger and Tami Lane
"Cinderella Man," David Leroy Anderson and Lance Anderson
"Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith," Dave Elsey and Nikki Gooley

Should Win: Narnia
Will Win: Star Wars

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
"Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla
"The Constant Gardener," Alberto Iglesias
"Memoirs of a Geisha," John Williams
"Munich," John Williams
"Pride & Prejudice," Dario Marianelli

Should NOT Win: Brokeback. That damn score is annoying. John Williams is gonna win this anyway.
Will Win: John Williams and his neverending factory line of identical scores.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"In the Deep" from "Crash," Music by Kathleen "Bird" York and Michael Becker; Lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York
"It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from "Hustle & Flow," Music and Lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul Beauregard
"Travelin' Thru" from "Transamerica," Music and Lyric by Dolly Parton

Should Win: I don't remember the Crash song, so that's probably a bad sign. I'm gonna go with the popular vote and say It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp.
Will Win: Travelin thru.

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
"Badgered," Sharon Colman
"The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation," John Canemaker and Peggy Stern
"The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello," Anthony Lucas
"9," Shane Acker
"One Man Band," Andrew Jimenez and Mark Andrews

Should Win: ?
Will Win: 9

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
"Ulrike Grote
"Cashback," Sean Ellis and Lene Bausager
"The Last Farm," Rúnar Rúnarsson and Thor S. Sigurjónsson
"Our Time Is Up," Rob Pearlstein and Pia Clemente
"Six Shooter," Martin McDonagh

Should Win:?
Will Win: Ausreisser (The Runaway)

BEST SOUND EDITING
"King Kong," Mike Hopkins and Ethan Van der Ryn
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Wylie Stateman
"War of the Worlds," Richard King

Should Win: King Kong
Will Win: Geisha

BEST SOUND MIXING
"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe," Terry Porter, Dean A. Zupancic and Tony Johnson
"King Kong," Christopher Boyes, Michael Semanick, Michael Hedges and Hammond Peek
"Memoirs of a Geisha," Kevin O'Connell, Greg P. Russell, Rick Kline and John Pritchett
"Walk the Line," Paul Massey, D.M. Hemphill and Peter F. Kurland
"War of the Worlds," Andy Nelson, Anna Behlmer and Ronald Judkins

Should Win: King Kong
Will Win: King Kong

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe," Dean Wright, Bill Westenhofer, Jim Berney and Scott Farrar
"King Kong," Joe Letteri, Brian Van't Hul, Christian Rivers and Richard Taylor
"War of the Worlds," Dennis Muren, Pablo Helman, Randy Dutra and Daniel Sudick

Should Win: King Kong
Will Win: King Kong

>BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
>"Batman Begins," Wally Pfister
>"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Robert Elswit
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Dion Beebe
>"The New World," Emmanuel Lubezki
>
>Should Win: Batman really shouldn't win because the
>cinematography was nowhere near the best part of the movie

Not necessairly disagreeing w/ you here but what was in your opinion?

The acting was dope and I thought the score was good, but it was probably the best written superhero movie ever, based on comics or not.

>BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
>Amy Adams, "Junebug"
>Catherine Keener, "Capote"
>Frances McDormand, "North Country"
>Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"
>Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"
>
>Should Win: Rachel Weisz. Yeah, Amy Adams was the best part
>of Junebug, but it wasn't what anyone said it was. Weisz was
>commanding while playing a character mostly seen in flashback.
> And she's fine.
>Will Win: Keener. I don't know why, but I see her surprising
>here.

I don't get your point about Junebug. If you didn't like it, fine, but how exactly does that discount Amy Adams' performance ?

The second part was just restating my feelings on Junebug. She was great; she was definitely the only character who kept me in it.

>BEST PICTURE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Diana Ossana and James Schamus,
>producers
>"Capote," Caroline Baron, William Vince and Michael Ohoven,
>producers
>"Crash," Paul Haggis and Cathy Schulman, producers
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Grant Heslov, producer
>"Munich," Kathleen Kennedy, Steven Spielberg and Barry Mendel,
>producers

Should win: Munich
Will win: Brokeback

>BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
>Amy Adams, "Junebug"
>Catherine Keener, "Capote"
>Frances McDormand, "North Country"
>Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"
>Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"

Should win: Gong Li but I guess her nom got lost in the mail
Will win: Amy Adams

>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
>George Clooney, "Syriana"
>Matt Dillon, "Crash"
>Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"
>Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"
>William Hurt, "A History of Violence"

Should win: Anyone but Dillon. Guess I'd have 2 say Clooney since that's the only other flick I've seen in this category. The award should be split between the supporting actors in Munich though. They were all great but none of them did quite enough to stand out. Then again, how much screen time did Hurt have?

Will win: Gayke Gyllenhaal. Funny that all the earlier Oscar talk was for him as best actor in Jarhead

>BEST ACTRESS
>Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents"
>Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica"
>Keira Knightley, "Pride & Prejudice"
>Charlize Theron, "North Country"
>Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

Should win: Huffman
Will win: Huffman

>BEST ACTOR
>Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
>Terrence Howard, "Hustle & Flow"
>Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line"
>David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"

Should win: Strathairn since Bana's nom got lost in the mail
Will win: Hoffman

>BEST DIRECTOR
>Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Bennett Miller, "Capote"
>Paul Haggis, "Crash"
>George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>Steven Spielberg, "Munich"

Should win: Spielberg
Will win: Lee

>BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
>Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
>George Clooney and Grant Heslov, "Good Night, and Good Luck"
>Woody Allen, "Match Point"
>Noah Baumbach, "The Squid and the Whale"
>Steven Gaghan, "Syriana"

Should win: Gaghan. Even though I couldnt follow it, I sorta remember it all coming together in the end.

Will win: Gotta feeling they give it to Haggis

>BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
>Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, "Brokeback Mountain"
>Dan Futterman, "Capote"
>Jeffrey Caine, "The Constant Gardener"
>Josh Olson, "A History of Violence"
>Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, "Munich"

Should win: Kush & Roth
Will win: Caine

>BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
>"Don't Tell" (Italy)
>"Joyeux Noël" (France)
>"Paradise Now" (Palestine)
>"Sophie Scholl - The Final Days" (Germany)
>"Tsotsi" (South Africa)

Should win: No clue as I havent seen any of these
Will win: Tsotsi I guess

>BEST ANIMATED FILM
>"Howl's Moving Castle," Hayao Miyazake
>"Tim Burton's Corpse Bride," Tim Burton and Mike Johnson
>"Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit," Nick Park and
>Steve Box

Should win: No clue. Havent seen any of these
Will win: Wallace & Grommit more than likely

>BEST ART DIRECTION
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Art Direction: Jim Bissell; Set
>Decoration: Jan Pascale
>"Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire," Art Direction: Stuart
>Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
>"King Kong," Art Direction: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Dan
>Hennah and Simon Bright
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Art Direction: John Myhre; Set
>Decoration: Gretchen Rau
>"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set
>Decoration: Katie Spencer

Should win: Tough call but I'd have to give Geisha the slight edge over Kong

Will win: Geisha me thinks

>BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
>"Batman Begins," Wally Pfister
>"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
>"Good Night, and Good Luck," Robert Elswit
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Dion Beebe
>"The New World," Emmanuel Lubezki

Should win: The New World. Nice to see Batman up in here though w/ it's "unremarkable" cinematography

Will win: I see Geisha taking this as well

>BEST COSTUME DESIGN
>"Charlie and the Chocolate Factory," Gabriella Pescucci
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Colleen Atwood
>"Mrs. Henderson Presents," Sandy Powell
>"Pride & Prejudice," Jacqueline Durran
>"Walk the Line," Arianne Phillips

Should win: Geisha
Will win: Geisha

>BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
>"Darwin's Nightmare," Hubert Sauper
>"Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room," Alex Gibney and Jason
>Kliot
>"March of the Penguins," Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
>"Murderball," Henry-Alex Rubin and Dana Adam Shapiro
>"Street Fight," Marshall Curry

Should win: Murderball from what I hear
Will win: Well, since the Penguins are already wearing tuxedos...

>BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
>"The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club,"
>Dan Krauss
>"God Sleeps in Rwanda," Kimberlee Acquaro and Stacy Sherman
>"The Mushroom Club," Steven Okazaki
>"A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin," Corinne
>Marrinan and Eric Simonson

Should win: No clue
Will win: The Death of Kevin Carter

>BEST FILM EDITING
>"Cinderella Man," Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
>"The Constant Gardener," Claire Simpson
>"Crash," Hughes Winborne
>"Munich," Michael Kahn
>"Walk the Line," Michael McCusker

Should win: Munich
Will win: Munich

>BEST MAKEUP
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Howard Berger and Tami Lane
>"Cinderella Man," David Leroy Anderson and Lance Anderson
>"Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith," Dave Elsey and
>Nikki Gooley

Should win: Star Wars
Will win: Star Wars

>BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla
>"The Constant Gardener," Alberto Iglesias
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," John Williams
>"Munich," John Williams
>"Pride & Prejudice," Dario Marianelli

Should win: Whoever did the score on Batman Begins
Will win: Santaolalla

>BEST ORIGINAL SONG
>"In the Deep" from "Crash," Music by Kathleen "Bird" York and
>Michael Becker; Lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York
>"It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from "Hustle & Flow," Music
>and Lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman and Paul
>Beauregard
>"Travelin' Thru" from "Transamerica," Music and Lyric by Dolly
>Parton

Should win: You know
Will win: In the Deep

>BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
>"Badgered," Sharon Colman
>"The Moon and the Son: An Imagined Conversation," John
>Canemaker and Peggy Stern
>"The Mysterious Geographic Explorations of Jasper Morello,"
>Anthony Lucas
>"9," Shane Acker
>"One Man Band," Andrew Jimenez and Mark Andrews

Should win: No clue
Will win: 9

>BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
>"Ausreisser (The Runaway)," Ulrike Grote
>"Cashback," Sean Ellis and Lene Bausager
>"The Last Farm," Rúnar Rúnarsson and Thor S. Sigurjónsson
>"Our Time Is Up," Rob Pearlstein and Pia Clemente
>"Six Shooter," Martin McDonagh

Should win: No clue
Will win: 6 shooter

>BEST SOUND EDITING
>"King Kong," Mike Hopkins and Ethan Van der Ryn
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Wylie Stateman
>"War of the Worlds," Richard King

Should win: War of the Worlds
Will win: War of the Worlds

>BEST SOUND MIXING
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Terry Porter, Dean A. Zupancic and Tony Johnson
>"King Kong," Christopher Boyes, Michael Semanick, Michael
>Hedges and Hammond Peek
>"Memoirs of a Geisha," Kevin O'Connell, Greg P. Russell, Rick
>Kline and John Pritchett
>"Walk the Line," Paul Massey, D.M. Hemphill and Peter F.
>Kurland
>"War of the Worlds," Andy Nelson, Anna Behlmer and Ronald
>Judkins

Should win: War of the Worlds
Will win: War of the Worlds

>BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
>"The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the
>Wardrobe," Dean Wright, Bill Westenhofer, Jim Berney and Scott
>Farrar
>"King Kong," Joe Letteri, Brian Van't Hul, Christian Rivers
>and Richard Taylor
>"War of the Worlds," Dennis Muren, Pablo Helman, Randy Dutra
>and Daniel Sudick

Should win: Kong
Will win: Kong

I hope someone got that.


!sig!
www.myspace.com/gemini2one
http://groups.myspace.com/snakesonplane

Here's the reason why brothers sale drugs
The same reason why brothers are thugs
For the same reason why my brothers go to school
To escape from under the next man's rule - Cap D

2. The New World has been snubbed in every category (even best animated short)

the rest:


>BEST PICTURE
>"Brokeback Mountain"
(it should win, but I wouldn't be mad if GN&GL did)


>BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
>Amy Adams, "Junebug"
(the ONLY reason to see Junebug)


>BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
>George Clooney, "Syriana"
(Donnie Darko should win)


>BEST ACTRESS
>Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"
(this is also my hopeful to win)

>BEST ACTOR
>Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"
(I think Heath should win, though I wouldn't be mad if any of these guys made it...impressive selection this year)


>BEST DIRECTOR
>Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"
(if not him, Clooney should win, Spielbergo should not)


>BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
>Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, "Crash"
(I've only seen 2 of these, so I don't know who should win)


>BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
>Dan Futterman, "Capote"
(If any of the following win...
"The Constant Gardener"
"A History of Violence"
"Munich"
...i'm never watching the Oscars again)


>BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
>"Paradise Now" (Palestine)
(I haven't seen any of these)


>BEST ANIMATED FILM
>"Wallace & Grommit: Curse of the Were-Rabbit," Nick Park and
>Steve Box
(all I know is that the Corpse Bride sucked)


>BEST ART DIRECTION
>"Pride & Prejudice," Art Direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set
>Decoration: Katie Spencer
(GN&GL should)


>BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
>"Brokeback Mountain," Rodrigo Prieto
(the NEW WORLD should just because it got snubbed from everything else...Editor's Note: a 5,000 word New World rant has been removed from this response...but Brokeback was almost as good)


>BEST COSTUME DESIGN
>"Charlie and the Chocolate Factory," Gabriella Pescucci
(eh, I don't know)


>BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
>"March of the Penguins," Luc Jacquet and Yves Darondeau
(Murderball should)


>BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
>"The Mushroom Club," Steven Okazaki
(I've seen them all and they are all amazing...no, not really)


>BEST FILM EDITING
>"Cinderella Man," Mike Hill and Dan Hanley
(I'd like to take this time to say I HATE The Constant Gardner)


>BEST MAKEUP
>"Cinderella Man," David Leroy Anderson and Lance Anderson
(?)


>BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
>"Brokeback Mountain," Gustavo Santaolalla
(it was stuck in my head for days, will and should win)


>BEST ORIGINAL SONG
>"In the Deep" from "Crash," Music by Kathleen "Bird" York and
>Michael Becker; Lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York
(there's a whole lotta bitches jumpin' ship)


>BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM
>"Badgered," Sharon Colman
(One Man Band should win, fucking academy)


>BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
>"Cashback," Sean Ellis and Lene Bausager
(I don't think I'll have to explain why this will win)


>BEST SOUND EDITING
>"King Kong"
(War of the Worlds should)


>BEST SOUND MIXING
>"King Kong," Christopher Boyes, Michael Semanick, Michael
(War of the Worlds should)


>BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
>"King Kong," Joe Letteri, Brian Van't Hul, Christian Rivers
>and Richard Taylor
(and the oscar goes to...THE BUGS!!!)

Oscar pool (post 5).
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<------ Baaaad Motherfucker.

i gotta say i feel good about my picks, even though i've hardly seen shit this year.