I have to disagree that a 19 game sample is enough to draw a conclusion if somebody is going to be a good head coach or not. Using this sample size the following coaches would have been terrible using your definition:

Bill Belichick and Tony Dungy

Why did I pick these two coaches? Well, their starting situation is very similar to Singletary's. Here were they're records after their first 19 games as HC:

7 - 12 Belichick (Browns)
9 - 10 Dungy (Bucs)
9 - 10 Singletary

Now, let's look where the franchises where 19 games before each of the three took over as HC:

5 - 14 Browns
7 - 12 Bucs
5 - 14 49ers

So, 19 games into their new gigs each of the 3 have a better record than 19 games prior to when they took over. And what you have to understand is that it takes a while to change the culture of losing.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


XBox 360 Live gamertag - Keystonejenks