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Topic subject10 years from now, which will be the more popular league?
Topic URLhttp://board.okayplayer.com/okp.php?az=show_topic&forum=21&topic_id=50253
50253, 10 years from now, which will be the more popular league?
Posted by OldPro, Wed Dec-31-69 07:00 PM

Poll question: 10 years from now, which will be the more popular league?

Poll result (32 votes)
NHL (Hockey) (11 votes)Vote
MLS (Soccer) (14 votes)Vote
AFL (Arena Football) (5 votes)Vote
Other (2 votes)Vote

  

50254, RE: 10 years from now, which will be the more popular league?
Posted by OldPro, Thu Dec-21-06 12:17 PM
With ESPN now part owner of the AFL, something tells me this shit might jump off. The league now has a better TV deal then both the MLS and NHL. Of course the NHL will always be bigger in Canada but I'm talking about the states here.
50255, When did this happen?!
Posted by Coatesvillain, Thu Dec-21-06 01:00 PM
50256, Announced yesterday
Posted by OldPro, Thu Dec-21-06 01:10 PM
minimum of 26 televised games per season with a weekly Monday night game. Slidding a football game into the Monday Night time slot once the NFL done is a smart move. You can check out the rest of the details on the AFL site. ABC will have the championship game.

http://www.arenafootball.com/ViewArticle.dbml?DB_OEM_ID=3500&ATCLID=727455&SPID=1563
50257, That's pretty dope..
Posted by Coatesvillain, Thu Dec-21-06 08:24 PM
I was worried that things were going to fall apart for them since NBC dropped them, this looks to be a better deal. Also the season won't overlap as much with the NBA playoffs.

I'm looking forward to this. I really hope this deal boosts the AFL up as the major second tier sport, but I don't know. I wonder how good a job ESPN will do handling it this time around.
50258, It's not a "league" per se, but UFC will be huge
Posted by SoulHonky, Thu Dec-21-06 12:42 PM
I don't think the MLS will ever be anything but a senior's circuit where great players go for a final couple of years (ala Valderama and now Beckham)
50259, I can see the UFC eventually over taking Boxing
Posted by OldPro, Thu Dec-21-06 12:47 PM
And I'm a huge Boxing fan. But boxing has an aging fan base while UFC is attracting a lot of young people.

And I agree about the MLS. I'm surprised anyone would think it would overtake Hockey. 20-30 years ago I would hear how soccer was going to be the next big thing. Soccer has just never played well here in the US.
50260, UFC already gets better numbers than boxing
Posted by Selassie I God, Thu Dec-21-06 06:00 PM
50261, UFC is already doing better TV numbers than most sports
Posted by will_5198, Thu Dec-21-06 01:28 PM
50262, I didn't realize how popular that shit was until recently, a local...
Posted by ThaTruth, Thu Dec-21-06 06:20 PM
sports bar that I go to sometimes had some big UFC thing on PPV a few weeks ago and the place was PACKED, it was standing room only.
50263, But there are less UFC events than Boxing matches
Posted by OldPro, Thu Dec-21-06 07:16 PM
So it's apples and oranges when comparing the numbers. When your see these UFC fighters getting the type of payday an elite boxer gets, then you'll know it's arrived.
50264, I agree; the UFC could pay more right now
Posted by will_5198, Thu Dec-21-06 11:14 PM
but fighter representation with agents and such is way behind every other sport

I would say there are as many or more *big* UFC events in a year than in boxing

you add on the cable deals and TUF...hell, Shamrock vs. Ortiz III outdrew the World Series running in the same time slot on Spike TV
50265, it's a staple at Hooters
Posted by will_5198, Thu Dec-21-06 11:15 PM
50266, gotta be MLS
Posted by smutsboy, Thu Dec-21-06 12:52 PM
MLS will grow in popularity if they stop trying to dumb down their product to reach a bigger audience.

MLS needs to have a fanbase like Hockey's (except bigger): smaller than NBA-MLB-NFL, but very passionate.

if they get a few older international stars and they start marketing to knowledgable soccer fans, they'll get popular, imo.
50267, I don't think there will even be an MLS in 10 years
Posted by OldPro, Thu Dec-21-06 01:02 PM
Everything you're saying was said about the NASL 30 years ago
50268, I think America today
Posted by smutsboy, Thu Dec-21-06 01:05 PM
and the America of 30 years ago are very different in terms of soccer fans.

it's easy to discount MLS through pure cyncism. But i really do think there's hope for professional soccer in North America.
50269, The Cosmos drew 50-60K a game at one point
Posted by OldPro, Thu Dec-21-06 01:15 PM
so people did come at first. there was a lot of hype for the league with a weekly game on ABC. the reason it died was because America rejected the game of soccer. if it was too slow 30 years ago, it's sure as hell going to be too slow in the age of 500 channels and instant gratification. just because people will watch their kids play a game doesn't mean it's going to work as a pro sport.
50270, Viva el Futbol!
Posted by Awburn, Thu Dec-21-06 03:04 PM
DC United represents like it does becuase of the local growing latino population. That's different from 30 years ago.
50271, MSL TV ratings have declined since 96
Posted by OldPro, Thu Dec-21-06 05:18 PM
As a matter of fact, they are almost half of what they were that first year. First season they pulled a 1.4 but for the last 5 years have been between 0.6 and 0.8

Those don't look like the numbers of a growing league to me
50272, MLS needs to avoid the temptation to blowuptaute right away
Posted by Cocobrotha2, Fri Dec-22-06 11:44 AM
The first year had a certain novelty factor that's shown in the ratings but I think the economics of the league are better this go around than in years before.

I think the most important difference from previous soccer leagues is the MLS has so far avoided putting the cart in front of the horse... they've so far avoided paying up for aging stars like Ronaldo and Beckham.

While existing fans might love to see them play in the US, they're on the downsides of their careers and their impact on attendance is fleeting. Just think if the Wizards, for example, hadn't picked up Arenas after MJ was sent packing. MJ had an immediate impact on Wizards ticket sales but the effect would've immediately fizzled had they not replaced him with young talent.

If MLS teams can also finagle financing for new, soccer-only stadiums, they'll be able to tailor their expenses to their income. It's better to nearly sell-out a 40k seat soccer stadium than to half fill a 60k seat football stadium because the 60k seat football stadium has alot more overhead.

The league is going to have to bubble slowly for awhile and wait for the demographics to really catch up.
50273, the american psyche is not static though
Posted by smutsboy, Thu Dec-21-06 05:44 PM
I honestly believe there's a growing number of american sports addicts who enjoy watching soccer. Especially premier soccer like EPL, UEFA, La Liga, Serie A, etc.

If American soccer improves, and ex-Euro stars come over, I don't see why the possibility doesn't exist that MLS & Soccer grow in popularity.
50274, Honestly sounds like wishful thinking
Posted by OldPro, Thu Dec-21-06 07:22 PM
I just don't see it happening

Not in my lifetime any way

The game just isn't suited to american tastes
50275, that's definitely part of it
Posted by smutsboy, Thu Dec-21-06 10:06 PM
i just disagree with the belief that soccer is 100% doomed to fail in the U.S.
50276, wnba.
Posted by koan, Thu Dec-21-06 01:11 PM

~~~~~
50277, they got jawns that dunk
Posted by iKilan, Thu Dec-21-06 05:55 PM
T&A plus dunks = success.
50278, Ping Pong.
Posted by explizit, Thu Dec-21-06 01:29 PM
50279, it's called "table tennis" asshole -- show some respect
Posted by celery77, Thu Dec-21-06 05:20 PM
50280, dang, my bad I'll whoop your ass in some table tennis though!
Posted by explizit, Thu Dec-21-06 06:16 PM
50281, I'm rooting for MLS to get big
Posted by tappenzee, Thu Dec-21-06 03:38 PM
But honestly, I can give less than a shit about it right now.

Suggestions on how to make it bigger? I don't know enough about international soccer to compare it, so I'm all ears here.

50282, is there a sport for talking shit on sports?
Posted by low2behold, Thu Dec-21-06 03:57 PM
50283, NVGA
Posted by Castro, Thu Dec-21-06 04:49 PM
50284, noone cares about hockey, yo. MLS
Posted by FireBrand, Thu Dec-21-06 04:49 PM

"How can you judge what I feel in me?" (c) Common
www.myspace.com/northernarcatl
www.worldfamousmag.com
ATL: Count Bass D & Collective Efforts
Audobon Society on the 1's & 2's. Jan. 18th. @ The Earl.
50285, MLS, and we never will have seen it coming, really.
Posted by Bridgetown, Thu Dec-21-06 05:22 PM
In my opinion, the NHL is as big as it's going to get. Meanwhile, I feel like something's going to happen that will grow the MLS to larger proportions than anyone though imaginable.

I mean, the L.A. Galaxy actually turns a profit now. That's fucking huge.

--Maurice
50286, In 10 years...
Posted by The Golden Calf, Thu Dec-21-06 05:55 PM
The DFL will kickoff

Whats the DFL (Dragon Football League, of course)

5 MIT grads will become inspired by the new Eragon movie, and will expedite the dragon evolution.

OR The XFL will be back
50287, newsflash: Soccer on TV in the U.S....not gonna happen
Posted by thoughtprocess, Thu Dec-21-06 08:15 PM
at least not to the extent it needs to beome more popular than the NHL. And it's not that people don't want to watch it. There are no commercial breaks so advertisers won't put the money up to back it.
50288, RE: newsflash: Soccer on TV in the U.S....gonna happen
Posted by BigDOttawa, Fri Dec-22-06 04:54 AM
>at least not to the extent it needs to beome more popular
>than the NHL. And it's not that people don't want to watch it.
>There are no commercial breaks so advertisers won't put the
>money up to back it.

every mls game in the 2007 season will be on tv.
50289, a major channel?
Posted by thoughtprocess, Fri Dec-22-06 03:42 PM
or like UEFA is televised on ESPN 2
50290, Soccer is not going away.
Posted by FightinAmish, Fri Dec-22-06 01:07 AM
In fact it's growing. Kids don't play hockey anymore and Arena football will always be second class to the NFL. The reason why the NASL didn't survive was because no one played soccer at that time. Once the novelty wore off people realized that they didn't understand the rules, the strategy, the effort, or the skill involved. If it was to slow for people then how do you explain baseball or golf? The answer is that people played baseball and golf. Not only that but their parents played and their grandparents played.

Personally I have been playing soccer since I was four, as did tons of people my age. The problem now is that my parents generation didn't play soccer and their parents generation certainly didn't. This means that the only americans watching soccer are probably around 30 yrs old and younger. While this maybe the prime demographic targeted by television, it's not enough right now considering people of all ages watch football, baseball, and basketball.

In ten years my son will be twelve and probably very much interested in soccer, as will millions of kids across the country. I certainly wouldn't be surprised if by then more kids play soccer in the US than play any other sport. After all soccer is inexpensive and a relatively safe sport that at the very least gives kids a chance to run around and exercise. And, anyone who has played soccer a little bit will say its just as fun as any other sport.

The only thing really holding soccer back in the US is time.
50291, very good point:
Posted by smutsboy, Fri Dec-22-06 10:01 AM
>The problem now is that my parents
>generation didn't play soccer and their parents generation
>certainly didn't. This means that the only americans watching
>soccer are probably around 30 yrs old and younger. While this
>maybe the prime demographic targeted by television, it's not
>enough right now considering people of all ages watch
>football, baseball, and basketball.
50292, Poker
Posted by emeyesi, Fri Dec-22-06 05:25 PM
That shit is on TV more than all three of the other options combined. In ten years I expect there to be poker arenas in major cities in the U.S.
50293, On that list, MLS, but there needs to be a None option...
Posted by phenompyrus, Fri Dec-22-06 07:17 PM
None of those are ever going to be as big as MLB, NFL, or NBA.