Your "worst case scenario" (injury stuff excepted) is a double-digit scorer who scraps for boards and works hard every minute he's on the court. He faced double teams all year long and still put up big numbers. Even if the length of NBA players bothers him at first, he's smart enough and hard working enough to figure out how to give you good stats and help you win games.

He's a safe pick (again, assuming healthy). May never be an All-Star (though I wouldn't be surprised if he made a team or two), but he will consistently give you double figure scoring, north of 6 boards per game right away, and endless amounts of hustle, with some sneaky upside that will go under the radar as his upside isn't as sexy as the more athletic studs in the top eight.