211713, Don't watch it. It's not worth your time. Posted by stravinskian, Sat Apr-25-20 01:42 PM
I only skimmed it, but it's the same naive shit I've been arguing over with my sociologist cousin, who thinks he understands statistics better than the whole epidemiology community.
These guys are flexible on their conspiracy theories. If pushed, they'll admit that social distancing has slowed the outbreaks, and yes, that the outbreaks would be bigger (but briefer) if we went back to normal. But they still want to think there would be enough beds and ventilators if we 'lessened' the social distancing. They're remarkably vague (and inconsistent) about *how much* we can let up, fundamentally because they don't have any fucking idea. All they know is that right now we're probably doing more than we need to do, which isn't news to anyone, and to the extent it's news, it's good news, not bad news.
A few weeks ago, the argument was "In March the models said there'd be 200,000 deaths by August, now they're down to 60,000 deaths by August. How low will it have to go before these alarmists admit they were wrong?!" Meanwhile, we're now on track to hit those 60,000 deaths by the end of April.
It's a fast-moving analog of climate denial.
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