last year Jon blew up the Cersei truce (not that she'd ever honor it) by publicly swearing loyalty to Dany, even when literally saving humanity was on the line.

Jon said "When enough people make false promises, words stop meaning anything. Then there are no more answers - only better and better lies."

And Jon's even more of a boyscout than Ned in that he can't keep this new secret. If he swore loyalty to Dany he's not gonna backstab her through means of some elaborte plot orchestrated by her own advisor.

>If varys is driving dany to “madness” by orchestrating
>scenarios (ambush killing rhaegal)

Again, Varys was on one of those ships, man.

>We’ll see soon enough though... everything I am saying could
>be bullshit in a few hours

i mean we're all wrong about everything that's gonna happen so yeah.