because that's the only time we're zoomed out.

If your complaint is that *if* we saw three hits then we would have been likely to see more than one near-miss, then sure, I agree. But probability never predicts things exactly.

Let's estimate that if a bolt enters that close-up frame then there's a 1 in 6 chance of it landing on a dragon (probably pretty conservative, given how much space they fill in the frame, and beyond, in a lot of those shots). Then the odds of it all working out like it did would be the same as the odds of rolling four dice and having three of them come up six. Maybe not likely, but far from impossible or even implausible. It's the kind of unlikely event that occurs all the time even outside of fantasy stories.


Sidenote: The Wire was a much better show than Game of Thrones. It's a shame that I'm using techniques from the plot of The Wire to defend the lazy plotting of Game of Thrones.