>Why do you think the tea party will splinter off if he gets
>the nomination?


Because the establishment will make it their business to make sure Trump doesn't see the nomination....And Trump will make good on his threat of going independent. Which will basically create a third party.....

And if Trump does get the nod, the establishment will shun Trump and shit on him as a candidate.....They will attempt to wrestle back control of the party from the crazy ass base which will force the Republicans to make the most logical split....