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>I'd have Wichita State Top 5. If they make it past that road >game against Baylor, I wouldn't be stunned if they go >undefeated through Valentine's Day.
Clearly the McDuffie injury hurt more than I expected, lol. Still, wouldn't be surprised if they end up a Top 3 seed in the tournament.
>The poll is higher on Miami and Notre Dame than I am. I'm >concerned about Walker's health entering the season and how it >will affect his efficiency, and I think Gibbs/Pflueger is a >downgrade from Vasturia/Beachem. I'd put them both in the >later teens.
Good calls from me here, though the Notre Dame call has an obvious asterisk. Still, Gibbs/Pflueger *have been* worse than Vasturia/Beachem (tho Geben came on in Bonzie's absence admirably, to be fair). They'd be a tourney team with Colson, but I still don't buy that they'd have been a Top 4/5 seed in the NCAA tournament. Miami's been outside of the Top 25 most of the year, even when Bruce Brown was healthy, so I think the questions about that team's efficiency questions were fair-- they're just so damn young, and Walker definitely struggled to start the year.
>I do not think Gonzaga should start the season ranked above >St. Mary's. St. Mary's was the consensus pick to win their >conference by the conference's coaches.
Coin flip-- Gonzaga has the better resume right now, but they split regular season (both on the road!), and I'm hoping that a rematch in the WCC finals will tilt in St. Mary's favor. They didn't win the conference (sneaky tough game on the road against San Fran, a Ken Pom Tier B game), but they still very well could win the WCC Tourney and get an auto-bid. Landale is just a beast.
>I think the poll is low on Seton Hall, a team I'd strongly >consider putting above Xavier. Seton Hall finished above >Xavier last year, and they bring back four of five starters-- >I know Bluiett went crazy in the tournament and he'll likely >go crazy most of this season, but I'd be more inclined to swap >the Pirates and the Musketeers than have them where they are.
lmao, biggest miss of this post-- I guess to my credit, I've consistently put Seton Hall too high the last two years in a row. I keep saying, "They couldn't shoot last year, that should improve, and they turned the ball over a lot, that should improve." And while they did improve in both areas this year, they're still bad in both areas. Note to self: STOP BELIEVING IN SETON HALL.
Meanwhile, Quentin Goodin got a lot better this year, and Naji Marshall gave Xavier more right away than I expected. Beastly year for Chris Mack-- every goddamn team in the country should be preparing to back up a dump truck of cash for this dude.
>I'd make the argument for Bama over both Baylor and Mizzou >preseason, but they'd all be in my contention for the 25th >spot.
FUCK THIS PICK LOOKED GOOD EVEN A WEEK AGO. Crimson Tide have fallen the fuck off over the last week-- I get losing at Kentucky and Auburn back to back... but following that with two HOME LOSSES, UGH.
Mizzou has impressed me considering the Porter absence. BracketMatrix has them at an 8 seed, with Alabama as an 11 and Baylor as a 12. Alabama and Baylor have both peeked into the Top 25 at points in the season, IIRC, but they've been way more up and down overall than Mizzou.
Mizzou looked really good in that Kansas exhibition, but >I worry right now about PG play and Tilmon's ability to stay >on the court. They also exhibited some textbook Cuonzo >offensive flaws in that game-- the offense was sort of "okay, >toss it to a talented guy and let him go ISO." That style >should keep them in the Top 25 hunt because of their talent >level... but I'd bet they'll drop some dumb games playing that >way too.
Even without Porter, this was deadly accurate, minus the Top 25 hunt bit (which they would've been with Porter, imo). They really live and die by the 3 and the ball definitely has a tendency to stop on offense in close games.
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