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Pay dyat man hyis money (c) Teddy KGB
http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/60754/lorenzo-cain-stealth-mvp-candidate
David Schoenfield, SweetSpot blogger
One of the most pleasant surprises over the past couple of seasons has been the development of Kansas City Royals center fielder Lorenzo Cain into one of most valuable all-around players in the game.
The All-Star starter is hitting .315/.370/.502 with 18 steals in 21 attempts and that nothing-gets-by-him defense. He has added a little more power and a few more walks this year ,and his +13 Defensive Runs Saved total ranks fourth-best in the majors among all fielders. The total package makes him a sleeper MVP candidate.
Of course, Mike Trout is the heavy favorite for the award right now, especially with the Los Angeles Angels winning 17 of their past 20 games to become a likely playoff team. Since the MVP winner almost always comes from a playoff team -- only two of the past 20 MVP winners didn't make the postseason -- it will be difficult to dethrone Trout. But if he gets injured or the Angels fall apart, keep an eye on Cain, who ranks among the American League leaders in Wins Above Replacement:
Trout, 6.0
Cain, 5.2
Dallas Keuchel, 5.2
Manny Machado, 5.1
Josh Donaldson, 4.9
Cain's career took a long and winding road to get here. He didn't play baseball until high school, and the Brewers took him the 17th round in 2004 as a draft-and-follow out of a Florida community college. He signed in the spring of 2005 and despite having not played much baseball, became the MVP of the Arizona Rookie League when he hit .356. From there, it only took nine years until he put together his first full season in the majors last year.
Even after that strong performance in his first season in pro ball, Baseball America rated Cain as just the 27th-best prospect for the Brewers, suggesting "he profiles more as a corner outfielder" and pointing out his raw approach at the plate (kind of interesting, considering he had a not-terrible ratio of 20 walks and 32 strikeouts).
Injuries were a big reason why. He played just 60 games in 2009 due to a knee injury and hit just .210. He reached the majors in 2010 and hit .306 in 147 at-bats but was part of the Zack Greinke trade that offseason. He spent almost all of 2011 in Triple-A but began 2012 as the Royals' starting center fielder. However, he suffered a pulled groin in the fifth game of the season while crashing into the outfield wall making a spectacular catch. He'd play just 61 games in the majors that year, suffering two more leg injuries.
Cain finally broke out last year in his age-28 season, hitting .301, an average driven by a high .388 BABIP. Cain hasn't sustained that high BABIP in 2015 -- it's at .355, still 14th-best in the majors -- but has improved at the plate. One reason: He absolutely kills fastballs:
http://a2.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=%2Fphoto%2F2015%2F0723%2Fmlb_trumedia_baseball_heatmap5_576x324.png&w=570
His season line against fastballs: .388/.448/.619. That's the fourth-best batting average against fastballs, and he owns the sixth-best wOBA. As you can see, it doesn't really matter much where in the zone the fastball is located: Up, down, away ... Cain blisters fastballs.
So, why do pitchers keep throwing him fastballs? Well, they're trying not to. Cain ranks 136th out of 160 batters in percentage of fastballs seen. Cain hasn't improved much against offspeed stuff (.256 wOBA last year, .280 this year) and is chasing pitches out of the zone at about the same rate as 2014, although he is making more contact. More than anything, it just looks like that when he sees a fastball or gets into a fastball count, he attacks and delivers.
His defense goes without question. Here, just do a search on MLB.com for "Lorenzo Cain catch" and check out his highlight reel.
Like Jose Bautista, Cain is a late developer. Like Bautista, he also has become one of the best players in the game. Not bad for a guy who hardly played baseball growing up.
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Mar-A-Lago delenda est
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