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If it means anything, Claire has won an Emmy for playing Carrie.
Having watched much of How to Get Away with Murder Season 1, I want to say that Viola's character showed a greater range of emotions in a restrained but affecting way. She played a grieving widow, power-hungry attorney, a cheating lover, betrayed wife, and a master manipulator all with a depth that turned an unrepentant character into someone sympathetic.
Claire shows a torrent of emotions across the spectrum and those emotions can storm up and shut down in a moment's notice. I like the character of Carrie, but sometimes I get the sense that her reactions are played up past the point of believability. That isn't a fault of Claire as much it is the writers, but if actors are judged by their performances, their dialogue and motivations are being judged as well.
It's a matter of style, both actor's styles seemed well fitted for the characters they play.
I personally think less is more, so I like Viola's performance more than Claire's, but Claire is great in her own right and deserves to be nominated year to year.
But Viola's character is easy to relate to, than Claire's. Annabelle is a figure most women would want to embody and therefore more of the voters would have a clearer picture of a realistic depiction.
Carrie is a strong character in her own right, but people generally aren't familiar with the trials of bipolar disorder and may look at her character as a caricature of a real person.
My guess is that in between the novelty of a strong, yet fragile woman who is African-American, Viola's performance and the voters taking out each other by voting for Claire or Elizabeth Moss led to Viola winning the Emmy.
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