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Lobby General Discussion topic #12838448

Subject: "Scenario. The US economy crashes HOARD!! Questions." Previous topic | Next topic
normal35762
Member since Oct 20th 2004
13246 posts
Wed Jun-24-15 06:27 PM

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"Scenario. The US economy crashes HOARD!! Questions."


  

          

On some Duke Bros at the end of Trading Places meets the 1930's folks trading in gold watches for food era. Questions...

1. Would the US lose it's immigration/land of opportunity appeal? If so by alot? Or would people still come here hoping things would get better?

2. Would alot of immigrants who came here try and pack up and leave?W Would there be a reverse brain drain? What would happen in a country if hella immigrants tried to come back home?

3. Would the US lose it's tourist appeal internationally or would people still come because it would be cheaper to visit?

4. Would a US economy in rubbles benefit any other nation or is errybody gonna feel it hoard too?

Feel free to add on or comment on the questions.

  

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Topic Outline
Subject Author Message Date ID
you mean like in 2008?
Jun 24th 2015
1
Worse.
Jun 24th 2015
2
during 08 meltdown, rumor was that putin asked china
Jun 24th 2015
3
Recall the debt how?
Jun 24th 2015
4
It would suck because I'm black...
Jun 24th 2015
5
The thing is, if US crashes, everyone else crashes as well.
Jun 25th 2015
6

janey
Charter member
123124 posts
Wed Jun-24-15 07:15 PM

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1. "you mean like in 2008?"
In response to Reply # 0


  

          


~ ~ ~
All meetings end in separation
All acquisition ends in dispersion
All life ends in death
- The Buddha

|\_/|
='_'=

Every hundred years, all new people

  

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normal35762
Member since Oct 20th 2004
13246 posts
Wed Jun-24-15 07:28 PM

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2. "Worse."
In response to Reply # 1


  

          

  

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Riot
Member since May 25th 2005
14614 posts
Wed Jun-24-15 09:20 PM

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3. "during 08 meltdown, rumor was that putin asked china"
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

if they wanted to stick the knife in further

basically recall all the debt and completely pull the rug out


or maybe he was less suggesting and just flat asking them to do it


anyway world economy is too intertwined. air will seep out the USA balloon UK style... taking 100 years and nobody noticing for the 1st 40

but if somehow US flashcrashed, itd have to last for ~10+ yrs for any migration impact

reverse brain drain, sure why not. portuguese are now immigrating to angola and other former colonies cuz they shtt the bed in their home country economy



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bunda
<-.-> ^_^ \^0^/
get busy living, or get busy dying.

  

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PimpTrickGangstaClik
Member since Oct 06th 2005
15895 posts
Wed Jun-24-15 10:34 PM

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4. "Recall the debt how?"
In response to Reply # 3


          

A few things.
First, on a relative scale, China owns very little US debt.

There is about $18 trillion is US debt out there, most of it held domestically (Fed Reserve, Social Security, etc.) China owns $1.2 trillion (Japan also holds about the same amount).

It is in China's best interests to hold that sizable amount of debt in order to keep the value of its currency low and keep its trade advantage. If they reduce the amount of US debt they hold, their currency will appreciate and their export based economy will suffer.

Second, US debt isn't something that can just be recalled on a whim. Holders of the debt can not force repayment until the bonds mature.
The worst China could do is stop buying US debt, but they wouldn't want to do that (especially back in 2008) due to point #1.


_______________________________________

  

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Kira
Member since Nov 14th 2004
28856 posts
Wed Jun-24-15 11:00 PM

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5. "It would suck because I'm black..."
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

>On some Duke Bros at the end of Trading Places meets the
>1930's folks trading in gold watches for food era.
>Questions...

And they already on some 1800's racist mentality imagine what happens/would've happened if we hit a depression under Obama...

>
> 1. Would the US lose it's immigration/land of opportunity
>appeal? If so by alot? Or would people still come here hoping
>things would get better?

We lost that at the start of the recession.

>
>2. Would alot of immigrants who came here try and pack up and
>leave?W Would there be a reverse brain drain? What would
>happen in a country if hella immigrants tried to come back
>home?

No, they wouldn't leave because they're a part of America now. The new transplants would consider it. If another country offers a better deal and quality of life then people will leave in droves.

I've always wondered what would happen if the Cuban refugees in Miami decided to go back to either retake their country once Castro died or just because America wasn't for them. They'd probably be executed or shunned for an extensive period of time. Everyone else would be okay.

>
>3. Would the US lose it's tourist appeal internationally or
>would people still come because it would be cheaper to visit?

It would be a tourist destination for people trying to speculate on land.
>
>
>4. Would a US economy in rubbles benefit any other nation or
>is errybody gonna feel it hoard too?

China would become our overlords. China benefits as does any country with a stash of money. Imagine someone in the BRIC would come through and just own parts of America. Russia would be first in line.

  

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Buddy_Gilapagos
Charter member
49483 posts
Thu Jun-25-15 07:33 AM

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6. "The thing is, if US crashes, everyone else crashes as well. "
In response to Reply # 0


  

          

If shitty little greek can crash the whole EU, what do you think USA USA crashing does to the rest of the world?

I can't see a scenario where US crashes and there is some other place does well enough to become the new destination for immigrants and cash.


**********
"Everyone has a plan until you punch them in the face. Then they don't have a plan anymore." (c) Mike Tyson


"One of the most important things in life is what Judge Learned Hand described as 'that ever-gnawing inner doubt as to whether you're

  

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