Based on the criteria used by the selection committee the first three should be clear (regardless of order) - Washington, FSU, and Michigan are undefeated P5 conference champions. After that you have Texas, Alabama, and Georgia. Texas and Bama are one loss conference champs and they need to decide whether Texas beating Bama or Texas having a worse loss is more important. But either way Georgia is out - both because they lost to one of the other three teams in the conversation AND they didn’t win their conference.