As soon as someone gets hot, they get hurt (Curry, Harden, KD, Giannis).

Only two guys in the race that have been mostly healthy are Bron and Kyrie.

Here's how I see it:
SHOULD = 1-Harden, 2-Kyrie, 3-Steph, 4-Bron...and reason being is because while missing CP3 for a big chunk of the season, he help the Rox still get #2 in the west. Kyrie second because he's essentially leading a C's team that's almost all new to the east best record.

Couldn't go wrong with either.

WILL = Harden. Mainly based on body of work. BUT if LeBron and the Cavs go on another 19 of 21 run like they did earlier this year and the headlines go from how they were struggling to how they might win it...He'll get another one. Only way I see Kyrie or Steph winning is if Harden goes down for a few weeks after the allstar break and they both keep balling like they've been the last few weeks.