Beat him... probably not.

Tony really pressures forward, which will give Khabib the easy takedown. I think Tony's guard is good, but I don't think it is better than Khabib's top game.

I think both of them will take a lot of damage, but I think ultimately Khabib wins. Tony's defense is not so good and he has gotten dropped a few times now.

I do think that if Tony wins it won't be from the guard, but it will be a Darce off a takedown.