I don't think Trump has had an approval rating ahead of the mid-40's his whole term. Which is why the idea that there's only one candidate who can say the magic words to beat Trump is so maddening. He barely won when (enough midwestern white) people could still pretend like he was going to govern for them, now he has a shitty record to run on.

Not saying it will be a cakewalk, but he's plenty vulnerable.