a democratic candidate is gonna have the democratic voting coalition at their disposal. any downside to being a woman candidate could pretty much just be offset by structural/historical voting patterns and party affiliation.

a repub candidate has won the presidential popular vote only 1 time in the last 7 elections. and both bush and trump only won their 1st terms due to some controversial unprecedented fuck shit where they were able to squeak through with less votes. meanwhile dem winners pretty much cruise to victory. that pattern is only accelerating.

one of the blue rust belt states that turned on clinton and put trump in office (michigan)...just elected a ticket comprised entirely of women.

so it might have been more about individual circumstances than gender.