13047916, Negative population rates is a problem because we could run out Posted by Buddy_Gilapagos, Sun Jul-24-16 07:39 AM
of people.
At least that's the concern I remember reading about a couple of years ago in this article.
http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2013/01/world_population_may_actually_start_declining_not_exploding.html
>you don't seem to have an explanation for why negative >population is a problem. i'm assuming you've read a lot about >the burdens of elder care in those nation amid declining >populations. those *are* issues of consumption and standard of >living. > >i'm saying, it's the other side of the coin as the problems >created by unchecked population growth. the lack of >sustainability is the issue. population projections just give >us one limit (and there are other limits, like global warming) >on how long we have until sustainability issues catch up to >us. > >europe (and russia's) population bubbles are small, and the >problems associated with what you're describing are going to >be solvable. europe's peak is projected to be followed by a >leveling off, and the level off is higher than where we are >right now. > >http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/File:Projected_population_as_of_1_January,_EU-28,_2014–80_(¹)_(2014_%3D_100)_PF15.png > >population leveling off in 2 generations is not a crisis. it's >something they are planning for and working through. > >japan is a different story, but the lesson there one of >unsustainable population GROWTH, not the dangers of negative >population. population density in japan is 10x that of the >u.s. (and the difference was greater than that at the height >of the baby boom in both countries). the situation now is a >direct result of that. japan actually experienced something >akin to the crash that we'd worry about from overpopulation, >because the population density and import costs made having >larger families economically impossible for so many young >japanese. > >south korea is facing a similar (but less dramatic) population >bubble, and its not nearly the same crisis as it is in japan >because the it didn't have as dramatic of an early >economic/population explosion. south korea also seems to be >slightly more open to re-examining it's national identity in >order to deal with the next century than japan is. > >if people push the economic growth model in the next 50 years, >it's going to be much worse in india and china than it is in >japan currently. but it's the irresponsible growth and lack of >planning now that's going to do the damage....not the >declining fertility rates themselves. > >and there are plenty of countries in the developing world (a >good chunk of africa for example) that show no signs of >slowing down over the next century. > >the best thing that can happen to any population (assuming we >don't gain access to new resources) over the long hall is for >fertility rates to drop sooner rather than later and quicker >rather than slower. > >you got the "underpopulation" story backwards.
********** "Everyone has a plan until you punch them in the face. Then they don't have a plan anymore." (c) Mike Tyson
"what's a leader if he isn't reluctant"
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